Eric Ebron (TE, PIT) - 2020 Fantasy Football Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~135 Overall

CURRENT ADP: ~155

ANALYSIS: After an impossible 2018 season in which Ebron destroyed all projections (he finished with 750 yards on 66 catches, including 13 TDs!), he came back to earth in 2019 (31 receptions, 375 yards, 3 touchdowns in 11 games). Even with that -- and taking the five games he missed into account -- Ebron still finished as a low-end TE2 averaging 7.9 PPG (the 19th-most among TEs over the year). Those numbers don't get you excited, I know, but considering Ebron's current ADP (TE18) and his projection of 112 PPR points in 2020 (per PFF) I would say he's being a bit undervalued.

Now a Steeler, Ebron will jump from Jacoby Brissett throwing him the ball to a should-be-healthy Ben Roethlisberger. On top of that, Ebron projects to be the No. 4 receiver of the Steelers in 2020 with a 12.9% target share (65 targets) and 42 receptions for 477 yards and 3 TDs. All in all, Ebron is currently the cheapest tight end with a virtual 13% or higher target share projection, and the only one getting drafted outside of the 10th round with a projected No. 4+ role in the passing game of his team.

The truth is that Ebron's upside relies more on efficiency than volume. His raw projections and counting stats are not the highest, but if he makes the most of his chances he could turn into a great value in 2020 and turn himself into a weekly TE2 with chances at scoring as a low-end TE1. Ebron shouldn't be your main tight end target if you value the position and like to have a steady producer at it. But if you have room to spare, or are going to play some sort of streaming at the position, then you should consider taking Ebron with a late-round (12th-to-15th) pick without much hesitation.

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