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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Houston Astros vs. New York Mets, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Tuesday June 28th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Astros vs. Mets
The Astros take on the Mets on Tuesday June 28th at Citi Field, New York. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Houston Astros (45-27) vs. New York Mets (47-27)
- Date: Tuesday June 28th, 2022
- Time: 7:10 ET
- Venue: Citi Field, New York
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Astros vs. Mets
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Houston Astros - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Houston Astros enter play ranked 1st in the AL West division, with an overall record of 45-27. In their 41 games as the road team, Houston has put together a record of 25-16. The Astros will be looking to bounce back after falling to the Yankees by a score of 6-3. Overall, the team has won over half of their 23 series played, going 13-8-2.
Astros starter Luis Garcia comes into the game with a record of just 5-5. Heading into action, his ERA comes in at 3.55. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .211. So far, home runs have been a problem for Garcia. Through 71 innings of work, he has already given up 12 deep shots. In his previous outings, Garcia has struck out 3.89 batters for every issued walk. This includes averaging 5.69 K's per game.
Houston's offense comes into this game averaging 4.29 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. So far, the team's offense has struggled to score late in games, ranking 22nd in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings. The Astros' combined batting average currently sits at .238, placing them 21st in the league. For the season, 39.6% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. So far, Houston's lineup has also been able to hit for power, as their average of 1.38 home runs per game ranks 3rd. For the season, the team has one of the best hard hit rates in the league at 40.4%. Houston's overall OBP of .317 puts them 14th in the league. On average, the team generates walks at a rate of 9.5%.
New York Mets - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 47-27, the New York Mets will host New York, currently ranked 1st in the NL East division. In their 34 games at home, the Mets have a strong record of 24-10. New York will be looking to bounce back after falling to the Marlins by a score of 3-2. So far, the team has won 17 out of their first 23 series, 17-4-2.
New York starter Carlos Carrasco takes the mound with an overall record of 8-3, but will be looking to bring down an ERA of 4.31. Carlos Carrasco has had problems limiting base runners, made evident by a WHIP of 1.28. Across his previous outings, Carrasco has a SLG% allowed of .430. In total, he has given up 9 home runs. Heading into the game, Carrasco has struck 23.0% of the batters he's faced, while his walk rate of 5.0%, places him near the MLB average.
New York enters play averaging 4.93 runs per game, placing them 3rd in the MLB. In the team's 34 games at home, their run differential is +2. The Mets have enjoyed success at the plate, as their team batting average of .259 ranks 3rd. This includes batting .214 over their last 3 games. So far, the team is the 19th rated home run hitting team, averaging .96 per game. New York's strong OBP of .329 is 1st in the league, coming on a walk rate of 8.0%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Astros vs. Mets
Heading into today's matchup between Houston and New York, the Astros are the betting favorite at -120 on the moneyline. Houston's implied win probability sits at 54.55%. The MLB predictive model shows the Mets pulling off the upset over Houston. It is recommended to take New York on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Mets Moneyline
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