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Well, we went three for five last night, and we were one McCollum three pointer away from going four for five. Domantas Sabonis was predictably awesome, Trae Young crushed his three pointer prop, and Jeff Teague just did enough to get us there in assists. The Orlando and Detroit blowout crushed our chances at the final prop.
Today is a new day! Unfortunately we only have two games to work with on this Tuesday, but we'll still see if we can find a couple lines that look exploitable. At lease we have some pretty high totals with spreads below 10 points. Let's see what we can do to follow up a solid night last night.
You can follow me on Twitter @BellRoto. Happy to be back in the fold with the NBA season really ramping up. If you have more questions about these prop bets or other NBA DFS situations, hit me up throughout the day on Twitter. Let’s do it!
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Kristaps Porzingis (DAL) UNDER 19.5 Points
I was hard-pressed to find something I loved in this game. So, I'm leaning on this pick. Porzingis is starting to come into his own as a Dallas Maverick alongside Luka Doncic, but his points still fluctuate from night to night due to the variance that being a second-fiddle shooter presents. His 23 points against Houston last time out may have inflated this line, because he's hovered right around 18-20 leading up to that point. This Clippers defense is much tougher, and open transition shots shouldn't be nearly as plentiful. I'll take the under here and hold my breath every time he lines one up from deep.
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Bradley Beal (WAS) OVER 6.5 Assists
I'm hesistant to hammer the over on points for Beal just because of the Denver altitude effect. We've seen shooters struggle in this spot in the past. Denver's defense is also no slouch, but I think this assist line is too low. Beal has at least eight assists in 5 of the last 7 games. He's a different kind of player this year in terms of usage (33.26%), and I think six dimes is the floor. I'll take my chances that he notches seven or more.
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Nikola Jokic (DEN) OVER 12.5 Rebounds
After slumping for much of November, Jokic seems to be figuring this out on both ends of the floor, collecting 31 rebounds over his last three games. The Wizards are a fast team who shoot a ton of jumpers. They also don't play in Denver a whole lot, so I'm hoping this altitude thing proves true for today (as long as Beal hits his assist number). As active as a typical Jokic is, I think 13 boards is very reasonable on Tuesday.
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