Matthew Stafford (QB, DET) - Fantasy Football Draft Value

BALLER MOVE: Target ~105

CURRENT ADP: ~115

ANALYSIS: I think a lot of people are underestimating how good Matthew Stafford was in 2016. He finished as the QB-7 despite a noticeable drop-off in production when he played through a dislocated middle finger for the final four games of the season. In the games prior to suffering the injury, Stafford completed 68.4 percent of his passes with 21 touchdowns to five interceptions.

Unless the return of Ameer Abdullah ignites a spark in the Detroit Lion’s ground game, which ranked 30^th in the league in yards in the previous year, it’s safe to expect more of the same from Stafford as a high-volume thrower. The Lions ran passing plays on 64 percent of their snaps, the third most in the league, and added another big-bodied red-zone target in rookie Kenny Golladay this last offseason to keep Stafford firing on all cylinders.

In the eleventh round, I’m buying in on Stafford with high expectations for 2017. He could very easily produce QB1 numbers and his cost enables you to take him after already balancing out your skill positions. He might be the best value at quarterback in the entire fantasy landscape this season, don’t miss out!