Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

NFL NextGen Stats Analysis for Fantasy Football: Introduction


At this point in time, there is no excuse for you to not get the statistics being used in every sport you follow and their importance. Back in the day, it was all about wins and losses, passing yards, and touchdowns scored. It is not that those stats are worthless, but they don't offer much to the savvy analysts. While football is yet in its infancy in terms of analytics compared to baseball, the evolution the sport has seen lately in those terms is notable.

One interesting advancement in the NFL world is related to player tracking. The league calls it Next Gen Stats, and it boils down to capturing and crunching location data. This allows getting information about the players' position in the field, their speed, how they move, etc. I know you're a busy individual looking for a shortcut to get the best possible fantasy football results without spending tons of time researching, so I decided to launch this series for the 2019 season.

I will be writing weekly about NFL's Next Gen Stats and how they can be used in fantasy leagues. Watch this space every Wednesday for a new take on some fancy metrics. I will be working on a rolling basis, discussing different stats each week to keep things fresh and cover as many information and players as possible. As you might not be familiar with some of the stats I will talk about in here, I thought it could be interesting to run an introductory post in which I will hand out some definitions and show data from 2018. You can use it to get familiar with some names and acronyms, to start understanding where they can help you with your fantasy decisions, and also to attach some players' names already to the different stats so you get a quick idea of what we're talking about and what you can expect going forward. Let's get started!

Editor's Note: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Exclusive access to our Premium articles, rankings, projections, 15 lineup tools and daily Premium DFS research/tools including our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station and so much more! Sign Up Now!

 

It's All About Air Yards

If you are still not aware of them, Air Yards are the new cool kid in town. They are mostly used for both quarterbacks and wide receivers/tight ends, and I will focus on that latter. Basically, Air Yards tells us the vertical yards on a pass attempt from the line of scrimmage to the point where the ball was caught by the receiver (or the catch failed to be completed.)

I will be using mainly two metrics here: Average Targeted Air Yards (TAY), and %Share of Team's Air Yards (TAY%).

TAY tells us how many air yards a receiver is thrown per target. This is the number of yards the passes he's thrown fly from the line of scrimmage to the point where he attempts the catch. It allows knowing how far down the field a receiver is targeted on average, or how much of a deep/short threat he is.

I have charted the five-best and five-worst receivers in YAC from the 2018 season. As you can see, plenty of names you probably expected here appear at the top of the list as they are mainly deep threats, while tight ends crowd the bottom as they normally run shorter routes.

Player Position Team TAY
Robert Foster WR BUF 20.6
DeSean Jackson WR TB 19.1
Robby Anderson WR NYJ 16.5
Kenny Stills WR MIA 16.4
David Moore WR SEA 16.4
Jarius Wright WR CAR 5.7
Jeff Heuerman TE DEN 5.7
Vance McDonald TE PIT 5.7
Evan Engram TE NYG 5.1
Ryan Switzer WR PIT 3.2

Let's move on to TAY%. In this case, we're looking at the broad picture. Instead of focusing on the passes thrown exclusively to a certain player, we are analyzing his opportunities among all the receivers of a team. TAY% measures the percentage of Air Yards a receiver was thrown at over the sum of his team's total Air Yards.

Here are the 2018 leaders and trailers:

Player Team Position TAY%
Julio Jones ATL WR 45.64
DeAndre Hopkins HOU WR 44.04
Tyreek Hill KC WR 38.16
Kenny Golladay DET WR 37.56
Antonio Brown PIT WR 36.07
Nick Vannett SEA TE 6.78
Gerald Everett LAR TE 6.56
Cameron Brate TB TE 6.46
Jeff Heuerman DEN TE 6.24
Ryan Switzer PIT WR 2.67

As you can see, this is much more telling of the true level of a player than the raw TAY metric. We find elite receivers at the top of the list (the players that are actually trusted by their quarterbacks and therefore thrown the ball more), and not-so-great ones at the bottom (including, again, our beloved tight ends). A player doesn't need to have a huge TAY to be the most productive guy if he's getting thrown the most times even if he's running shorter routes. Remember: you should always focus on volume over everything.

 

Ballcarriers, Head North!

This is an old debate. Do you prefer a patient running back with great instincts, or would you rather bet on your typical smashmouth, head-first beast that just relies on brute force to make a way for himself?

We can define runners in terms of how they move, and how quickly they do so. Two advanced stats allow us to measure these things: Efficiency (EFF) and Time Behind the Line of Scrimmage (TLOS).

