Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (9/17/22)

Happy Saturday, RotoBallers, we're back for another weekend of MLB betting picks! Make sure you're following my Twitter, as I can't guarantee that I'll always be able to get the added plays written here in the article, but I will typically add whatever else I'm playing throughout the day. The entire RotoBaller team has been working around the clock to make sure we can get you guys the best betting picks, props, and lineups throughout the season. We're happy you're here with us and are looking forward to an extremely profitable 2022 season!

Attention fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.

If you're new, or just a refresher to those who read my articles last season, I'm John Brubaker. I've been betting MLB baseball games for four years now, and this is my second MLB season working with the great folks at RotoBaller. I've created my own betting model to help me create and identify value on run lines, totals, and money lines. In this article, I'll be providing my favorite betting picks for the MLB games on Saturday, September 17, 2022.

Featured Promo: Want a free RotoBaller Premium Pass? Check out these sports betting promo offers from the top sportsbooks! All new sign-ups get a free bonus offer on their first deposit, and a free year of RotoBaller's Premium Pass for all sports ($450 value)! Sign Up Now!

 

LucidMedia's 2022 MLB Betting Picks

• Season to Date: 70-70-2, -16.42 units
• Sides: 33-34-1, -12.53 units
• Totals: 35-35-1, -5.59 units
• Props: 1-0 +1.70 units

 

Today's MLB Betting Picks - White Sox @ Tigers

O/U: 7.5 | Moneyline: DET +130

CWS: Johnny Cueto | DET: Eduardo Rodriguez

We finished 1-1 yesterday, with White Sox starter Lucas Giolito getting the first two outs in the bottom of the first before surrendering a single, walk, and RBI single from Spencer Torkelson to ruin the sweep. We'll go back to that matchup this afternoon, but not for a first-inning under.

We'll be backing Johnny Cueto (7-8, 3.09 ERA) this afternoon. Cueto has been solid for the White Sox this season but has been a bit "lucky," allowing a 30.2% hard contact rate and coming into this one with a 4.43 xFIP. He should be able to keep the Tigers lineup under wraps though, as I have Detroit projected for just a wOBA + ISO of .394 and 26.1% hard contact rate. It won't be out of the ordinary for Cueto to do so, as he threw eight scoreless against the Tigers back on July 9.

The Tigers will be sending Eduardo Rodriguez (3-5, 4.50 ERA). As with most of the Tigers' signings this offseason, E-Rod hasn't really had the season Detroit planned. He's allowing 31.7% hard contact and has a 4.59 xFIP. My model has the White Sox offense taking it to Rodriguez today, with a projected .572 wOBA + ISO and a 37.23% hard contact rate. It's just his second start against the Sox this year, who touched him up for three runs in four innings back on April 8.

While FanDuel Sportsbook has the White Sox at -154, my model gives them a "true" line of -185 in this one. We'll back the model here and hope that the back-end of the Sox bullpen is able to close the door after Liam Hendricks took the loss last night.

Pick: White Sox Money Line (-154) FanDuel Sportsbook, 1 unit

 

Sports Betting Promo Offers

All new sign-ups also get a free year of RotoBaller's all sports Premium Pass ($450 value)!

 

---

 

Featured Promo

Offer is only valid for new users

All new sportsbook sign-ups get a free year of RotoBaller Premium access ($450 value)!

1. Just sign up for a new account
2. Make a minimum deposit of $20 and place any bet
3. Be sure to claim your bonus offer from the sportsbook
4. Email us at [email protected] with your new account details
5. Boom - that's it! We'll email you with your year-long RotoBaller Premium Pass

CLAIM NOW!

 

---

 

Today's MLB Betting Picks - Padres @ Diamondbacks

O/U: 7 | Moneyline: ARI -108

SD: Joe Musgrove | ARI: Zac Gallen

We have an awesome pitching matchup as the Padres look to follow up on their 12-3 thrashing of the Diamondbacks last night. We won't be picking a side here but will go back to the first-inning under. The Padres will be sending Joe Musgrove (9-7, 3.28 ERA) to the mound. He's been great in the first inning this season, holding opponents scoreless in 11 of 13 starts on the road as well as 21 of 26 starts overall. 

On the other hand, the Diamondbacks will be sending Zac Gallen (12-2, 2.50 ERA) to the mound. We may look back and see that Gallen's short injury stints (as well as Sandy Alcantara's excellent season) held Gallen from winning a Cy Young this season, but boy has he been good. He's been good in the first as well, holding opponents scoreless in 12 of 14 home starts and in 23 of 27 starts overall.

The Padres have been held scoreless in 79.7% of games on the road as well as 76.9% of games overall. They've had a lot of trouble putting up early runs lately, scoring in the first last night for the first time in 15 games. The Diamondbacks have been decent in the first at home, being held scoreless in just 69.4% of games at Chase Field, and in 74.3% of games overall, as well as eight of their last ten.

With the total sitting at just 7, it's expected that the first inning under would have a bit of juice. It's not so bad, currently at -142 on FanDuel Sportsbook. My model has the "true" line at -200. Let's sit back, relax, and enjoy the pitching duel.

Pick: Under 0.5 First Inning Runs (-142) FanDuel Sportsbook, 1 unit

Good luck, RotoBallers, and make sure to follow my Twitter for more plays. Talk to you tomorrow!

Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!

More Fantasy Baseball Analysis