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Hello everybody and welcome! We hit the NASCAR All-Star Race from the Texas Motor Speedway this week and another edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Now, that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score which has a scoring system where 1st nets 40 points, 2nd is worth 39, 3rd is worth 38, and so on. Every lap led equals an extra 0.01 points. For NASCAR, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Fantasy Score and see which players may go over or under their projected point totals. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Fantasy Score Point Totals
Chase Elliott Under 35.5 Points. This was not an easy choice but Elliott has not struggled exactly on the Texas track and 1.5-mile tracks lately, but there is some concern. Elliott is 13th best on this track and ninth on intermediate tracks the last three seasons. His laps led percentage is just 1.94 (1 in every 51 laps). He has just one top-ten in six races as well. Again, the No. 9 just has not run well enough here to warrant taking a risk. Adding in the fact, his points prop is so high, the under is the pick!
Kevin Harvick Over 33 Points. Harvick has always enjoyed Texas Motor Speedway and this week looks to be much the same. Shorter runs may actually help the Stewart-Haas driver. He has a couple of wins and five top-tens in his last six races there. While Kyle Busch may appear to be a co-favorite of sorts, Harvick has led 22.47% of the laps on this track. Harvick starts all the way down in 12th but he may be able to sneak up the field. This is another case of the over being a play.
William Byron Over 33 Points. The idea is great given the build and the Hendrick Motorsports Racing driver's consistency. He has now finished in the top-10 in 12 of the last 13 races. This Sunday at Texas could likely be another given how well the No. 24 is running. Byron has looked very fast at 1.5-mile tracks this year and he just has to finish eighth to push. Given again the body of his work, the over is worth a shot.
Kyle Larson Over 37.5 Points. This is risky for Kyle Larson on Sunday as laps led are expected to be much harder to come by. The good news is he will have the first shot as Larson drew the pole position. It will remain to be seen how he does on these shorter runs. The 30 lap run may be the most helpful to his position. Again, this race is all about the dollars as there are no points awarded here. That being said, we will still risk the over here.
Kyle Busch Over 35 Points. Busch found a way to win the Xfinity Series race on Saturday and that late run bodes well for Sunday night. The younger Busch drew the second position and that should benefit the No. 18 driver. Busch has been pretty good on these 1.5-mile tracks and Texas may be a track that Busch can keep up with Larson. It will not take much for Busch to hit the over here. Just a top-six pushes and any lap led, in addition, makes it a hit. The over is our choice on Sunday night.
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