BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~180 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~210
ANALYSIS: Allen Lazard is the first Packer receiver off the board in fantasy drafts, but his seventh-round ADP is way too pricey for me. I expect Sammy Watkins to start on the outside and flourish with a change of scenery. How's this for a narrative? Aaron Rodgers is kind of weird, Sammy Watkins is very weird, and their weird connection will work on the field. Watkins hasn't had a 1000-yard season since 2015, but he's being presented with the perfect opportunity to have one in 2022.
Rodgers and the Packers would have to have such a steep decline in offensive output for at least one receiver to not have a big year. Watkins was once a productive player and hanging around for this long probably means he can still play.
Aside from last year's brief stint with the Ravens, Watkins' lack of production in KC can be explained by being cast aside for Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill, which is nothing to be ashamed of. The year prior, he scored eight touchdowns for the Rams. The Packers simply don't have many options and Rodgers is too good to not produce.
Watkins is basically free at the end of drafts, so grab him in the later rounds as he has more upside than most of the receivers you will see with similar ADPs.
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