RADIO
Welcome back to “The Kick-Off”! Last week did not go nearly as expected, but here we are once more and our favorites on the slate are Liverpool -350 and Arsenal -223.
With so many matches up in the air in terms of their outcome, it is okay to be different and not feel safe making a lineup here. That will be the key to winning the slate in GPP formats.
If you have any questions on today's slate, bankroll management, GPP strategy, Cash game strategy, or anything else don’t hesitate to email me at [email protected] or via Twitter @df_solutions or on “SLACK”.
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The Kick-Off - EPL Matchweek 13
[H] Arsenal (-223) vs Newcastle United [A] (+540): Total: 3u
There is not much else to say, other than the fact that Arsenal has absolutely dominated the Magpies over their last six meetings. In that time, Arsenal has won every match, while outsourcing Newcastle 14-0. For six straight matches, Arsenal has kept a clean sheet against Newcastle. It also helps that Arsenal is going to want to get back in the win column after their 10-game unbeaten run -- four wins -- was ended by the 4-0 thumping from Liverpool last weekend. Newcastle also has not won a match in six straight and three of those are losses.
Expected Outcome: 2-0 Arsenal
ARS:
Cash/GPP:
M/F: Saka($10K), Aubameyang($9.8K),
GPP: Smith Rowe($8.8K), Lacazette($7.8K), Partey($4.6K)
NEW:
Cash/GPP:
D: Ritchie($7.4K)
M/F: Saint-Maximin($9.2K)
GPP: Wilson($8K), Murphy($6.4K)
[H] Crystal Palace (+119) vs [A] Aston Villa (+237): Total: 2 1/2u
Palace comes into this match unbeaten in their last six with two wins in their last three matches. Meanwhile, Villa has won once in their last six matches and it happened to be their first match under new bench boss Steven Gerrard. It is still too early to see if he will have an instant impact on the club and Palace could possibly edge this out. However, it seems much more realistic to see a draw.
Expected Outcome: 2-2
CRY:
Cash/GPP:
M/F: Gallagher($9K), Zaha($8.4K)
GPP: Edouard($6.5K), Guaita($4.9K), Mitchell($4.1K)
AVL:
Cash/GPP:
D: Targett($4.7K)
M/F: McGinn($6K)
GPP: Bailey($7.5K), Ings($5.3K), Martinez($4.5K)
[H] Liverpool (-350) vs [A] Southampton (+850): Total: 3 1/2u
After a run of good form, the visitors have struggled to find success as of late. Meanwhile, the hosts have continued to dominate in every facet of the competition and they show no mercy while doing it. It would be very surprising to not see Liverpool win and receive a clean sheet.
Expected Outcome: 2-0 Liverpool
LIV:
Cash/GPP:
G: Alisson($5.9K)
D: Alexander-Arnold($9.2K), Robertson($5.5K)
M/F: Salah($11.7K)
GPP: Mane($9.5K), Jota($8.6K), Henderson($5.5K)
SOU:
Cash/GPP:
M/F: Ward-Prowse($8K)
GPP: Elyounoussi($3.8K), McCarthy($3.6K)
[H] Norwich City (+245) vs [A] Wolverhampton (+113): Total: 2o
Both clubs are coming into this match with big wins last weekend. Especially Norwich who has now won back-to-back matches and their first match under new bench boss Dean Smith. Wolverhampton will prove to be just as stubborn as Southampton, providing yet another test for the Canaries at home. However, it may be too tough of a task to answer.
Expected Outcome: 2-1 Wolverhampton
NOR:
Cash/GPP:
GPP: Rashica($6.8K), Pukki($6.2K), Gilmour($4.7K), Krul($4.4K)
WOL:
Cash/GPP:
D: Ait-Nouri($6K), Semedo($4.6K)
M/F: Moutinho($4.3K)
GPP: Jimenez($7.7K), Hee-Chan($6.4K), Podence($5.9K), Sa($5K)
[H] Brighton & Hove Albion (+112) vs [A] Leeds (+255): Total: 2 1/2u
Both clubs are in desperate need of wins and this is a make-or-break scenario for them. This also may go down as the most boring match out of all of the matchups and the least amount of goals scored as well. If there is a club to make their way, it is going to be the hosts with a slight quality boost.
Expected Outcome: 2-1 Brighton
BHA:
Cash/GPP:
G: Sanchez($6.6K)
D: Lamptey($6K)
M/F: March($7.2K)
GPP: Trossard($10K), Maupay($8.8K)
LEE:
Cash/GPP:
M/F: Raphina($11.2K)
GPP: James($9.2K), Dallas($7K)
Expected Corner Takers:
Arsenal: Saka
Newcastle United: Ritchie/Fraser
Crystal Palace: Gallager
Aston Villa: Buendia
Liverpool: Alexander-Arnold
Southampton: Ward-Prowse
Norwich City: Rashica
Wolverhampton: Ait-Nouri/Mourinho
Brighton & Hove Albion: Gross/March/Trossard
Leeds: Raphina
Thanks for reading The Kick-Off! Good luck in all of your contests today!
