RADIO
Hello everyone once again! We ride up to Dover, Delaware for the DuraMAX Drydene 400 this week and the 11th 2022 edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of.
PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win. As for the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score which has a scoring system where 1st nets 45 points, 2nd is worth 42, 3rd is worth 41, and so on. Every lap led NOW equals an extra 0.25 points. Every fastest clocked lap equals an extra 0.45 points. Laps led are 0.25 points per lap and place differential is plus or minus one point. For NASCAR, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Fantasy Score and see which players may go over or under their projected point totals. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Fantasy Score Point Totals
Martin Truex Jr. Under 43.5 Points. This is high-risk only because it is again, Martin Truex Jr. This is not easy given the fact that Truex Jr. has shown very good results, including a recent win, at Dover. However, the Next-Gen car has been one inconsistent beast for Joe Gibbs Racing in general. This has impacted Truex Jr. significantly as well. Last year, his tires were an issue on a track where they normally are not. The Next-Gen's speed may be more problematic this time around. Take the Under and expect some sweaty moments.
Chris Buescher Under 26.5 Points. The reason is the overall body of work. Despite nabbing the pole position on Sunday, Buescher could drop like a lead weight and not come back enough to make up the place differential. It has happened in the past on this track. See Truex Jr. last year and several others through the years. Buescher's intervals did drop a good deal later in his runs too. Buescher only has to drop about 10-12 positions and not lead a lot of laps for this prop to hit. Again, think place differential. Take the under.
Bubba Wallace Under 21.5 Points. This is one of the more fun numbers to look at on Sunday. Wallace should finish better but this may come down to luck or the lack thereof. Later in the race, problems seem to follow the Toyota cars. See last year with several of them including Truex Jr, etc. It has been something talked about that tire wear and speed have gone hand in hand with the Toyota on this track. That makes one squeamish when tilting toward the over. Any substantial drop-off in position seals Wallace's fate. Take the under.
Alex Bowman Over 46.5 Points. The #48 driver benefits majorly due to track position this week. He will not have to lead as many laps as Kyle Larson or Chase Elliott. Also, Bowman is capable of leading plenty of laps by himself. Last year's Spring winner showed that and kept the other Hendrick cars away over a long 97-lap stretch. He also has four top-five results here at Dover which makes him the most consistent. Combine the likely result with enough led laps and that over could be far less risky than one thinks.
Tyler Reddick Over 42.5 Points. This could prove to work yet again. Reddick starting way down at 26th is a big boost. His Chevy was a good deal better in practice than in qualifying. It could take some time for the car to warm up but when he gets going, Reddick could gain tenths of a second on the field. Anything near the top-ten offers enough positive points from place differential on Sunday. Take the over here on Sunday for the No. 8 Chevy.
Some Other Drivers to Look At
Kurt Busch (Under 32.5 points) -- The elder Busch starts 16th and may drop a bit more than expected as his Toyota seems to have more problems than not lately on the Monster Mile. Picking the under here carries lots of risk but could pay off later.
Willam Byron (Over 59.5 points) -- Expect another very good week for Byron. After all, he was Mr. Consistent even at Dover. Despite wrecking into the wall on Saturday, that may help his fortune on Sunday. While he will not lead laps, if he finishes in the top-five that will give him well over 60 points (67 to be exact) on Sunday. That is more than enough reason to place him somewhere on your list.
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The Keys to Weekly NASCAR DFS Success
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