RADIO
Welcome back RotoBallers to my League of Legends DFS column! We will continue to extend our analysis for LoL DFS across different leagues and sites, bringing you the insight you need to succeed. Thanks once again for the outpouring of support from the DFS and ESports communities. I can't thank you enough for the kind words on Twitter, and your support has afforded me the opportunity to write about something I love every day.
There are three more games on the docket tonight in the LPL. With the DraftKings discovering CBLOL, the EU Masters main stage coming up, and MSI right around the corner - it's an excellent time for ESports DFS enthusiasts like myself. The number of contests on FanDuel and DraftKings continues to grow. Spring regular season is coming to a close, and there are already some massive contests posted in the FanDuel and DraftKings lobbies, including the 15-dollar Insomnia Special that pays 100k to first place!
Today, I'll be providing my League of Legends advice, analysis, and picks, for this LPL slate on DraftKings and FanDuel that locks at 3:00 AM on Monday, April 20th, 2020. Make sure you are following me on Twitter @Mr_Malmanger as I often post starting lineups when I see them and other useful info for the slate.
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3:00 AM: Rogue Warriors vs. LGD (-160)
Both of these teams surprised me this split and have set themselves up to be playoff contenders again come summer split. LGD has the statistical advantage in literally every category, except for baron take %.
Even with these advantages, I think RW wins this matchup in a likely 2-1. They have had an excellent close to the split taking games from FPX, TES, and beating RNG and VG. LGD has been up and down, but also have some big wins over RNG, OMG, and WE. They are currently on a downswing losing 2-0 to BLG and FPX. No shame there as both are quality teams.
Either side is in play here, and I could see hedging on the LGD side as they score big even in losses, and it should be close. The prices on Draftkings are too low to ignore on the side of RW, but FanDuel has some dynamic prices, and I like taking advantage of some of the LGD players at discounts. Both teams should be heavy targets in GPPs on Monday with both teams projecting for nearly 20 kills in a win.
Haro - RW - JNG ($6,400 DraftKings)
Haro has been an online GOD since returning to the starting lineup. He's been absolutely wrecking dudes on carry champions like Olaf, Elise, and Nidalee. He brings it with a 77% KP to go with a 33% kill share, that's jungler KP with ADC KS. He's the second least expensive jungler on DraftKings, and that makes him an incredible value on Monday morning even in a loss.
Zwuji - RW - JNG ($7,000 DraftKings)
Another value play on DraftKings over FanDuel KINGWuji is the second-lowest priced ADC on DraftKings. Second to Haro in KP% and KS%, Zwuji can go over 100 DKP even in a loss. I think this is the highest-scoring match of the night, and it will be hard for me to get away from Zwuji at this price on DraftKings.
Peanut - LGD - JNG ($8,000 FanDuel)
I don't know how FanDuel is setting up their pricing system, but I think its interesting to see the differences between the two sites. We're getting Peanut for a $600 discount from Haro here, and that's too much of a discount.
Kramer - LGD - ADC ($9,000 FanDuel)
I don't know how FanDuel is setting up their pricing system, but I think its interesting to see the differences between the two sites. We're getting Peanut for a $400 discount from Zwuji here, and that's too much of a discount. Sounds familiar right, but Kramer is the highest-priced player on DraftKings, but on FD, he is the sixth-highest priced ADC.
5:00 AM: WE vs. OMG (-125)
Every one of these matches are going to be tight. This one has a playoff atmosphere from the get-go as its win, and you're in a loser leaves town match. The funny thing to me is that OMG is supposed to be the smarter controlled team, and yet WE have better objective control and vision numbers.
OMG does not have any wins I'd consider to be impressive and have struggled with teams that I consider similar to WE. For me, this comes down to H4cker vs. Beishang, and if Beishang can do what he does, then WE are going to win. If H4cker disrupts Bae and his attempts to affect his lanes, then OMG wins. I believe in BAE.
LNG is a worse version of OMG, and they showed us the way to beat this WE squad. If OMG can keep Teacherma in the lane and force him to face off with Icon, he and WE will get destroyed. I think tho that WE have learned their lesson, and will be able to eke out a 2-1 victory here.
The problem is I expect them to be heavily owned here, coming off a nice win as a dog vs. EDG. The way OMG plays the game doesn't allow for a lot of fantasy points. Just look at how LGD scored in a recent 2-0 win over this OMG squad, and you'll see that it's not very impressive.
I think I will be avoiding WE even tho I expect them to win, and for those reasons, I might end up with some OMG pieces as a contrarian option. Team, WE surrender nearly 20 deaths in their losses as well, so as a pure DFS play to dodge ownership and chase upside, I like some OMG exposure here.
