RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~200
CURRENT ADP: ~231 overall (From March 1st to present)
ANALYSIS: Mark Canha had a solid 2019 campaign in which he slashed .273/.386/.517 with 26 HR and 58 RBI. He had a surge in home runs in 2019 by hitting 26 after never hitting more than 17 in four previous seasons. His advanced metrics tell us he had an 8.5% barrel rate, 88.5 mph exit velocity, .248 xBA, and 41.1% hard-hit rate. Each of these was better than his career norms. The biggest reason for the surge was likely due to increased playing time. Canha had 410 at-bats, which was the most since 2015 when he accrued 441 at-bats. It is also no coincidence that 2015 was the only season that rivaled 2019 as far as production.
Canha is also projected to hit fifth in a lineup that scored the eighth-most runs in baseball in 2019. He will have Marcus Semien, Ramon Laureano, Matt Chapman, and Matt Olson hitting in front of him, which cannot be overstated. In 2019, they had on-base percentages of .369, .340, .342, and .351, respectively. The opportunities to drive in runs for Canha are going to be frequent, especially with consistent playing time.
Canha currently has an ADP of 231. This means he is being drafted in the middle of the 19th round in most 12-team mixed leagues. He should provide fantasy owners with plenty of RBI upside at minimal cost in this draft position.
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