RADIO
It's Wednesday, June 29th and we have 15 major league baseball games being played all throughout the day. We have eight games during the daytime and then seven games happening in the evening. In this article, I'll be providing my favorite betting picks MLB games on Wednesday, June 29, 2022.
This article will be focused on sides and totals. I am a huge baseball fan and baseball has been my bread and butter for the last couple of decades. Hopefully, I can help you win some pizza money! I occasionally will post some ideas and picks with bets, DFS, and other things on my Twitter account. You can follow me at @Mark_Kieffer.
Attention fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.
Featured Promo: For this week only, take 50% off any full-season or yearly Premium Pass on the site! Just enter discount code THANKS when checking out. Thanks for being a reader, and Happy Holidays! Sign Up Now!
Today's MLB Betting Picks - Orioles @ Mariners
O/U: 8 | Moneyline: SEA -134
BAL: Austin Voth| SEA: Chris Flexen
In Seattle, Austin Voth and Chris Flexen face off this afternoon. Despite Voth's 7.81 ERA, he actually has the better underlying metrics among the two pitchers. Voth has a 3.78 SIERA, 21.1% strikeout rate, and a 7.5% walk rate. On the other side, Chris Flexen has a 4.91 SIERA, 16.5% strikeout rate, and an 8.1% walk rate. Voth has only started two games, so it will be interesting to see how he fares today. Will his surface stats start to improve or will his underlying metrics get worse? Either way, I am willing to say at this moment Baltimore could have the edge with starting pitching.
Offensively, Baltimore has an edge too. They are 21st in runs scored while Seattle is 25th. With OBP, Seattle is 14th while Baltimore is 27th. With ISO, Baltimore is 15th while Seattle is 17th. Baltimore has also been a different team this month. Looking at the last 30 days, Baltimore is 10th in runs scored (Seattle is 25th) and 4th in ISO (Seattle is 21st).
Seattle does have the better bullpen with a 3.85 ERA and 3.25 SIERA while Baltimore's is a 3.90 ERA with a 3.71 SIERA. If Seattle can take the lead, they will have the edge in holding it.
Despite all of that, I like Baltimore here. This is the best they have played in five years, their offense has come to life this month, and I think they can get to Chris Flexen and score runs. At +120, I'm willing to take a stab at Baltimore.
Pick: Baltimore Moneyline (+120), DraftKings Sportsbook 0.5 units
Sports Betting Promo Offers
All new sign-ups also get a free year of RotoBaller's all sports Premium Pass ($450 value)!
| Sportsbook | Bonus Offer | Promo |
| Caesars | Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,500 | CLAIM OFFER |
| PointsBet | 2 Risk-Free Bets Up To $2,000 | CLAIM OFFER |
| BetMGM | Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,000 | CLAIM OFFER |
| FanDuel | Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,000 | CLAIM OFFER |
| DraftKings | Deposit Bonus Booster Up To $1,000 | CLAIM OFFER |
Featured Promo
Offer is only valid for new users
All new sportsbook sign-ups get a free year of RotoBaller Premium access ($450 value)!
1. Just sign up for a new account
2. Make a minimum deposit of $20 and place any bet
3. Be sure to claim your bonus offer from the sportsbook
4. Email us at info@rotoballer.com with your new account details
5. Boom - that's it! We'll email you with your year-long RotoBaller Premium Pass
Today's MLB Betting Picks - Reds @ Cubs
O/U: 8 | Moneyline: CHC -134
CIN: Hunter Greene| CHC: Justin Steele
This matchup has some similarities to the other game I weighed in on. Hunter Greene has worse surface stats than Justin Steele with a 5.66 ERA while Steele has a 4.59 ERA. The metrics tell a different story as Greene has a 3.77 SIERA and a 19% K-BB%. Steele has a 4.19 SIERA and an 11.2% K-BB%.Greene misses more bats with a 28.9% strikeout rate too. The edge is going to go to Cincinnati here.
Offensively these teams are similar. Cincinnati is 17th in runs scored, and Chicago is 19th. Cincinnati is 21st in ISO, and Chicago is 19th. The only significant difference is Chicago is 10th in OBP while Cincinnati is 20th. I'd say this is a toss-up offensively today.
As far as bullpens go, Chicago has a huge edge. The Cubs have a 3.58 ERA and 3.27 SIERA while Cincinnati has a 4.56 ERA and 3.98 SIERA. If Chicago takes the lead here, they have a better chance of holding onto it. Additionally, if Cincinnati has the lead, they are at great risk of blowing the lead. Because I do not trust the bullpen of Cincinnati here, I am interested in the first five innings Moneyline while the starters are in. Cincinnati can get to Steele and score some runs, and Greene misses a lot of bats to an offense that is average at best. I'll take the Reds F5.
I also see runs with this game. Both pitchers have a SIERA around four and Cincinnati's bullpen is bad. I'll take over eight runs too.
Pick: Reds F5 Moneyline (+150) BetRivers Sportsbook, 0.5 units; OVER 8 Runs (+100) BetMGM Sportsbook, 0.5 units.
Good luck, RotoBallers! Stay tuned for more great DFS and betting content throughout the week!
Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App
Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!
More Fantasy Baseball Analysis
Featured Sportsbook Promo Offers
All new sign-ups get a free year of RotoBaller's Premium Pass for all sports ($450 value)! Check out all of the sportsbooks and their bonus offers:
