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Welcome to Week 15 and Tuesday Night Football! In addition to our matchups analysis for the main slate of games on Sunday, below you will find our matchups analysis for the Tuesday Night Football game between the Eagles and Washington Football Team. You can also check out the matchups analysis for:
- Vikings vs Bears Start Em, Sit Em - Monday Night
- Raiders vs Browns Start Em, Sit Em - Monday Night
- Seahawks vs Rams Start Em, Sit Em - Tuesday Night
This game was originally scheduled to be played on Sunday, but is now part of a Tuesday double-header. It was announced on Friday afternoon that the Washington-Eagles game has been postponed until Tuesday due to the COVID-19 outbreak.
So where does that leave us? Below you’ll find our take -- the recommended starts, sits, and matchups we love heading into the Week 15 matchup. Stay tuned for any changes with players being active and passing COVID-19 protocols in time for Tuesday. Good luck RotoBallers!
Washington Football Team at Philadelphia Eagles
Spread: Eagles -12
Implied Total: Football Team (14.25) vs. Eagles (26.25)
Pace: Football Team (17th) vs. Eagles (9th)
Scheme: Football Team (55% Pass, 45% Rush) vs. Eagles (50% Pass, 50% Rush)
Football Team Off. DVOA: 13.2% Pass (19th), -14.2% Rush (24th)
Eagles Def. DVOA: 15.2% Pass (24th), -10.9% Rush (15th)
Football Team Def. DVOA: 18.8% Pass (27th), -15.9% Rush (7th)
Eagles Off. DVOA: 17.3% Pass (14th), 7.6% Rush (3rd)
Matchups We Love
Miles Sanders (RB, PHI)
Miles Sanders had a great game against the Jets before the bye, rushing 24 times for 120 yards and catching all three of his targets for 22 yards. The problem here is that Washington is much tougher against the run, ranking 14th in Rush EPA, allowing only 3.63 YPC (2nd). There's also the chance that Sanders loses some work to either Boston Scott, Jordan Howard, or even Kenneth Gainwell. However, this looks like a terrific game script with the Eagles coming in as 12-point favorites. This keeps Sanders in the 'Love' section.
Dallas Goedert (TE, PHI)
Dallas Goedert is coming off a ceiling game against the Jets where he caught all six of his targets for 105 yards and two touchdowns. I know that was with Gardner Minshew, but this projects as a game where the Eagles pass more than usual given Washington's strength in run defense. Goedert has an impressive 22.32% target share since Week 9. This is a player who is probably the best tight end outside of the elite tier of Travis Kelce, George Kittle, Mark Andrews, and Darren Waller right now. Washington ranks 12th in PPR per game allowed to tight ends.
Matchups We Hate
Antonio Gibson (RB, WAS)
Antonio Gibson fell victim to game script and inefficiency last week, as the Cowboys jumped out to an early multi-score lead. Gibson did not play well, rushing 10 times for 36 yards, including a fumble towards the end of the game. J.D. McKissic (concussion) missed practice all week, which means that there's a good chance that he'll miss another game. That would result in a heavy workload for Gibson, but it's a negative game script with Washington as huge underdogs. The Eagles also rank 11th in Rush EPA, which makes Gibson a player to avoid this week if possible.
Terry McLaurin (WR, WAS)
Terry McLaurin has exemplified the term "boom-or-bust" this season, finishing in the Top-10 four times and outside of the Top-40 eight times. This looks like another floor week for McLaurin, assuming he plays as he's listed as questionable (concussion). If he does play, he'll have to deal with one of the top corners in football in Darius Slay (PFF Coverage Grade: 85.6). McLaurin will also likely have poor quarterback play with Taylor Heinicke and Kyle Allen each currently on the COVID-19 list.
Ricky Seals-Jones (TE, WAS)
Ricky Seals-Jones joins the streaming radar with Logan Thomas out, as Washington loves to funnel targets towards their tight end. However, Seals-Jones could lose some work to John Bates. While I think that was because the latter was coming back from injury and was being eased in, it's still concerning. The Eagles are allowing the most PPR per game to tight ends and Curtis Samuelis out again this week, so there is opportunity here, but it comes with someone like Garrett Gilbert potentially at quarterback.
Washington QBs
Currently both Taylor Heinicke and backup Kyle Allen are on the COVID-19 list, and have not been cleared to play this week. If that holds true, Garrett Gilbert would be in line to start. It was reported over the weekend that Kyle Allen has a good chance to return by Tuesday, but we are waiting for official confirmation. Allen entered the Week 14 game against the Dallas Cowboys when Heinicke was injured and went 4-for-9 for 53 yards and was sacked once in his only action of the season. Allen under center for Washington would be a huge upgrade over the recently signed Garrett Gilbert, that's for sure.
UPDATE: As of Tuesday afternoon, both Taylor Heinicke and Kyle Allen have been ruled out for Week 15.
Other Matchups
Jalen Hurts (QB, PHI)
Jalen Hurts is expected to return to the lineup after missing their last game prior to last week's bye. Hopefully, his sprained ankle will feel better coming off the two weeks of rest. Hurts is in a great spot against a Washington defense that ranks 28th in Dropback EPA. The issue here is that it's unclear if Hurts will run less coming off the ankle injury, although on Saturday he practiced in full. We also need to be concerned about the run-heavy nature of this Eagles offense. This keeps Hurts in the lukewarm section despite the strong matchup.
DeVonta Smith (WR, PHI)
DeVonta Smith is coming off consecutive duds, catching 4-of-8 targets for 37 yards in his last two games. The good news here is that the Washington secondary is highly exploitable, allowing the third-most PPR per game to wideouts this season. Smith continues to have strong volume stats this season: 22.95% target share and 37.02% air yard share. This profiles as a bounce-back spot for him. While the Eagles' run-heavy philosophy lowers Smith's floor, the matchup is right for solid production. Consider Smith as an upside WR3 this week. The one risk is that the Eagles won't have to pass as much as 12-point favorites, which keeps him in the lukewarm section.
Injuries and COVID
WAS QB Taylor Heinicke (COVID-19)
WAS QB Kyle Allen (COVID-19)
WAS TE Logan Thomas (knee)
WAS WR Curtis Samuel WR (hamstring)
WAS WR Terry McLaurin (concussion)
PHI QB Jalen Hurts (ankle)
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