BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~170 Overall
CURRENT ADP: 180+ (Undrafted)
ANALYSIS: Green Bay Packers' running back Jamaal Williams is entering his fourth year as a pro, all of them playing for the Pack. While his rushing attempts have dropped every year he has been in the NFL, his production has increased and he has become more efficient each passing season: he's gone from an average of 3.63 yards per carry to 3.83, and lastly 4.3 in 2019. His ability as a pass blocker with reliable hands has kept him fantasy-relevant so far.
Williams has never been a significant source of touchdowns or high-value touches, though. In 2019, Williams saw a mere 21.8% of the Packers’ red-zone rushes and only 11.1% of their rushes within five yards of the goal. This lack of high-value usage was before Green Bay used a valuable second-round pick on the dominant A.J. Dillon, too.
Aaron Jones is likely to get at least 55% of the team’s snaps in 2020 and is the go-to rusher of the Packers, although he's also on a contract year and that should give us a little bit of pause in terms of how Green Bay will use him. You might trust Dillon as the no. 2 RB in this offense, but Williams has the edge on experience and in just 39 receptions last season he scored 5 TDs and racked up 253 receiving yards.
Williams should maintain a role in Green Bay’s passing game even if the rushing department numbers don't go up. his involvement in the running game and at the goal-line could dwindle to nothing by the end of the season. William's current RB63 ADP doesn't correlate at all with PPF projection to finish 2020 as the RB48. That, in 12-team leagues, would mean that Williams is a player expected to finish at least as a viable FLEX option with upside for more if Jones misses time or Dillon flops as a pro.
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