RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Add in All Leagues
OWNED IN: 10% of Leagues
ANALYSIS: The profile on Pablo Lopez is very interesting up to this point. He’s dominated at home and has been terrible on the road. With that being said, we know that’s not a reliable trend to look at when the peripherals don’t back it up. He’s had more luck at home and his BABIP is way higher on the road.
He’ll probably have more success in Marlins Park, but that’s because it’s one of the friendliest in the league for pitchers. He’s posted a sub .320 wOBA to both lefties and righties, and has been super unlucky on the year. A 3.89 xFIP behind a 5.40 ERA shows us that Lopez has just gotten the bad side of some weak contact. It’s something that regulates over 200+ innings and we will eventually see that ERA move towards the xFIP.
Lopez is owned in only 10% of leagues and you can take a flier on him if you are looking for pitching depth. With a weak bullpen and no future, the Marlins are willing to let Lopez go 100+ pitches and work through a little bit of havoc. You’ll always struggle with the Marlins providing enough run support, and it’s tough for young pitchers to work from behind. With that being said, Lopez is the number two to Caleb Smith and has a bright future.
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