BALLER MOVE: Target ~115
CURRENT ADP: ~130
ANALYSIS: Potential owners should strongly consider Murray among their late-round options, as his credentials as a former 1,000-yard rusher (2015: 1,066 yards), combined with his track record of reliability as a goal line option to provide evidence that he can deliver favorable production when he is given the opportunity.
Murray has accumulated 20 touchdowns since 2016, including eight last season with Minnesota. The Vikings used him frequently inside the red zone, as he finished with the fifth most rushing attempts inside the 20-yard line (48), along with the 10 (22) and the 5 (13). He also averaged 74.5 YPG during his last 10 contests, while rumbling for 75+ in six of those games. While the reappearance of Dalvin Cook will prohibit Murray from maintaining an extensive workload, it is hardly preordained that he will be relegated to the minuscule role that many have anticipated.
He could easily retain responsibilities as a short-yardage specialist, who commandeers a majority of goal line carries. Cook’s touch total could also be managed in order to preserve his health. Murray’s pathway toward weekly relevance actually contains fewer obstructions than some backs that are being drafted before him, and he is a justifiable late-round target given his ADP.
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