RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~35 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~42
ANALYSIS: Tyreek Hill is the flashiest new toy in town and so is his monster ADP of 24.5, barely past the second round in 12-team drafts. Meanwhile, Jaylen Waddle, the actually-proven, known quantity, who was the most productive player in Miami is often available at a much lower ADP of 42 (halfway through the fourth round).
It took Miami a good bunch of assets to land Hill, and reasonably so, but remember he's going from catching passes thrown by Patrick Mahomes to doing so from Tua Tagovailoa. Do you know who's already played under Tua and proved capable of performing in that context? Tip: it's not Hill.
Waddle's rookie year was clearly overshadowed by the historical season put together by Ja'Marr Chase, but the Dolphins freshman was good to finish the year as the WR13 of the season with a 245.8 PPR tally.
Do you know how many rookie receivers have topped that figure since 2000? Only six of them have. How about in the past five years? Michael Thomas and Chase have, that's it.
There is not a single WR that had a rookie year on par with Waddle that turned into busts in their second season – or actually at any point throughout their careers. Draft Hill if you want, I'd reap the tastier rewards of getting Waddle later and enjoying his much-higher ROI.
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