BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~150
CURRENT ADP: ~169 overall
ANALYSIS:
Lux earned a call-up in September just in time to earn a starting job as the Dodgers second baseman. Although he had some strong moments, including five multi-hit games and a pinch-hit home run in Game 1 of the NLDS, he ultimately hit .240 in the regular season and .222 in the team's brief postseason run.
However, Lux's x-stats support improved performance. His xBA of .288 and xSLG of .455 were both considerably higher than his actual stats, and his 39.2 Hard Hit% suggests that there is more pop in the tank for the talented youngster. Lux has the upside to be a 20-20 threat and could be another Ozzie Albies if he proves ready to hold down the job all year for a perennial contender.
Early NFBC drafters have him as the 15th-ranked second baseman off the board (ADP 160), ahead of 2019 rookies like Michael Chavis, Garrett Hampson, and All-Star Brandon Lowe. Betting on a breakout is always a tricky proposition but Lux has the tools to make it happen.
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