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Welcome, RotoBallers. Hockey season has now entered the postseason which is the most exciting time to watch and partake in NHL DFS! As always, I'll give you the stats and info you need to build the best lineups possible for your GPP and cash game NHL contests on both DraftKings and FanDuel.
Today I'll be bringing you my NHL lineup picks, analysis, and advice for NHL DFS contests on DraftKings and FanDuel for Tuesday, June 22nd, 2020 at 9:00 PM. Be sure to also check out our awesome NHL tools including our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station, Projections, and DFS Cheat Sheets!
Feel free to follow me on Twitter @jorgepucks as I am happy to engage with readers and try to answer your questions. Good luck RotoBallers!
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Intro and Overview
If you are new to playing NHL DFS, there are several things to know that will help you get caught up to speed. The first thing to know is that stacking lines is important and correlating your plays can pay off. In hockey, if someone scores a goal, there's a good chance that some on his team will receive an assist on that goal, so you want to build lineups around players skating together.
In the image above, you'll see that Sidney Crosby is skating in-between Jake Guentzel and Bryan Rust and this line has skated together for most of the year. The idea behind staking forward lines is that if Crosby gets a goal, there is a higher percentage and chance that either Rust or Guentzel would get credited with an assist, therefore, resulting in more fantasy points.
The second thing is to make sure you look at the two sites and see the different ways to obtain points. On DraftKings, you get bonus points for 5+ shots or 3+ blocked shots so someone like Alex Ovechkin who is a volume shooter tends to be a better play on that site just because he can rack up additional points based on his style of play.
NHL DFS Analysis and Picks for 6/22
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- Montreal Canadiens vs. Vegas Golden Knights (-250) - 5O
NHL DFS Goalie Analysis Matrix
The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against, and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the total column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. If the total is low, that means he is in a good matchup from a fantasy perspective and should be considered for your goalie selection. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents that they are facing every slate so this is always slate specific.
NHL DFS Power Play Matrix
The Power Play matrix is to help locate matchups that can be exploited should there be an odd-man advantage during the game. Just like the goalie matrix above, the teams are matched up based on their own power play percentage rank and their opponent's penalty kill percentage rank. When looking at this matrix, you will want to look for teams that succeed in the power play rank (lower the rank the better they are) while their opponent has a poor penalty kill rank (the higher the rank, the worse their penalty kill is).
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NHL DFS Core Plays- Showdown Edition
Captain Picks
- Robin Lehner ($11,200 DK) - Lehner got the start in Game 4 against Montreal and he balled out as he stopped 27 of 28 total shots faced and put up 21.4 DK points. The Golden Knights could turn to him on home ice coming off of a stellar performance on the road and it would be hard to go against whoever is in net for Vegas for Game 5.
- Alex Pietrangelo ($10,400 DK/ 13,500 FD) - Pietrangelo still remains one of my top options on both DK and FD. Even though he didn't record a single point on Sunday night, he managed to take three shots on goal while blocking five total shots and was still one of the higher scoring skaters throughout the entire night. Pietrangelo has managed to hit double-digit DK points in nine out of his last 10 games played and would be the top option for your cash game builds.
- Max Pacioretty ($9,600 DK/ 15,000 FD) -Pacioretty has had identical stat lines in back-to-back games. He has recorded an assist while also managing to take five shots on goal which allows him to get the shot-on-goal bonus over on DK. While he has yet to score a goal this entire series, he has a green light whenever he has the puck and that ultimately makes him a top captain option for your tournament builds.
Value Picks
- Alex Tuch ($6,200 DK/ $9,000 FD) - Chandler Stephenson is still listed as day-to-day which means Alex Tuch could be featured on the top line on Tuesday night for Vegas. Tuch had a solid game on Sunday as he recorded one shot on goal and one blocked shot while also getting grabbing an assist as well.
- Cole Caufield ($6,800 DK/ $9,000 FD) - The point streak came to a halt on Sunday night for Caufield but he still managed to record three shots on goal. The second line that he has been skating on has been the best offensive line for Montreal this series so if you're wanting to get a piece or two of the Canadiens, it makes sense to go right back to Caufield and company.
- Ben Chiarot ($5,600 DK/ $7,000 FD) -Chiarot provided another solid outing by way of blocking shots. Chiarot has now hit the shot block bonus in four of his last five games played over on DK and is seeing over 25 minutes of ice time per game so he could be trusted to give you a solid floor in all formats.
Stacks (In order of preference)
- VGK 1 - Pacioretty/ Tuch/ Stone
- MTL 2 - Toffoli/ Suzuki/ Caufield
- VGK 2 - Marchessault/ Karlsson/ Smith
Player Pool (In order of preference)
- C - Karlsson, Suzuki, Tuch, Danault, Kotkaniemi, Roy
- W - Pacioretty, Stone, Toffoli, Caufield, Gallagher, Marchessault, Anderson, Smith, Lehkonen, Janmark
- D - Pietrangelo, Theodore, Weber, Martinez, Chiarot, McNabb, Gustafsson
- G - Fleury, Price
Key Abbreviations:
xGF/60= expected goal for per 60 minutes of ice time
GF/60= goals for per 60 minutes of ice time
SC/60= Scoring Chances per 60 minutes of ice time
If you have any additional questions, make sure to reach out to me on Twitter or in our NHL room at the RotoBaller slack chat!
NHL Player News and Updates
[jiffyNews category_include='9958' headline='More DFS Lineup Picks and Analysis'