With EFF, we look at the total number of yards (both vertical and horizontal) the rusher traveled in comparison to the vertical yards he gained. If he gains 10 yards traveling another 10, we know he ran a straight line forward for an Efficiency of 1.0. If he gained 10 yards but traveled 20 total yards, he had an 0.5 Efficiency as 10 of those 20 yards didn't give his offense any real advancement up the field. Here are the five most and least efficient runners of 2018:

Player Team EFF
Gus Edwards BAL 2.78
Frank Gore MIA 3.13
Phillip Lindsay DEN 3.39
Kerryon Johnson DET 3.41
Christian McCaffrey CAR 3.44
Alex Collins BAL 4.91
Tarik Cohen CHI 4.96
LeSean McCoy BUF 5.07
LeGarrette Blount DET 5.1
Elijah McGuire NYJ 5.2

Any Efficiency mark under 3.15 is almost unheard of. What Gus Edwards did in 2018 was just ridiculous. No player ran less and gained more than he did when he rushed the ball. Other great RBs appear on the list, making it clear they're not in for the waisting of their legs and yards in vain. On the other hand, Blount and McCoy covered much more space laterally than they ultimately gained forward as their high EFF numbers show.

As for TLOS, we're getting just what it stands for: the amount of time a rusher spends before crossing the Line of Scrimmage, no matter if the RB uses that time standing still in the back of a lineman waiting for an opening, or just moving east/west trying to break through some hole. High or low TLOS values don't correlate with better or worse efficiency, mind you. Le'Veon Bell is a patient runner (3.11 TLOS in 2017), and one of the most efficient rushers. On the other hand, Carlos Hyde averaged the second-highest TLOS last year but only logged a paltry 3.3 yards per attempt. Here are the slowest and fastest RBs to cross the LOS in 2018:

Player Team TLOS
Gus Edwards BAL 2.43
Frank Gore MIA 2.53
Jordan Howard CHI 2.55
Mark Ingram NO 2.58
Leonard Fournette JAX 2.63
Nick Chubb CLE 3.01
Rashaad Penny SEA 3.01
Alex Collins BAL 3.01
Carlos Hyde JAX 3.02
Tarik Cohen CHI 3.34

 

Receiving DIYers

I have already introduced you to the Air Yards concept. While both TAY and TAY% give us a good idea of how deep down the field receivers are used, and how important they are for their attacks in terms of intended usage, we still don't know much about what they do once they get the ball in their hands. Enter Yards After Catch (YAC).

Nothing hard to understand here. YAC measures the yards gained by a receiver after he catches the ball. A deep threat that is able to catch the ball way down the field is a good receiver. A deep threat that does that and then adds another extra five-to-ten yards is a great one.

Look at the top and the bottom of the 2018 leaderboard:

Player Position Team YAC/R
George Kittle TE SF 10.2
Evan Engram TE NYG 9
D.J. Moore WR CAR 7.9
Vance McDonald TE PIT 7.9
Quincy Enunwa WR NYJ 7.7
Zay Jones WR BUF 2.6
Daesean Hamilton WR DEN 2.4
Cameron Brate TE TB 2.1
Devin Funchess WR CAR 1.8
Chad Williams WR ARI 0.9

Although not as important or impactful as the other Air Yards concepts, YAC are also valuable for both the receivers and their quarterbacks. Air Yards alone award points to the QB as they are strictly linked to the pass (if it is completed). YAC are good for both the receiver and the QB. The receiver gaining more yards means he gets more points. The quarterback, but virtue of the receiver extending the offensive gain, also gets more yards assigned to his pass and more points by extension. Although not game-breaking, always look for high YAC values when assessing WR/TE ability and consider it when stacking QB/WR/TE groups in your lineups.

 

Expected (and Unexpected) Outcomes

Thank you for still being with me. If you have made it to this point, nothing will keep you from understanding this last bit of information! After touching slightly on them in the last section, we're looking deeper at quarterbacks here to close this introduction.

A key metric for passers is their Completion Percentage (COMP%). This is nothing new. Just take all the completed passes from a quarterback and divide them by the total number of passes he has thrown. Keep in mind, though, that it takes two to complete a pass. The quarterback can be as good as the best one, but if the receiver he's throwing the ball to has buttery hands and always drops the ball, the QB's COMP% will be always dragged down.

Take a look at the best and worst passers in terms of COMP% in 2018:

Player Team COMP%
Drew Brees NO 74.4
Nick Foles PHI 72.3
Kirk Cousins MIN 70.1
Carson Wentz PHI 69.6
Matt Ryan ATL 69.4
Jeff Driskel CIN 59.7
Lamar Jackson BAL 58.2
Sam Darnold NYJ 57.7
Josh Rosen ARI 55.2
Josh Allen BUF 52.8

As I already mentioned, COMP% is linked to both the quarterback ability and his group of receivers. Take Drew Brees. He is one of the best QB to ever play, and he also had otherworldly receivers in Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara (in terms of Catch%). Nick Foles, though? I'm sure you didn't expect to find his name as high as it is, but his receivers and league-low tendency to look for short completions helped him make the most out of his throws.

At the bottom of the table, the five names to appear there were all rookies. It takes time to get the grips of the NFL, and things get even harder if the guys at the other end of the field are not very good at catching the ball or you just throw bombs downfield.

The final thing to keep in consideration is that not every pass has a unique outcome depending on the situation. Not every throw from Matt Ryan to Julio Jones from Atlanta's five-yard line that flies 15 yards through the air until it reaches Jones is caught exactly 85% of the times. But NFL Next Gen Stats have built a model that uses completion probability (based on thing slike the receiver's separation from the defenders, its position on the field, the time took by the passer to throw, etc) to give each pass an Expected Completion Percentage (xCOMP).

For us, xCOMP is important because it can be directly compared with COMP% to see whether a quarterback is over or underachieving. By looking at the difference between COMP% minus xCOMP% we get the quarterback's Completion Percentage Above Expectation (+/-).

It will be easier to get the idea under that concept looking at the leaders and trailers of the metric in 2018:

Player Team COMP% xCOMP% +/-
Drew Brees NO 74.4 67.6 6.9
Nick Foles PHI 72.3 67.4 4.9
Russell Wilson SEA 65.6 61.4 4.2
Kirk Cousins MIN 70.1 66 4.1
Matt Ryan ATL 69.4 65.3 4.1
Josh Rosen ARI 55.2 59.7 -4.5
Lamar Jackson BAL 58.2 63.5 -5.3
Blake Bortles JAX 60.3 67.8 -7.5
Josh Allen BUF 52.8 60.5 -7.7
C.J. Beathard SF 60.4 68.4 -8.1

You shouldn't misjudge the +/- values as just plain luck if positive, bad luck if negative. Keep in mind that the model for xCOMP% gives an average estimation to the rate a given pass/situation should end on a completed pass for the average quarterback and throw withing those parameters. This means great quarterbacks are probably going to surpass expectations (that is what makes them great), poor quarterbacks will fall short of expectations (negative +/-), and the rest of the field will be just there floating around the neutral-zero +/- value.

Drew Brees is a living legend. It is normal he is playing above what we could expect from the average thrower. C.J. Beathard, on the other hand, was a backup forced into San Francisco's lineup in 2018 and he did what he could. Not saying he wasn't unlucky here and there in some plays, but he still fell way short of expectations and that also exposed his below-average level at the position.

Nick Foles appears here again as the first-best human to make the list behind alien-ish Brees. We should take his COMP% with a grain of salt given the rest of his stats (never use a single number as the be-all and end-all when assessing a player's ability!) In this case, we would discover he probably finished the year a little over where he should have truly ended. For those at the bottom of the list, it took time to Josh Allen to get how the NFL works, but such a mediocre COMP% should positively regress at least a bit to what he showed in college (56 COMP%) and his last game of the season (65.4%)

 

Conclusion

That is all I will be bringing to you this upcoming season. Don't close your research to just the classic statistics that have been out there for ages. Dig deeper. Move to new ways of analyzing players. Gain an edge over your league mates. Use all of the data you can and field the best lineup each week if you really want to win.

And don't worry if you don't have much time to study all of this stuff by yourself. I will be here to help you each week!

More Fantasy Football Analysis




eSports Premium Tools

NHL Premium Tools

RotoBaller Player News

Jakob Poeltl4 months ago

Jakob Poeltl Records Second Double-Double In Three Games
José Altuve4 months ago

Jose Altuve Will Be Absent From Wednesday’s Lineup Amid Slump
Pablo Sandoval4 months ago

Donovan Solano, Pablo Sandoval Out Of Tuesday’s Lineup
Ronald Acuña Jr.4 months ago

Ronald Acuna Jr. Scratched From Lineup Due To Injury
Blake Snell4 months ago

Blake Snell Plans To Ramp Up To Five IP Wednesday
Joe Musgrove4 months ago

Joe Musgrove Placed On Injured List With Triceps Ailment
George Springer4 months ago

George Springer Absent From Lineup For Fifth Straight Game
Ryan Braun4 months ago

Ryan Braun Returns To Lineup Tuesday Batting Fifth
Leury García4 months ago

Leury Garcia Placed On Injured List
Edwin Encarnación4 months ago

Edwin Encarnacion Returns To Lineup Tuesday
DeMar DeRozan4 months ago

DeMar DeRozan Scores Efficient 23 Points
Keldon Johnson4 months ago

Keldon Johnson Has Best Game Of Career
Seth Curry4 months ago

Seth Curry Listed As Out For Tuesday
Giannis Antetokounmpo4 months ago

Giannis Antetokounmpo Listed As Questionable
Eric Bledsoe4 months ago

Eric Bledsoe, Donte DiVincenzo Sidelined Tuesday
Wesley Matthews4 months ago

Wesley Matthews Sitting Out Versus Washington
Daniel Theis4 months ago

Daniel Theis Will Play Tuesday
Tobias Harris4 months ago

Tobias Harris Out On Tuesday
PGA4 months ago

Sungjae Im Looks To Find Form At Wyndham
Kevin Kisner4 months ago

Kevin Kisner Heads To Carolina In Sharp Form
Paul Casey4 months ago

Paul Casey Riding Positive Momentum Into Wyndham
Russell Henley4 months ago

Russell Henley Brings Hot Irons To Wyndham
Webb Simpson4 months ago

Webb Simpson An Elite Option At Wyndham
Alex Smith4 months ago

Alex Smith Could Compete For Starting Job
Travis Fulgham4 months ago

Packers Claim Travis Fulgham
Sony Michel4 months ago

Sony Michel's Status Still Uncertain
Lamar Miller4 months ago

Patriots Sign Lamar Miller
Alvin Kamara4 months ago

Alvin Kamara Dealt With Torn Knee In 2019
Nasrat Haqparast4 months ago

Nasrat Haqparast Gets Back On Track With Win
Andrew Sanchez4 months ago

Andrew Sanchez Scores Big First-Round Knockout
Justin Jaynes4 months ago

Justin Jaynes Submitted In Third Round
Gavin Tucker4 months ago

Gavin Tucker Wins Via Rear-Naked Choke
Ryan Blaney4 months ago

Ryan Blaney Wrecked Out By Teammate, Finishes 38th
Erik Jones4 months ago

Erik Jones Fades Late, Finishes 27th At Michigan
Denny Hamlin4 months ago

Denny Hamlin Comes Up Just Short In Race Two At Michigan
Kevin Harvick4 months ago

Kevin Harvick Sweeps Michigan
TOR4 months ago

Andreas Johnsson Activated from IR, Will Play in Game 5
CBJ4 months ago

Joonas Korpisalo Back in Net for Blue Jackets
CBJ4 months ago

Zach Werenski and Ryan Murray Both in Lineup for Game 5
TB4 months ago

Victor Hedman Awaiting Injury News
Austin Dillon4 months ago

Austin Dillon Crashes Late, Finishes 31st In Race One At Michigan
Aric Almirola4 months ago

Aric Almirola Struggles In Race One At Michigan
NASCAR4 months ago

Bubba Wallace Nabs Top-10 Finish At Michigan
Brad Keselowski4 months ago

Brad Keselowski Runner-Up Again At Michigan
A.J. Green4 months ago

A.J. Green Looking Explosive In Practices
T.J. Hockenson4 months ago

T.J. Hockenson Activated From COVID List
NFL4 months ago

Miami Dolphins Sign Chester Rogers
Peter Barrett4 months ago

Peter Barrett Unable To Get His First Octagon Win
Erik Jones4 months ago

Erik Jones Ends Up In 11th At Michigan
Youssef Zalal4 months ago

Youssef Zalal Wins Third Bout Of 2020
MMA4 months ago

Ali Al Qaisi Drops Debut In Very Close Contest
Irwin Rivera4 months ago

Irwin Rivera Earns Hard-Fought Decision In Opener
4 months ago

Daniel Castano Struggles A Bit In His Debut
4 months ago

Eric Hosmer Activated Off IL, Rejoins Lineup Saturday
Oakland Athletics4 months ago

