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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Saturday August 20th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Nationals vs. Padres
The Nationals take on the Padres on Saturday, August 20th at Petco Park, San Diego. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Washington Nationals (41-80) vs. San Diego Padres (66-56)
- Date: Saturday August 20th, 2022
- Time: 8:40 ET
- Venue: Petco Park, San Diego
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Nationals vs. Padres
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Washington Nationals - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Washington Nationals travel to take on the San Diego Padres, hoping to find the win column as they have an overall record of just 41-80, placing the team 5th in the NL East division. The Nationals will need a win in today's game to improve their record on the road (22-36). The unit is coming off a winning effort over the Padres by a score of 6-3. Currently, Washington has a below .500 record in their 38 series, coming in at 9-27-2.
Josiah Gray gets the start for the Nationals with a below .500 record at 7-8. Against the Nationals, Gray is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 4.79. To date, he has a batting average allowed of .234. Opposing batters have been able to hit for power against Gray. So far, he has allowed 31 home runs, leading to a per-9 average of 2.36. For the season, Josiah Gray has averaged 2.85 strikeouts for every walk. This has come on a K rate of 27.0%.
This season, runs have been hard to come by for Washington, as they are the 26th ranked scoring team, averaging 3.79 runs per game. So far, the team has struggled to score early, ranking 25th in runs scored through the first 4 innings. Even with their below-average run total, as a team, the Nationals are batting a healthy .248. For the season, 29.9% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. So far, home runs have been hard to come by for the team, as they are averaging just .83 per game (28th). Currently, the team has one of the lowest average exit velocity's in all of baseball. Washington's OBP of .314 places them 17th in the league, while their wOBA currently sits at .304.
San Diego Padres - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The San Diego Padres enter play ranked 2nd in the NL West division, with an overall record of 66-56. When playing at Petco Park, the Padres have played well, posting a record of 33-26. San Diego hopes to get back on track after dropping their last game to the Nationals by a score of 6-3. Overall, the team has won over half of their 38 series played, going 19-14-5.
Taking the mound for San Diego is Joe Musgrove. Heading into play, he has a mark of 8-6. So far, Musgrove has put together an ERA of 2.98 across his 21 outings. The right-hander has shown the ability to limit base runners, as he has a WHIP of just 1.03. Across his previous outings, Musgrove has a SLG% allowed of .368. In total, he has given up 14 home runs. For the season, Musgrove has picked up 129 strikeouts on a K rate of 24.0%.
San Diego's offense comes into this game averaging 4.43 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. In the team's 59 games at home, their run differential is 4. Together, the Padres offense has the 16th ranked batting average, at .241. This includes batting .186 over their last 3 games. In terms of home runs, the team is struggling to generate power at just .88 deep shots per game (24th). To date, San Diego has the MLB's 9th best OBP at .319.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Nationals vs. Padres
Heading into today's matchup between Washington and San Diego, the Padres are the heavy favorite at -330 on the moneyline. San Diego's implied win probability sits at 76.74%. The MLB predictive model shows San Diego has enough of an edge on offense and on the mound to take the Padres on the runline (-1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Padres Runline
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