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The 2021-2022 NBA playoffs are here, and our friends over at PrizePicks still have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat.
For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, May 10th.
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Single Stat NBA Totals - DFS Prop Picks
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
Jae Crowder OVER 10.5 Points - I'll start tonight's slate off with Jae Crowder's points prop. Crowder has caught fire in this series, hitting this number in each of the first four games. He's actually scored at least 15 points in each of the last three games. The Suns and Mavericks have matched up seven times this season and Crowder's logged at least 11 points in six of them. My model projects Crowder to score 11.1 points tonight, and I'll bet on Crowder to stay hot in a pivotal game five.
James Harden UNDER 9.0 Assists - We got to see some vintage James Harden on Sunday night, logging 16 points in the fourth quarter in what was a massive Game 4 win for the Sixers. It'll be interesting to see how he follows up that performance, but I think it's a safe bet to say it won't be dishing out double-digit assists. While Harden hit nine assists on Sunday, as well as in Game 2, he hasn't eclipsed this number in any of his five games against Miami this year. While he hit this number in 53% of games this season, he's hit it in just three of Philly's ten playoff games. My projections have Harden at 8.2 assists, so we're getting decent value on this number.
Tobias Harris OVER 24.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists - Harris has been coming up large for the Sixers so far in the playoffs, and although he didn't hit this number on Sunday, finishing with just 20 PRA, that's been the only game of this series with Miami that he didn't hit this number. As a matter of fact, it's the only game he didn't hit this number during the playoffs thus far. This number is just too low for Harris, who I have projected for 27.3 PRA tonight. He's hit 25 in just about two out of every three games during the regular season as well, so we're getting good value here.
Other Recommendations - Jimmy Butler UNDER 5.5 Assists, Luka Doncic UNDER 8.0 Assists, Joel Embiid UNDER 11.0 Rebounds, Luka Doncic UNDER 49.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists, Jalen Brunson OVER 25.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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