RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~170 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~194
ANALYSIS: A TE1 getting off draft boards at a TE3 price? I'll take two! That's Eric Ebron for you, folks, and that also is a nonsensical thing taking place in the summer of the 2021 year of our Lord. Simply put - Ebron's price is way down when compared to his expected production. PFF sees Ebron as a high-end TE2 with chances at a borderline TE1 finish over the year. You read that right. Ebron's expected TE16 finish is by far the cheapest of all tight ends projected for 128+ PPR points in 2021.
Ebron was a solid tight end all season long last year, and barring three duds, he was a TE1 or TE2 in all of the other games he played (only 10 snaps in Week 15, virtually a non-played game for him). Ebron's stinkers aside (TE3 or worse), he would have averaged 12+ FPPG, and that would have ranked fourth at the very least among tight ends with 10+ games played last season. That's bonkers, but it's as truthful as it gets.
Ebron is not in a great position when it comes to the players he will share the field with. JuJu Smith-Schuster, Diontae Johnson, and Chase Claypool all project to break the 100-target mark. Even then, though, he's projecting for a healthy 73 targets, 50 receptions, and four touchdowns in 2021. His 73-target projection is the 14th-highest among all tight ends entering the 2021 campaign, and only 11 other tight ends project for the combination of 540+ yards, 4+ TDs, and 50+ receptions. The cheapest one? Ebron. He's a major steal at his ADP.
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