J.K. Dobbins (RB, BAL) - Rookie Running Back Draft Values

4 years ago by Antonio Losada

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BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~78 Overall

CURRENT ADP: ~94

ANALYSIS: Dobbins is being drafted at RB35 and is currently the fifth-highest drafted rookie at the position (Cam Akers is the fourth with an ADP of RB25 and 60 OVR). He also has workload concerns as he projects to start the year behind Mark Ingram II on the depth chart.

Ingram had one of the best seasons of his career in 2019, amassing 1,018 yards (5.0 yards per carry) and 10 touchdowns on the ground and adding 26 receptions for 247 yards and five touchdowns through the air. Dobbins was a very productive workhorse back himself for three years at Ohio State, gaining over 2,000 yards and adding 21 rushing touchdowns in his final season as a Buckeye. He displayed impressive receiving ability and clearly has the size and quickness to succeed as a three-down starter in the NFL.

The Ravens used a second-round, 55th overall pick on Dobbis a few months ago. If there is anything that correlates strongly to draft position, it is the number of opportunities a player will get as a rookie, and a second-rounder is poised to get more than a few. Baltimore clearly envisions him as a future stalwart in their backfield, and it might turn out that he is the best present-day asset on the Ravens backfield.

PFF has Dobbins projected to finish the season as the RB32... and Ingram as the RB31. There is a clear difference between both tailbacks, though. Dobbin's ADP is at 94 while Ingram is at 60, which means the rookie is almost three rounds cheaper than the veteran while projecting to the exact same amount of PPR points throughout the year.

Dobbins has the skillset to lead this backfield in the coming years, starting in 2020. Don't get sniped and draft Dobbins early.