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Sunday night features the Coca-Cola 600 from Charlotte, North Carolina. William Byron, Joey Logano, Kyle Larson, Kyle Busch, and Chase Elliott made up the top five from the Friday night practice session. Monkey Knife Fight has an extremely easy fantasy point system: 0.1 points for each lap led and then a set amount of points for their position (20 for 1st place, 19 for 2nd place, 18 for 3rd, and so on).
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Pick 1: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/2)
Recommended Prop Pick: Kyle Larson MORE 19.5 Fantasy Points and Martin Truex Jr. LESS 19.5 Fantasy Points
Larson and Truex Jr. are expected to be two of the better fantasy point producers at Charlotte on Sunday and we are fortunate to have both leading off here but...
Kyle Larson has not performed so well at Charlotte but then again, he was not driving the Hendrick Motorsports Racing car that he is now. The driver is a very narrow 5 to 1 favorite on Sunday in what expects to be a very competitive field. He loves racing on those 1.5-mile low-wear tracks. If it was not for some contact at Kansas, the driver would have been 4 for 4 in top-four finishes. When anyone leads 40-45% of laps at a distance, that makes them worth looking at the more. After all, 400 laps is a large number as they say. Even if Larson does not win, as long as he contends and leads some laps, the MORE is a decent option.
For a driver like Martin Truex Jr., Charlotte represents a potential bounce back of sorts. Everything that could go wrong did as Truex Jr. in the last two races. It seemed the harder he tried, the worse things got. It has just been a stretch where you chalk it up to a bad time and move on. The Joe Gibbs Racing driver did have a pretty good practice session and again the wildcard is how that translates into qualifying. The uncertainty makes one hesitant about a higher point projection. Even 19.5 seems a little high given the unpredictability of this race. The No. 19 may have some issues getting to the front enough. Can he finish in the top three or lead enough laps? Those are both questions that are possible affirmatives. He did lead 527 laps since 2017 at the track and overall has won Charlotte three times. Take the MORE as even 50 led laps may be enough.
This all boils down to wrecks mostly (do watch for humid conditions) for the Coca-Cola 600.
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Pick 2: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/2)
Recommended Prop Pick: Chase Elliott LESS 18.5 Fantasy Points, Brad Keselowski LESS 16.5 Fantasy Points
This prop is rough because of where the drivers may start on Sunday at Charlotte. Chase Elliott and Brad Keselowski may not have had great practice sessions but qualifying and the race itself are two different animals.
Chase Elliott finally won in 2021 last week at Texas but he did need a bit of help as the road race was cut to 54 laps. Does he press too hard again or does Elliott just race his race? If he plays it smart, the Hendrick Motorsports Racing driver will likely hit the over with some laps led and a top-five finish. If he takes too many risks, that LESS looks more and more likely by the lap. For as good as Elliott can look, things can so south quickly. Elliott ranks just 12th on 1.5-mile tracks this year but has four straight seventh-place or better finishes this season and four of five top-four finishes at Charlotte. Take the MORE here as a podium and some lead laps could be in the No. 9's future.
These point totals are intriguing but risky when it comes to Brad Keselowski. He is a true wildcard as he has the sixth-most fantasy points in the last three seasons when it comes to 1.5-mile tracks but he has had his issues on these tracks as well. The problem is three races where Keselowski has finished outside the top-15. Keselowski could potentially win and carries 11-1 odds on Sunday. The Team Penske driver probably will not project to lead enough laps. The idea is to be smart about this. Take the LESS and try not to think about it. There are better options on this low-wear track on Sunday evening.
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