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Sunday afternoon features the eighth race of the Chase at Kansas Motor Speedway. The Hollywood Casino 400 is raced on a 1.5-mile tri-oval track. Monkey Knife Fight has an extremely easy fantasy point system: 0.1 points for each lap led and then a set amount of points for their position (20 for 1st place, 19 for 2nd place, 18 for 3rd, and so on).
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We'll be helping you along every day and night where there's a race, by providing you with expert prop picks all NASCAR season long here at RotoBaller.
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Pick 1: Rapidfire Time Pick The Correct Drivers
As promised, the shots we are taking with RapidFire keep on continuing. This week at Kansas Motor Speedway could be infuriating. One thing to expect is more volatility than usual. We said that last week and expect it again this week.
With this weekend's race shaping the Round of 8, there is a different mindset to approach this. Think about it. There remain just three races in the 2021 NASCAR season. It is crazy to think we have just a handful of races left. Here are some pitfalls with this week's race.
The idea that Kyle Busch is giving up just 0.5 points on a track where he is historically very good seems insane. Hell, even Denny Hamlin is getting 2.5 points against Kyle Larson for example. Did someone make Hendrick Motorsports the lightning rod on props? Hey, the question has to be asked. Now, Kyle Larson can buck almost any trend but 2.5 points is a lot here. With Larson winning last week, does he go for it this weekend anyway?
Then, there is that Kyle Busch and William Byron debate. This is a near-even matchup. Monkey Knife Fight rightfully has this one at a half-point for the younger Busch. It is so very close. Yes, historical trends can again be bucked. Accidents happen. However, that pesky No. 24 car has a way of finishing well at Kansas but so does Busch. That is a considerable problem because Busch can win on Sunday and arguably may have to.
Last week, Larson fought everything en route to his eighth win of the season. Few could believe that the No. 5 car would just find a way to not only win but then hold off everyone to boot. Is that what Busch has to do this week just to claim a checkered flag? This is going to be some race and there is also the possibility of yes...rain delay(s) due to storms.
So, it's a risky bet here on both fronts and a bet on the underdogs is worth a shot. If it feels like the pattern flip flops every week, one is not wrong.
The Sunday afternoon picks are Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin with the points!
RapidFire Picks: Denny Hamlin (+2.5), Kyle Busch (-0.5)
Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight
Pick 2: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/2)
Recommended Prop Pick: Kyle Busch MORE 16.5 Fantasy Points, William Byron MORE 16.5 Fantasy Points
This prop here finally hit us where it hurt last week but we come back undaunted this week. After all, it has been mostly a very good year with the Monkey Knife Fight props. Just think, hockey props will come soon enough.
Anyway, luck was not on our side last week but again, we try to take this on anyway. Kyle Busch has some more historical success here with two wins in the last three seasons at Texas. Busch has had some fewer issues at Kansas. Also, usually, there are fewer crashes on the Kansas track and more, get this, driving!
These point totals are enticing no doubt. There are 267 laps in all (unless there's overtime). The laps increase is nice but just because someone is at or near the pole does not make a ton of laps led automatic. We have seen racers on the pole just fade like crazy too often.
Take the MORE anyway for Busch especially because of the laps-led potential. His percentage is quite high on the Texas track. If he gets on a run late, lookout. The problem becomes Byron. What does one do here? The MORE is our choice but just expect a serious amount of sweating on Sunday or is that Monday? Yes, keep on swinging away.
Pick 2/2 Correctly to 2.5x Your Buy-in
Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight
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