Icon - MID ($7,200 DraftKings, $8,300 FanDuel)
I know I just told you OMG is going to lose, but they won't be a trendy pick. They have a better upside, in my opinion, than does WE. If they do win here, Icon will be the biggest reason why. He is second on the team in both KP% and KS%, but he has played 17 unique champions this split. That's tied for third in the league, and I've talked a few times about Teacherma having an exploitable champion pool. Icon is one of the best players in the league to be able to take advantage of that.
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7:00 AM FPX(-250) vs. TES
Talk about a game of the day. We have the reigning world champions FPX vs. the latest Chinese super team TES. I look at this match the same way I did the eStar vs. TES matchup from last week, which admittedly I was dead wrong on. I picked eStar to win that match vs. TES and, in the past, have described them as a baby FPX.
Well, tomorrow morning, I'll get to see how that theory holds up, but with actual FPX. I think FPX win this clash of the titans with TES the same way I said eStar would. The sum of TES's parts is more than that of the parts of FPX.
Each player on TES might be a more talented player than their counterparts on the side of FPX, but we're playing a team game. FPX has a hive mind extending out from Doinb to the rest of the squad that is unmatched in the world. Just ask G2. The talented pieces of TES are at a disadvantage here, especially since they are also so recently assembled.
My boy Jackeylove was the MVP the last time TES hit the rift, but this will only be his third competitive match with the team. Yuyanjia is starting as well, and I think this change will unsettle the TES bot lane enough for Lwx and Crispt to take advantage. FPX has better continuity, team play, objective control, and vision.
Doinb - MID ($7,600 DraftKings, $9,200 FanDuel)
This position is always the jump-off for FPX. Doinb leads the team in Kp%, and when he gets out of the lane to influence the rest of the map that FPX is at their best. Roaming to the bot side with Tian - JNG ($7,000 DraftKings $8,800 FanDuel), I expect FPX to try to target Jackey and Yuyanjia early and often.
Lwx - ADC ($7,600 DraftKings, $10,200 FanDuel)
Lwx is the leader on FPX in kill share, and he finishes what Doinb, Tian, and Crisp start. I said this the other night, and I think it holds today as well. "If you can only fit one of the carries from FPX into your lineups, Doinb is the safer play, but LWX might be the higher upside choice with both teams focused on the bottom side."
Summary
- LGD and RW is my favorite spot for GPP plays, and in my opinion, this is an entertaining GPP slate. I expect RW to win, but a lot of my exposures will be determined by pricing. RW is too cheap on DraftKings and LGD, honestly the same on FanDuel.
- WE vs. OMG is closer than most think. I think WE pull out a narrow 2-1 win, but I likely won't play too much of them as OMG depresses opponent fantasy totals. I also expect WE to be the underdog dejour, I'll try to zig when others zag with a few OMG plays.
- FPX should be able to use their team play to foil TES individual talent and are who I'll be using in most of my lineups Monday morning. TES has the talent to compete with anyone in the world. They can outplay any situation, and as such, I don't mind a few shares here either.
- There are a ton of options here today, and that's why I think this is a much better GPP slate than cash.
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The @RotoBaller crew keeps producing ? content and insight. Been a great week so far and They have more great content coming for the weekend! Keep it up! @mr_malmanger @ThunderDanDFS @rdr1634 pic.twitter.com/L9B3njL2xL
— John Deacon (@Jdeacdfs) April 10, 2020
Looking Forward
With LPL and LCK overnight slates continuing through the month of April, we here at RotoBaller have got you covered. The League of Legends DFS action never stops. The LEC and LCS playoffs are in full swing, and EU Masters will be back soon.
Be sure to check back throughout the week as we'll be publishing daily ESports DFS articles, analysis and lineup picks for League Of Legends, Counter Strike, Rocket League and eNASCAR. Thanks for reading, and good luck RotoBallers!
More ESports DFS Analysis
RotoBaller Testimonials
Readers of RotoBaller's eSports DFS articles have been winning money on DraftKings and FanDuel regularly. Some of them are winning contests daily and bringing in some serious cheddar. Check one out below and lots more here!Did you read a RotoBaller article and win too? Send us your screenshots on Twitter @RotoBaller and we'll add it to our winners Hall Of Fame!
Had a member of slack take down the Insomnia Special last night. Pretty cool seeing that @RotoBaller logo up at the top! #Esports #LOL #Draftkings pic.twitter.com/S5FFRSUNB1
— "Thunder Dan" Palyo (@ThunderDanDFS) April 16, 2020
