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Sunday night features the NASCAR All-Star Race from Texas Motor Speedway in Texas. Kyle Larson, Kyle Busch, Christopher Bell, Cole Custer, and Austin Dillon make up the top five for this race. Monkey Knife Fight has an extremely easy fantasy point system: 0.1 points for each lap led and then a set amount of points for their position (20 for 1st place, 19 for 2nd place, 18 for 3rd, and so on).
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Pick 1: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/2)
Recommended Prop Pick: Kyle Busch MORE 17.5 Fantasy Points and Kevin Harvick LESS 17.5 Fantasy Points
Busch and Harvick are expected to be two of the better fantasy point producers at Texas on Sunday and we are fortunate to have both leading off here but...
Kyle Busch has become a monster that few tracks can contain. He nearly has won the last couple of races. The Joe Gibbs Racing driver has improved again over the last month or so. He could thrive on a track like this with all the short runs. It just features quite a bit of unknown as well. Most will be on Kyle Larson and for good reason but the younger Busch may be the real surprise here. Remember, this does not count for points and just for money. The format alone could change some philosophies here as well. Take the MORE here.
For a driver like Kevin Harvick, this may be more of a challenge. He has been good in these types of races but Texas Motor Speedway is a different animal in these types of conditions. Guessing laps led is tough but Harvick may not figure much into that equation anyway. That means he will have to finish in the top-3 or four at the end. Can he do that? With the cars in front of him, the answer is likely no. It is partly why we are gambling and taking the less here. Harvick can drive this track very well. However, in the best on the best scenario, this may not be as favorable as some would think.
This all boils down to who adjust bests to all the short-runs (do watch for mostly dry conditions) for the NASCAR All-Star Race.
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Pick 2: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/2)
Recommended Prop Pick: Kyle Larson LESS 20.5 Fantasy Points, Martin Truex Jr. LESS 18.5 Fantasy Points
This prop is rough because of where Truex Jr. starts and how few racers and laps are on Sunday. The latter may be what impacts Larson as well -- especially if Larson does not lead a lot of laps early.
Kyle Larson looks to be the easiest pick in the world here but this may be the one week where he is not. The expectation is the unexpected to reign supreme here. This is not a conventional format and there are many stops, starts, etc. This is likely to impact much in the way of strategy. This may be the one time when one looks at 20 points for a win and the laps led for Larson and go no, we will take the LESS here. For the first time in a good while, that may be prudent.
These point totals are interesting with Martin Truex Jr. He could win this thing but could also end up near the back. The Joe Gibbs Racing driver will go for it here more than any other course. That is just how the New Jersey native races. The problem is trying to guess points and laps led. Can Truex Jr. get to the front at any point -- starting from tenth? That remains a considerable question mark. Anything is possible but as long as Hendrick Motorsports has a couple of cars near the front, it might be unlikely. With that being said, take the LESS here. It will be a good sweat for prop bettors.
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