RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~115 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~129
ANALYSIS: Henry Ruggs III is ready to take on a bigger role in his sophomore year, and the Raiders will need him to do exactly that. Nelson Agholor's departure leaves 82 vacated targets in the Las Vegas offense, and now he only has Bryan Edwards, Hunter Renfrow, John Brown as his competition at the wide receiver position.
Ruggs ranked second among all players with an average target distance (aDOT) of 17.4. Derek Carr ranked eighth in deep ball attempts (passes 20+ yards downfield) with 65 (4.1 per game) and had the 10th- highest deep ball completion percentage at 44.6% while posting the second-highest grade on throws 20+ yards downfield in 2020. The deep ball attempts are great for fantasy owners, but with a projected increase in targets, Ruggs will need to be used more in all facets of the offense.
Ruggs is going to have an increased role in 2021 - that's a given. The Raiders invested significant draft capital in the speedy wideout, meaning they foresee him being a big part of what the team wants to do on offense. This year, not every target that he gets will be a deep shot because getting the ball into his hands will be more of a priority.
There is little risk in Ruggs with his average draft position of 129. Picks in this range do not hold much value and are typically considered to be a dart throw anyways. He is an intriguing late-round flier and has all the necessary tools to be a dynamic playmaker in the NFL. If given the opportunity, which it seems that he will be - Ruggs can have a breakout season in 2021.
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