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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Sunday August 21st, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Brewers vs. Cubs
The Brewers take on the Cubs on Sunday, August 21st at Wrigley Field, Chicago. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers (63-56) vs. Chicago Cubs (52-67)
- Date: Sunday August 21st, 2022
- Time: 2:20 ET
- Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Brewers vs. Cubs
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Milwaukee Brewers - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Milwaukee Brewers travel to take on the Chicago Cubs with a record of 63-56, placing them 2nd in the NL Central division. Heading into play, the Brewers have won half of their 64 road games, sitting at 32-32. The Brewers are hoping to get back on track after dropping their last game to the Chicago by a score of 6-5. So far, Milwaukee has won 17 out of their first 39 series, 17-15-7.
For Milwaukee, Brandon Woodruff gets the start, currently holding a record of 9-3. Heading into action, his ERA comes in at 3.53. The right-hander has a batting average allowed of .227. So far, opponents have taken Woodruff over the fence 11 times across 97 innings pitched. Brandon Woodruff takes the mound with a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.03. This has come while striking out 28.99% of the batters he's faced.
Offensively, the Brewers are averaging 4.53 runs per game, which ranks 9th in the MLB. This includes posting a season-long run differential of +31. So far, the Brewers have combined for a team batting average of .235, placing them 22nd in the league. For the season, 38.1% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. So far, Milwaukee's lineup has also been able to hit for power, as their average of 1.38 home runs per game ranks 3rd. To date, Milwaukee has the MLB's 13th-rated OBP, sitting at .316, while the team's wOBA is one of the best in the league at .319.
Chicago Cubs - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Milwaukee, the Cubs have a record of just 52-67. This places the team 3rd in the NL Central division. The Cubs hope to avoid dropping further below .500 at home, as they are currently 26-34 at Wrigley Field. Chicago is hoping to add on another win, as they are coming off a 6-5 win over the Brewers. So far, the team has won less than half of their series, going just 17-17-5.
The Cubs will send Justin Steele to the mound with an overall record of 4-7. Across 22 appearances, Steele has a combined ERA of 3.43. Justin Steele's WHIP of 1.39 comes in as one of the higher marks among MLB starters. So far, Justin Steele has a SLG% allowed .345, including giving up 7 home runs. For the season, Steele has picked up 111 strikeouts on a K rate of 24.0%. In his outings, Justin Steele is putting batters on through walks at a rate of 3.76 BB/9.
Chicago's offense comes into this game, averaging 4.21 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. In the team's 60 games at home, they have an even run differential. The Cubs combined batting average currently sits at .244, placing them 14th in the league. For the season, 35.1% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. Per game, the team is averaging 1.04 home runs, placing them 15th. Up to this point, Chicago has been one of the MLB's better teams at getting on base, ranking 11th at .317.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Brewers vs. Cubs
Heading into today's matchup between Milwaukee and Chicago, the Brewers are the heavy favorite at -154 on the moneyline. Milwaukee's implied win probability sits at 60.63%. However, the MLB predictive model does not show enough value to take Milwaukee on the moneyline. Instead, its recommended to take the Cubs on the runline at +1.5 runs.
Recommended Betting Pick: Cubs Runline
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