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ANALYSIS: Like a scorned lover, fantasy owners kept Ervin Santana out of sight and out of mind for his 80 game suspension, but he’s come storming back into our hearts and deserves our attention. Through his first four starts he’s racked up a 2-0 record with a 2.60/0.98 line and a 21/7 K/BB ratio, including a dominant performance last time out vs LAA.
I’m bullish on his potential to keep this up. His .205 BABIP is well below his career average while his 0.94 WHIP is well below his career numbers (1.25-1.30). He hasn’t added any pitches or velocity to his repertoire and he’s always been prone to rough outings, as evident by his one poor start this year (@DET – 4 IP, 6 ER). That said, Santana has shown us he has the talent to be fantasy asset as recent as 2013 when he produced a 3.24/1.14 line in 211.0 innings, so his strong start needs to be taken seriously.
I can see scenarios where Santana would not be talented enough to stick on shallow fantasy rotations, but if you’re struggling for ratios or are on the stream police (vs PIT – Yes, @ TOR – No) he’s worth keeping an eye on. Out there in half of fantasy leagues, give him a spin vs Pittsburgh next time out.
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