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Welcome to NFL Monday Night Football, where we have two games scheduled between the Minnesota Vikings vs. Philadelphia Eagles and the Tennessee Titans vs. Buffalo Bills. Monday's games mean our friends at Monkey Knife Fight are offering some fantastic props for us to play once again!
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As always, I'm here to give you some solid props to take advantage of in tonight's games, so let's get right to the picks!
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Titans @ Bills More or Less Contest
Josh Allen more than 26.5 fantasy points and Derrick Henry more than 15.5 fantasy points
Although this Titans' defense just allowed Saquon Barkley to carve them up for 164 rushing yards on 18 carries, they were stout against the run in 2021 by allowing the second-fewest rushing yards per game to running backs behind only the Bucs.
This game likely could have been an outlier for the Titans' defense, but even if it was not, the Bills do not have a reliable back to take the weight off of Allen's shoulders and he will likely be counted on to move the ball through the air in this one much the way he did against the Rams in Week 1 when he threw for 297 passing yards and three touchdowns on 31 attempts while also rushing for one score. In 2021, the Titans were not as strong against the pass as they allowed the seventh-most passing yards per game to quarterbacks, including a 353 passing yard performance from Josh Allen in Week 6. He will be the obvious focal point of this offense and should be able to find enough success through the air and on the ground in order to get more than this fantasy point total.
On the other side of this matchup, the Bills had one of the toughest pass defenses in the league in 2021, and Henry will certainly be relied upon to carry the load for Tennessee in this one. Last week, the Bills allowed Darrell Henderson Jr. to rush for 47 yards on 13 carries, but he had some explosive runs through the Bills' front. Henry was given the ball 21 times and rushed for 82 yards against the Giants, so if he sees a similar workload in this game (and he should) he will have a great shot at getting over this total and may even be able to rush for 100 yards as he did in Week 6 in 2021 when he racked up 143 rushing yards and three scores against the Bills.
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Vikings @ Eagles More or Less Contest
Dalvin Cook more than 75.5 rushing yards and Miles Sanders less than 62.5 rushing yards.
Dalvin Cook should be salivating at his opportunity against this Eagles defense after he saw DeAndre Swift carve them up for 144 rushing yards on just 14 carries in Week 1. Cook is the clear number one back in Minnesota and carried the ball 20 times for 90 yards in a win against the Packers in Week 1. This game figures to be a close one where the Eagles can defend the pass better than the run, so Cook should see a healthy dose of rushing attempts and have a great shot of getting over this total.
This feels like a game where the Eagles will be more reliant on the legs of Jalen Hurts and the abilities of A.J. Brown in the passing game than one where they rely on Miles Sanders and that is why we are looking at a less-than play here. The Vikings ranked third-worst in terms of passing yards allowed to the quarterback and dead last in terms of receiving yards allowed to wide receivers in 2021. Also, when have we ever been able to count on Miles Sanders to hit a rushing prop, especially one this high? Last week, Sanders was handed the ball 13 times and ran for 96 yards and that is likely why his prop is set so high, but he was only able to run for more than 60 rushing yards in five games during the 2021 season.
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Vikings @ Eagles Touchdown Dance Contest
Recommended Pick:
Dalvin Cook, Justin Jefferson, and A.J. Brown to combine for more than 2.5 touchdowns
Dalvin Cook is mentioned above as a guy that should be in line for a solid game, so it makes sense to add him in here to have an opportunity to score. He can do this on the ground or through the air as he also caught three balls on five targets last week. This is also an Eagles defense that allowed a total of 13 touchdowns to running backs a season ago.
Justin Jefferson is the top receiver in Minnesota and is coming off a massive Week 1 in which he racked up 184 receiving yards and two touchdowns. He is always a threat to score as he racked up 10 receiving touchdowns in 2021. With this game showing a projected total of over 50 points, there should be plenty of fireworks from both sides of the ball and Jefferson will be a key cog when it comes to the Vikings' scoring options.
A.J. Brown and Jalen Hurts hooked up 10 times last week against the Lions, and although he did not get in the end zone, he did account for 11 receiving touchdowns in 2021 and should be a major threat to score this season with Hurts as well. He will be up against a Vikings defense that allowed 19 touchdowns to wide receivers in 2021, which ranked eighth-worst in the league.
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