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Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 MLB season is alive and well and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For MLB, Single Stat consists of pitcher strikeout props as well as hitter props in which you determine if the pitcher or hitter in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. For today's article, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Single Stat pitchers and explain why a pitcher will or will not go over their projected strikeout total. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Single Stat MLBP Totals
Sandy Alcantara over 6 strikeouts - I am going to be honest and say that all the initial numbers are pretty tight today, so it might be a good idea to look at some flexes when doing pitcher totals. That being said, Alcantara will be facing a Braves team that is posting a K rate of 31.5% over the previous 10 days against right-handers, which is ranked dead last in baseball. Sandy has matched or gone over six strikeouts in seven different starts this season and is a solid candidate to do it tonight at home where he is currently boasting a 2.29 ERA.
Keegan Akin under 5.5 strikeouts - I know the Rays have struggled vs. lefties this season, but they are actually trending up at the moment. Over the previous 10 days, the Rays are posting a K rate of 22.6% and are pairing that with a second-best walk rate of 12.9%. Akin has also failed to reach even five strikeouts in each of his six appearances on the season.
Shohei Ohtani over 6 strikeouts - The Diamondbacks have struggled MIGHTILY over the past week as they are posting a K rate of 28.9% against right-handed pitchers, which is ranked second-worst in baseball over that span. They are also pairing that with a league-worst 39 wRC+ vs. right-handers over the previous 10 days. Ohtani has gone over this total in six of his eight starts on the season and this will be his first trip to an NL park, which should certainly help him reach the total in this one.
Jacob deGrom under 9.5 strikeouts - I know DeGrom just struck out 11 Padres, but can he really do that again in back-to-back starts? I think the answer is no. The Padres are still walking at a 10.5% clip over the previous 10 days against right-handers despite the 25.5% K rate (inflated due to the deGrom start), so they should be able to pose enough of a problem to keep deGrom under 10 strikeouts, which is a number he had gone under in his four previous starts prior to the Padres game. Add in the fact that rain is expected in this game, and if there is any sort of delay, I find it hard to believe the Mets would let him come back out after having waited through the delay.
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