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Hello once again everyone! We head for Martinsville Speedway for the Xfinity 500 this week and another edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Now, that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win. As for the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score which has a scoring system where 1st nets 40 points, 2nd is worth 39, 3rd is worth 38, and so on. Every lap led equals an extra 0.01 points. For NASCAR, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Fantasy Score and see which players may go over or under their projected point totals. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Fantasy Score Point Totals
Kyle Busch Over 35.5 Points. This week we again swing out during the final phase which determines the Championship Four. The younger Busch could very well win this week and a group of us kind of thing that he needs to. Martinsville has caused his laps-led percentage to dip just under 4%. The Joe Gibbs Racing driver has a lot of ability to take the OVER here and a likely top-five finish or better.
Ryan Blaney Under 35 Points. The risk is high here but Ryan Blaney seems like one of those forgotten drivers this week. Only four other drivers have had more top-ten finishes at Martinsville in the last three years. Arguably, the chances Blaney finishes seventh or worse is increasing.
Denny Hamlin Over 35.5 Points. The idea is good enough again here. Hamlin is one of those five or six drivers that has led 10-15% of all laps on this short track. Martinsville is it is only a little off in terms of the props. Hamlin has strung together a series of solid finishes but will it be enough for this prop? That is the big question as far as the No. 11 when he races 0n Sunday afternoon. Our guess is yes, take the over.
Kyle Larson Under 36 Points. The risk bit us last week and yet, we go to the well once again. The problem is that Larson will do anything to win a race. That becomes a double-edged sword. Sometimes it works for the props and other times it does not. Larson has to finish on the podium to prove us wrong. The chances he does are moderate at least but the chances he does not are as well. Larson could fall from the pole and pretty quickly. Take the UNDER this Sunday afternoon.
Kurt Busch Over 30 Points. This is bonkers. Busch is 8h in driver average finish and that is you guessed it 11th among all current drivers. It should be intriguing to see if the No. 1 can get into the top ten on Sunday evening. Again, Busch does have four top-tens in his last seven attempts of the Martinsville track. The best bet is to hedge and hope for a bit more attrition than usual. That means to roll the Numero Uno this week and take the OVER.
Some other drivers to look at:
Christopher Bell (over 30.5 points) -- Things have not gone well for Bell at times and Sunday could be good as Bell has four straight top-tens.
Martin Truex Jr. (over 33 points) -- Truex Jr.'s better tracks are coming up. Martinsville will be his chance to go for the win. This
Matt DiBenedetto (over 27.5 points) -- Sorry everyone again. DiBenedetto could wind up close to the top ten. It is easiest just to take the over.
Chase Elliott (over 35 points) -- No one would be shocked if Elliott even ends up closer to the top ten. This may be a race where one gets twisted around often.
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