RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~100 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~115
ANALYSIS: There was a little bit of a debate last summer on whether Mark Andrews, Nick Boyle, or Hayden Hurst would become the no. 1 tight end on Baltimore's offense. At the end of the year, Andrews was the clear leading man at the position with more targets (98) than the other two combined (82), and almost three times their individual PPR outcomes. Last year was Hurst's second in Baltimore, but that and the presence of the other two aforementioned tight ends made the Ravens move from Hurst this offseason, even with his first-round pick pedigree from just a couple of years ago.
No team was in a better position than Atlanta to acquire a tight end. The Falcons have lost stud Austin Hooper to Cleveland, and Hurst has instantly become their go-to man at the position, and no less than the third receiving option on the whole offense only behind Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley (Todd Gurley is there now, but he shouldn't factor that much in the passing game). In fact, Hurst projects (per PFF latest simulations) to finish 2020 with almost 70 targets and 50 receptions for 560 yards and 4 TDs.
While I'm not saying Hurst is Hooper, the latter logged the sixth-most targets among tight ends last season and most of those will now go Hurst's way. Matt Ryan is a great volume-passing quarterback that will benefit Hurst's upside, and he should have no problem reaching 500 yards on the year to go with a few touchdowns if only because of the red-zone looks he will receive. No one knows how things will turn out for Hurst, but not many players can (at this point) be happier about how things are looking for them going forward after flipping teams, which makes me think Hurst is being a little overlooked this deep into draft-season.
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