Frankie Montas Sharp Again Vs Astros
Jarvis Landry4 months ago

Jarvis Landry Activated From PUP List
MON4 months ago

Carey Price Blanks Penguins In Series Clinching Game 4
NYI4 months ago

Anthony Beauvillier Scores Twice As Islanders Advance To Round One
TOR4 months ago

Auston Matthews Keeps Toronto Alive With Overtime Winner
ARI4 months ago

Oliver Ekman-Larsson Quietly Adds to Growing Point Total
ARI4 months ago

Darcy Kuemper Shuts the Door on Nashville, Makes 49 Saves
4 months ago

Chris Paul Leads Team in Scoring Again
4 months ago

Luguentz Dort Stays Productive
4 months ago

Ja Morant Posts 19 Points And Nine Assists
4 months ago

Jonas Valanciunas Extends Double-Double Streak
4 months ago

Dillon Brooks Scores Game-High 22 Points
4 months ago

Zach Plesac A Risky Play Saturday
Utah Jazz4 months ago

Tony Bradley Records A Double-Double Off The Bench
Utah Jazz4 months ago

Jordan Clarkson Leads Jazz With 24 Points
San Antonio Spurs4 months ago

DeMar DeRozan Remains Quiet On Friday
San Antonio Spurs4 months ago

Jakob Poeltl Ends Double-Double Drought
San Antonio Spurs4 months ago

Derrick White Scores Team-High 24 Points
Atlanta Braves4 months ago

Braves and Phillies Game Postponed Due To Weather
4 months ago

Joey Logano Will Start On The Pole At Michigan
Texas Rangers4 months ago

Joey Gallo Out Of Lineup On Friday
4 months ago

Cam Bedrosian Not Throwing Yet
Peter Barrett4 months ago

Peter Barrett Looks To Build From Contender Series Win
Jason Day4 months ago

Is Jason Day Back?
Brooks Koepka4 months ago

Brooks Koepka Will Try To Three-Peat The PGA Championship
Jordan Spieth4 months ago

Can Jordan Spieth Keep It Within The Trees?
Rory McIlroy4 months ago

Rory McIlroy Hopes To Overcome Recent Woes
4 months ago

Joey Wendle At Shortstop Tuesday
4 months ago

Mookie Betts Participates In Modified Hitting Drill
4 months ago

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Leads Thunder With 24 Points
4 months ago

Shogo Akiyama Leading Off On Friday
4 months ago

Ryan Yarbrough Looking To Keep Momentum Going Thursday
4 months ago

Travis d'Arnaud, Tyler Flowers Activated Wednesday
4 months ago

Kevin Newman Gets Day Off On Wednesday
4 months ago

Khris Davis Absent Versus Rockies
4 months ago

Ji-Man Choi Leaves Tuesday's Game Early
4 months ago

Tanner Roark Terrific In Win Over Nationals

Today’s Most Read Articles


Warning: file_get_contents(/var/www/rotoballer.com/api/trending/trending.data): failed to open stream: No such file or directory in /var/www/rotoballer.com/wp-content/plugins/php-code-for-posts/Classes/Shortcode.php(91) : eval()'d code on line 3

Warning: Invalid argument supplied for foreach() in /var/www/rotoballer.com/wp-content/plugins/php-code-for-posts/Classes/Shortcode.php(91) : eval()'d code on line 6

More Recent Articles

 

Top 10 Fantasy Football Busts for Week 7

It's Week 7 and we are officially halfway through the fantasy regular season. With fingers crossed that the season continues to operate with minimal disruption, we can allow football to the forefront of our minds as it appears all games will be played as scheduled this week. Assuming that's the case, fantasy GMs rostering Ravens,... Read More


Booms and Busts - Starts and Sits for Week 7 Lineups

Week 6 in the NFL brought what may be one of the cleanest weeks of action to begin the season. With no catastrophic injuries affecting teams for the remainder of the year, the play on the field seemed to settle in as the more well-known players performed up to par. With big weeks from Derrick... Read More


Updated Week 7 PPR Rankings (Top 400)

Welcome to Week 7 RotoBallers. Below are our updated consensus Week 7 PPR rankings for fantasy football, including some running notes on relevant injuries, player news and rankings updates: DeSean Jackson Helped Off The Field Thursday Night K.J. Hamler Could Make His Return In Week 7 Devonta Freeman Questionable To Return Monday Night Michael Thomas Officially... Read More


