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Welcome back, RotoBallers, to my League of Legends DFS column! Here at RotoBaller, we will continue to extend our analysis for LoL DFS across different leagues and sites, bringing you the insight you need to succeed. I am super excited that we LoL back in our lives, and I'm determined to offer the best free breakdowns that you'll find anywhere in the industry!
LPL's summer split is in full swing, and we've got a week yet until the LCK joins us in the early morn. Yesterday RNG pulled off a dominant sweep of Vici Gaming, but JDG did what we expected them to do in their match. I'm ready to bounce back today and get back on our grind. Summer Season is here, and there are some massive contests posted in the FanDuel and DraftKings lobbies, including the 15-dollar Shock Blast that pays 20k to first place!
Today, I'll be providing my League of Legends advice, analysis, and picks, for this LPL slate on DraftKings and FanDuel that locks at 5:00 AM on Thursday, June 11th, 2020. Make sure you are following me on Twitter @Mr_Malmanger as I often post starting lineups when I see them and other useful info for the slate.
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5:00 AM: Estar (-475) vs. Dominus Esports
Another big LPL favorite against a lackluster bottom tier squad (stop me if you've heard this one before). This surprising young eStar squad came out of the gate with a bang in the spring split using their aggressive style to take home a fifth-place finish in their debut LPL split. They have lost their star mid-laner, who was actually on loan from RNG as Cryin returned to his original organization.
FenFen from LGD came over to replace Cryin and looked fine in his first action, which was incidentally against his old squad. Some of the polish and coordination that marked this eStar side in the spring was missing, and they didn't quite have the ammo to overcome a retooled LGD. Not to be left out was the surprising and possibly scripted top lane swap that saw CJJ enter after Xiaobai won the first game.
Watching CJJ in the top lane makes me believe we won't see that movie again anytime soon. DMO came out of their first match in the summer split bruised and battered losing 2-0 to V5. This will be their first chance at redemption as they look to continue to grow their young bot lane duo.
Spring split stats will show us everything we need to know about two teams on opposite ends of the spectrum. Estar has a substantial lead in all major statistical categories except for Cspm. Is that anything to worry about, you ask, no. DMO tend to play a more passive game style liking to farm up for as long as possible, not unlike OMG. Whereas eStar likes to get out on the map and make plays so it makes perfect sense that DMO would have better laning statistics.
This matchup is a stylistic nightmare for DMO for a couple of reasons. Firstly the roaming style of gameplay makes a terrific counter to a dominant lane style it just refuses to meet that strategy head to head as players generate gold from kills and other objectives across the map rather than in lane.
Secondly, eStar focuses their bot lane hard. This focus will often put all five members bot side before the first drake spawns, and the new bot lane on DMO is a weakness of theirs until they prove otherwise. DMO do what they can with their talent, and for them, that means focusing on Natural their stud top-laner.
He is a great carry player, and can take over matchups single-handedly; unfortunately, this game plan is not reliable due to many factors. I prefer the eStar players, the eStar playstyle, and eStar's continuity from last split. They should win this easily, and without any inexplicable swaps incoming, I like them to sweep. I would and did tell you the same thing about FPX over LNG, though, and look where that got us.
For that reason, I can see using some DMO players in deep GPP formats, especially Natural and Xiaopeng. The second set will be the better fantasy producing match so that I will stick to small stacks and team slots from this one.
Top Estar Plays:
- Wink - ADC
- Wei - JNG
- XiaoBai - TOP
- eStar Team Slot
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7:00 AM: World Elite vs. Invictus Gaming (-345)
I am already tilted just from seeing this matchup. Invictus gaming will do that to a guy. IG is the former world champions and reigning spring regular-season champions, but as we saw in the playoffs and Mid-Season Cup, their lack of substance costs them versus better teams.
In the spring, IG beat WE 2-1 in week seven the same way they beat most inferior teams by outmuscling them. Unless they have undergone a major change since the MSC I think that's their only out here versus a more proactive but less talented team. Much like the first matchup IG mostly wants to win a lane-win game, allowing their talent to shine through. WE eschew laning, especially their MID, Teacherma, who is always in motion around the map.
If you've followed me this column, you know two things, number one I love IG, and number two I hate IG. They come by objectives almost by accident, and seemingly that is their true playstyle. They do whatever they damn well please and expect to play their way out of it. We see it work well enough during the regular season but falter versus the top teams.
The question here is if WE is a top team yet or not. The answer there is also up in the air, I don't think they are in the top tier in the LPL, but I do think they are playing the game the right way. I also think that they have enough to take down IG here. There may have never been a better spot to split your exposure to a series than... oh wait any time Invictus is on the slate.
I like WE, but as we saw them against SNG, if they botch one of their patented bot side dives, we will see Puff being the likely beneficiary. I can bore you all day with things I wish IG would do, or I think IG should do, but until they show me something other than nothing, I can't even with them. They can easily win this in many different ways, whereas WE only win the one way they know-how. Diving bot and forcing fights around the map to get ahead early and stay there.
Split your exposure here to cover both sides and move on. This set will be the spicier DFS match, and I will take my full stacks from this side.
Top WE Plays:
- Juimeng -ADC
- Missing - SUP
- Beishang - JNG
- Teacherma
Top IG Plays:
- Puff - ADC
- Rookie - MID
- TheShy - TOP
- Ning - JNG
Summary
- We saw both favorites carry the day this morning and could see that again today. Whichever way you slice it the IG/WE match will be fantasy gold, and I'm firmly behind making that all of my big stacks.
- Having your captain come from your small stack is a strategy we've seen generate some differential in the past. Taking your full stack from the game set with the lower projection has shown to be an excellent way to differentiate yourself when you are playing chalk. I just don't think I'll be doing that today.
- FD pricing is pretty on point today, with no major malfunctions that can be played straight up. Which is nice no players or teams being forced on us with poor pricing.
- It's a GPP type of slate, and I think it's a good night to drop stakes and try some MME.
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RotoBaller Testimonials
Readers of RotoBaller's eSports DFS articles have been winning money on DraftKings and FanDuel regularly. Some of them are winning contests daily and bringing in some serious cheddar. Check one out below and lots more here!Did you read a RotoBaller article and win too? Send us your screenshots on Twitter @RotoBaller and we'll add it to our winners Hall Of Fame!
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