RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~205 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~240
ANALYSIS: Yes, the Houston Texans are likely to be bad, and yes, Tyrod Taylor is not the quarterback that Deshaun Watson is, but I think too many people are also acting as if Tyrod Taylor is a terrible option. The 32-year-old won't be a fantasy asset himself outside of the deepest formats, but he did throw for 3,000 yards twice in Buffalo before the league saw a proliferation of 4,000-yard passers, and his first two seasons saw him have an average depth of target of 8.3 yards and 7.1 yards. The 8.3 mark would have put him second in the league last year, and the 7.1 mark would be tied with Kyler Murray's numbers from last year.
The point being that Tyrod is not the dink-and-dunk quarterback that people seem to be making him out to be, and he can absolutely allow a wide receiver to sustain fantasy value, especially considering the Texans figure to be bad and will be throwing a lot late in games. They only have one real option in Brandin Cooks, so Collins has begun to see plenty of reps with the first-team in the preseason and has shown that he can be a real asset in the red zone with his size and strength.
Collins had impressive training camp, and is expected to play a key role as an outside receiver for this Texans team, though how soon he plays that role is still unclear. Fantasy stats in the fourth quarter from bad teams still count, so I love the idea of using a late-round pick on Nico Collins in the hopes that he can deliver those. He's practically free, so there's not much risk here and there could be sneaky upside.
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