Welcome back to “The Kick-Off”! Unfortunately, I was not able to carry on the positive fortunes, but hopefully, everyone else did! We welcome back our underwhelming 3-game slates with Liverpool as extreme favorites -235 on the main slate and Manchester City -525 on the afternoon Showdown.
With only three games, making the winning lineup will be much harder since there is little difference in lineup construction. With that being said, do not be afraid to feel extremely uncomfortable when building lines.
If you have any questions on today's slate, bankroll management, GPP strategy, Cash game strategy, or anything else don’t hesitate to email me at [email protected] or via Twitter @df_solutions or on “SLACK”.
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The Kick-Off - EPL Matchweek 15 - All Day
[H] Wst Ham United (+360) vs Chelsea [A] (-130): Total: 2 1/2u
Chelsea once again is on the road traveling unbeaten in their last six matches. They have also won the last two meetings between the two sides with a combined score of 4-0. The Hammers are struggling to find goals lately have they have a .500 record -- 2-2-2 -- in their last six. Going against a stingy Blues side who are starting to get healthy once more, it is a tough uphill battle and one they will lose.
Expected Outcome: 2-0 Chelsea
WHU:
Cash/GPP:
D: Cresswell($6.4K)
M/F: Bowen($9K)
GPP: Antonio($8K), Fornals($7K), Benrahma($6.2K), Soucek($5.2K)
CHE:
Cash/GPP:
G: Mendy($7.4K)
M/F: Lukaku($9.4K), Mount($10K), Ziyech($9.2K)
GPP: Havertz($7.6K), Hudson-Odoi($8.6K)
[H] Newcastle United (+117) vs [A] Burnley (+225): Total: 2 1/2o
Neither club is excelling at offense to start the season, but Newcastle still has the quality to outmatch the traveling Clarets. The Magpies are still without a win and Burnley has a single win to their name. Newcastle has looked more lively though since Eddie Howe has taken over, but will it be enough to defeat the Burnley stronghold?
Expected Outcome: 1-1
NEW:
Cash/GPP:
D: Fraser($5.4K)
M/F: Saint-Maximin($8.4K), Shelvey($4.5K)
GPP: Wilson($7.9K), Dubravka($5.1K)
BUR:
Cash/GPP:
D: Taylor($4.8K)
M/F: McNeil($7.5K), Westwood($5.4K)
GPP: Cornet($6.7K), Pope($4.3K), Brownhill($3.5K)
[H] Southampton (+150) vs [A] Brighton & Hove Albion (+185) Total: 2 1/2u
Both clubs out of their last three total matches have all been draws and it is hard to look past yet another one here. The difference maker will rest on Gross starting or not for Brighton. Nevertheless, both clubs are struggling to score and they will hope to turn the tides with a healthier roster. Will either have what it takes to outperform the the stingy defenses at play?
Expected Outcome: 1-1
SOU:
Cash/GPP:
M/F: Ward-Prowse($7.7K)
GPP: Adams($6.5K), Armstrong($6.4K), Livramento($5K), McCarthy($4.9K), Elyounoussi($4.8K)
BHA:
Cash/GPP:
D: Lamptey($5.2K), Cucurella($5.1K)
M/F: Trossard($7.1K), March($5.1K), Moder($4.3K)
GPP: Sanchez($4.5K)
[H] Wolverhampton (+620) vs [A] Liverpool (-235): Total: 3u
Liverpool is a force to be reckoned with and Wolverhampton are unfortunately playing them at the peak of their form so far. The Wolves finally got Traore back, but it will surely not be enough to break through the defense of Liverpool. Wolverhampton’s only hope is a drastic rotation from the Reds, otherwise, Liverpool should win with ease once more.
Expected Outcome: 3-0 Liverpool
WOL:
Cash/GPP:
M/F: Traore($6.3K), Moutinho($4.2K), Neves($3.9K)
LIV:
Cash/GPP:
G: Alisson($5.8K)
D: Alexander-Arnold($9K), Robertson($6.6K)
M/F: Salah($12K), Jota($9.5K), Mane($8.2K)
GPP: Henderson($6K), Thiago($5.9K)
[H] Watford (+1150) vs [A] Manchester City (-525): Total: 3 1/2u
Manchester City has won the last six meetings between these two sides with a combined score of 26-3. In the past three meetings, City has won with a combined score of 18-0. There is a slim chance that Watford pulls off this upset, especially with the plethora of injuries they are trying to balance right now. Manchester City will dominate this game as they continue to fight for first place in the table.
Expected Outcome: 4-0 Manchester City
WAT:
Cash/GPP:
M/F: Cleverley($5.4K), Hernandez($5.2K)
GPP:
MCL:
Cash/GPP:
G: Ederson($7.8K)
D: Cancelo($8.6K)
M/F: Grealish($9.8K), Gundogan($9.6K), Jesus($9.4K), Sterling($9K)
Expected Corner Takers:
West Ham United: Cresswell/Bowen
Chelsea: Alonso/Mount
Newcastle United: Fraser/Shelvey
Burnley: McNeil
Southampton: Ward-Prowse
Brighton & Hove Albion: Gross/March/Trossard/Moder
Wolverhampton: Ait-Nouri/Mourinho
Liverpool: Alexander-Arnold
Watford: Cleverley/Hernandez
Manchester City: Gundogan/Mahrez
Thanks for reading The Kick-Off! Good luck in all of your contests today!