Wide Receiver Snap Counts and Target Trends - Week 6 Analysis

Your wide receivers remain essential components toward your primary goal of securing league championships. As this unique regular season continues to unfold, an expanding assortment of tools is available that can provide you with an extensive level of knowledge regarding this critical position. Those results are contained in this weekly statistical breakdown of multiple categories,... Read More


Week 7 IDP Rankings, Streamers, and Notes

The big IDP news of the week happened just this Thursday morning, as our rankings were being finalized. It was pretty big news, too. Yannick Ngakoue was traded to the Baltimore Ravens! Let’s discuss just how big this news is, and whether it’s good or bad for his short and long term fantasy prospects, shall... Read More


Week 7 Fantasy Football Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings, tiers, player news and stats for Week 7 of the 2020 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings  ... Read More


Fantasy Football Trade Targets - Week 7

The fantasy trade market is always a fun one to evaluate. Articles like this are essentially glorified "Who's Hot and Who's Not" pieces but the tables are turned to where sometimes, you want to trade for those that are cold and trade away those hot. Now, six weeks into the season, we have several big-name players underperforming... Read More


Re-Evaluating the Rookie Running Back Class of 2020

We're six weeks into the 2020 NFL season and are starting to get some good ideas of what usage patterns are looking like. Which means we probably have enough data now to start to re-evaluate where certain players stand in relation to other players. For example, we've got a better idea of how this year's... Read More


WR/CB Matchups to Target and Avoid - Week 7

The CB Matchup Chart has been a helpful resource all season, specifically in Week 6. Last week's article was predictive in forecasting boom games for Julio Jones, Justin Jefferson, and Christian Kirk. It also predicted let-downs from Robby Anderson, Cooper Kupp, and Mike Evans. This week's chart will give the most accurate landscape of CB matchups yet,... Read More


Pivot Plays and Post-Waiver Pickups - Week 7

Things are starting to get difficult for fantasy football managers. Indianapolis, Minnesota, Miami and Baltimore all have the week off, so fantasy managers are already playing shorthanded. Fielding a full lineup is going to be tough as it is if you have a few injuries. If one of your key guys is listed as questionable... Read More


Week 7 Stream Team - Shallow and Deep-League Pickups

Welcome to Week 7 of the NFL season. Each week we will be providing streamer advice for all of those who need it, which is pretty much anyone and everyone. Streaming players with the best matchups each week as well as during your stud's bye weeks is an integral part of winning a fantasy championship... Read More


Lies, Damned Lies, and Fantasy Football Statistics (Week 7)

The more data we get as the season goes on, the better equipped we are to interpret matchups and make informed decisions. Then Week 6 comes along and blows it all to hell. The unpredictability of sports is what keeps us intrigued, as frustrating as it may be at times. Numbers are supposedly to be... Read More


Top 10 Fantasy Football Busts for Week 7

It's Week 7 and we are officially halfway through the fantasy regular season. With fingers crossed that the season continues to operate with minimal disruption, we can allow football to the forefront of our minds as it appears all games will be played as scheduled this week. Assuming that's the case, fantasy GMs rostering Ravens,... Read More


Booms and Busts - Starts and Sits for Week 7 Lineups

Week 6 in the NFL brought what may be one of the cleanest weeks of action to begin the season. With no catastrophic injuries affecting teams for the remainder of the year, the play on the field seemed to settle in as the more well-known players performed up to par. With big weeks from Derrick... Read More


Updated Week 7 PPR Rankings (Top 400)

Welcome to Week 7 RotoBallers. Below are our updated consensus Week 7 PPR rankings for fantasy football, including some running notes on relevant injuries, player news and rankings updates: DeSean Jackson Helped Off The Field Thursday Night K.J. Hamler Could Make His Return In Week 7 Devonta Freeman Questionable To Return Monday Night Michael Thomas Officially... Read More


Wide Receiver Snap Counts and Target Trends - Week 6 Analysis

Your wide receivers remain essential components toward your primary goal of securing league championships. As this unique regular season continues to unfold, an expanding assortment of tools is available that can provide you with an extensive level of knowledge regarding this critical position. Those results are contained in this weekly statistical breakdown of multiple categories,... Read More


Week 7 IDP Rankings, Streamers, and Notes

The big IDP news of the week happened just this Thursday morning, as our rankings were being finalized. It was pretty big news, too. Yannick Ngakoue was traded to the Baltimore Ravens! Let’s discuss just how big this news is, and whether it’s good or bad for his short and long term fantasy prospects, shall... Read More


