MATCHUP/VALUE: at MIL, $4,600
ANALYSIS: Ok so hear me out. I know his DFS numbers are generally underwhelming, but Jared Dudley has been pretty consistently hitting 4x value, and has the revenge game factor tonight. What's the revenge game factor you ask? Players always play better against their former teams. Now I don't have any numbers to back that up, but you're just gonna have to trust me. Whether its familiarity with personnel and scheme, or just some extra motivation, I fully expect Dudley to reach and exceed 5x value tonight, or about 25 FD points. Now that may not seem like great upside, but on a two game slate, with very limited options at the PF position, Dudley provides a very safe low end play that allows you to fit an extra star (*Kevin Durant) into your lineup.