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Orioles @ Red Sox: More or Less Contest
More or Less Contest - Martin Perez more than 4.5 strikeouts and Alex Cobb less than 3.5 strikeouts
Martin Perez has had some ups and downs in 2020, but has a solid matchup vs. the Orioles. The Orioles have been absolutely awful vs. left-handed pitching over the previous two weeks. They are positing a K rate of 29.9%, which is ranked fifth-worst in the league. They are also only posting a wRC+ mark of 24, which is ranked second-worst in the league. Perez has also reached this total in three of his previous four games.
Alex Cobb has not been great in 2020 as he has posted an ERA near five and a WHIP of 1.37. He will be facing a Red Sox team that has not been striking out much vs. right-handed pitching over the previous two weeks as noted by their K rate of just 20.7%, which is good for eighth-best in baseball. Cobb is also only posting a 17.3% K rate vs. Red Sox hitters that have faced him.
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Marlins @ Braves: More or Less Contest
More or Less Contest - Ian Anderson more than 5.5 strikeouts and Pablo Lopez more than 4.5 strikeouts
Ian Anderson gets a good matchup vs. the Marlins on Thursday night. The Marlins have been striking out at a rate of 26.1% vs. right-handers over the previous two weeks and are also only posting a wRC+ mark 83, which means Anderson should be able to navigate this lineup. Anderson has also reached this total in four of his five starts in 2020.
Pablo Lopez's prop is a tad scarier only because the Braves have not been striking out as much as we would like vs. right-handers over the previous two weeks. Their mark currently sits at just 20.6%, but Lopez certainly has the stuff to reach five strikeouts in this matchup. He has gone over 4.5 strikeouts in four of his last five starts. While the one start he did not hit five was vs. Atlanta, he did manage to strike out eight Braves back on 8/14. I am going to trust the stuff of Lopez and go with the more than here.
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