Week 7 Fantasy Football Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings, tiers, player news and stats for Week 7 of the 2020 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings  ... Read More


Fantasy Football Trade Targets - Week 7

The fantasy trade market is always a fun one to evaluate. Articles like this are essentially glorified "Who's Hot and Who's Not" pieces but the tables are turned to where sometimes, you want to trade for those that are cold and trade away those hot. Now, six weeks into the season, we have several big-name players underperforming... Read More


Re-Evaluating the Rookie Running Back Class of 2020

We're six weeks into the 2020 NFL season and are starting to get some good ideas of what usage patterns are looking like. Which means we probably have enough data now to start to re-evaluate where certain players stand in relation to other players. For example, we've got a better idea of how this year's... Read More


WR/CB Matchups to Target and Avoid - Week 7

The CB Matchup Chart has been a helpful resource all season, specifically in Week 6. Last week's article was predictive in forecasting boom games for Julio Jones, Justin Jefferson, and Christian Kirk. It also predicted let-downs from Robby Anderson, Cooper Kupp, and Mike Evans. This week's chart will give the most accurate landscape of CB matchups yet,... Read More


Pivot Plays and Post-Waiver Pickups - Week 7

Things are starting to get difficult for fantasy football managers. Indianapolis, Minnesota, Miami and Baltimore all have the week off, so fantasy managers are already playing shorthanded. Fielding a full lineup is going to be tough as it is if you have a few injuries. If one of your key guys is listed as questionable... Read More


Week 7 Stream Team - Shallow and Deep-League Pickups

Welcome to Week 7 of the NFL season. Each week we will be providing streamer advice for all of those who need it, which is pretty much anyone and everyone. Streaming players with the best matchups each week as well as during your stud's bye weeks is an integral part of winning a fantasy championship... Read More


Lies, Damned Lies, and Fantasy Football Statistics (Week 7)

The more data we get as the season goes on, the better equipped we are to interpret matchups and make informed decisions. Then Week 6 comes along and blows it all to hell. The unpredictability of sports is what keeps us intrigued, as frustrating as it may be at times. Numbers are supposedly to be... Read More


The King's Week 7 Fantasy Football Lineup Rankings (Premium Content)

Welcome back, RotoBallers!  Below you will find my Week 7 fantasy football lineup rankings. The ranks are available in PPR, Half PPR and Standard formats. They will be updated as needed, so make sure to check back for the latest versions. Skill Position analysis is primarily based on the PPR ranks. The rankings are powered by... Read More


Slow Starters Ready to Break Out in Fantasy?

We are now more than a third of the way into the fantasy football season and a seemingly clearer picture is available across the landscape. After a pandemic-shortened offseason and lack of preseason exposure, there were plenty of worries headed into the first month specifically. Thus far, one of the most prevalent topics with regards... Read More


Fantasy Football Warning Signals for Week 7

The warning signals get brighter by the week since we have more data to work from. The larger the sample size the easier it is for us to connect the dots from the latest trends. Football is a game of small samples and many variables, making it one of the hardest sports to predict. How... Read More


How to Value Clyde Edwards-Helaire with Le'Veon Bell in KC

Clyde Edwards-Helaire or Jonathan Taylor? Coming into the season this was the biggest question for fantasy GMs, both dynasty managers who were thinking long-term and redraft managers who wanted to know who would be better for this season. There were many different theories and believe me when I say, both sides thought they were 100%... Read More


NextGen Stats - Quarterback Breakdowns and Takeaways

It's been a month since the last time we took a look at our beloved quarterbacks. Numbers are numbers, and numbers don't lie. You can twist them, but looking at them objectively, numbers say that no matter what, rushing the ball is almost always a worse option than passing it in today's game. That's why... Read More


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 7

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement.... Read More


Coaching Matters: Offenses That Will Improve From Week 6

This series continues into its sixth week of where I dive into offensive areas that will improve or decline based on coaching in order to glean insight as to fantasy football value. In Week 6, we saw performances such as Ryan Tannehill throwing for 364 passing yards, the Houston Texans running backs combining for 66 rushing yards, and the New... Read More


Tape Tells All: D'Andre Swift's Week 6 Performance

Welcome to another edition of Tape Tells All. I've been thinking of rebranding as just TAPE. All-Caps like that. Probably wouldn't be a good idea for SEO purposes, right? Anyways, this week we'll be discussing Detroit Lions rookie running back D'Andre Swift. Swift set a lot of career highs this week, with bests in carries... Read More


Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups & Adds

Week 6 was like the 2020 of fantasy football weeks. All those great matchups meant nothing, those studs let you down, and your bench likely went crazy. The good news is that we didn't have any season-ending injuries to running backs or games canceled due to COVID, so in retrospect maybe we shouldn't complain. The... Read More


FAB Bidding - Week 7 Waiver Wire Targets

Whether it's injuries, bye-week blues, or simply poor performance, we've got the waiver-wire cure...but it just might cost you! Alongside our famous waiver wire pickups list and our weekly waiver wire columns by position, this column focuses on suggested waiver wire bidding percentages for fantasy football owners in leagues using a Free Agent Budget (FAB). In... Read More


Waiver Wire Express - Week 7 Lightning Round

Week 6 was relatively healthy and had no coronavirus delays, so let's just take a moment to bask in that. That said, we still saw Miles Sanders (knee) and Zach Ertz (ankle) go down, while Mark Ingram (ankle) has a bye to get healthy. Week 7 byes are Baltimore, Indianapolis, Miami, and Minnesota. Let's get... Read More


Running Back Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 7

Fantasy GMs are to be commended for rising to the unique challenges that have unfolded during this regular season. Injuries to critical players is an unwelcome reality that occurs every year. This is also the case for backs that were expected to operate as RB1s, but have been relegated to committees. However, this season has... Read More


Wide Receiver Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 7

Six weeks of NFL football are behind us, aside from a pair of Monday games, including a late afternoon game between the Bills and the Chiefs. In terms of wide receiver production this week, we didn't have the huge breakouts like we had in Week 5. Chase Claypool didn't score four touchdowns. In fact, only... Read More


More Recent Articles

 

Dissecting Contact Quality In Search Of Fantasy Bargains

Of the 1,015 hitters sampled(1) between 2015 and 2019, there were only 14 instances of hitters making more productive contact against pitches outside of the strike zone than against pitches inside of the strike zone based on xwOBAcon. Based on the same sample, the average hitter was a whopping .116 points better against pitches inside... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 23rd, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 23rd, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Lineup Order Risers and Fallers: AL West 2020 Review

It’s the offseason and there are about to be a bunch of moving parts. This allows for speculation in terms of players gaining or losing playing time, moving up or down a batting order and much more. The idea here is to highlight some lineup situations for each team and some potential winners or losers... Read More


2021 1st & 2nd Year Players with James Anderson - Benched with Bubba (Episode 317)

Bubba (@bdentrek) is joined by James Anderson (@RealJRAnderson) on episode 317. The guys will go over 30+ first and second-year players. They will discuss their current ADP's in the 2 Early Mocks, what to expect of the players in 2021, and much more. They also go over some listener questions, compare Juan Soto to Mike... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 21st, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 21st, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 20th, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 20th, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Bubba and Bat Flip 54: 2 Early Mocks APD Player Debates - Benched with Bubba (Episode 316)

Bubba (@bdentrek) is joined by Bat Flip Crazy (@BatFlipCrazy) to take a deeper look at the 2 Early Mocks ADP. They go over some of the positions and look at players with similar ADPs and debate. Going around the diamond discussing some players people are high on and some they are down on with a... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 18th, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 18th, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 17th, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 17th, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


2021 Early Mock ADP Values & Reaches: WPC+ Videocast

Pierre Camus and Nicklaus Gaut prepare for the 2021 fantasy baseball season with a look at early mock draft results from the RotoBaller Expert mock. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well! Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller... Read More


Statcast Season Review: 2020 Barrel Leaders (Hitters)

The 2020 MLB season will always be one for the record books, even if everything that took place will have multiple asterisks attached to it. Evaluating Statcast numbers is a nice way to find hot and cold hitters, as well as underachievers and overachievers. Now that the regular season is over, let's reflect on the... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 16th, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 16th, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 15th, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 15th, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 14th, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 14th, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Bubba and Bat Flip 53: 2 Early Mocks APD Trends & More - Benched with Bubba (Episode 315)

Bubba (@bdentrek) is joined by Bat Flip Crazy (@BatFlipCrazy) to take a deeper look at the 2 Early Mocks ADP. They dig into trends, some interesting risers/fallers, and much more. They also go over some listener questions at the end to keep the Fantasy Baseball information coming even in the offseason. Be sure to subscribe... Read More