RADIO
It is Wednesday, August 24th, and we have a split day-night slate in baseball today as we do with most Wednesdays! 28 of the 30 teams are in action in some form today and we are back with a set of some free picks to help navigate today's MLB action.
This article will be focused on sides and totals. I am a huge baseball fan and baseball has been my bread and butter for the last couple of decades. Hopefully, I can help you win some pizza money! I occasionally will post some ideas and picks with bets, DFS, and other things on my Twitter account. You can follow me at @Mark_Kieffer.
Attention fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.
Featured Promo: Want a free RotoBaller Premium Pass? Check out these sports betting promo offers from the top sportsbooks! All new sign-ups get a free bonus offer on their first deposit, and a free year of RotoBaller's Premium Pass for all sports ($450 value)! Sign Up Now!
Today's MLB Betting Picks - Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles
O/U: 8.5 | Moneyline: CWS -120
CWS: Lucas Giolito| BAL: Spenser Watkins
In a game like this, what does one side with more? The surface stats or the peripheral stats? Lucas Giolito has a 5.34 ERA but a 3.61 xFIP. Spenser Watkins has a 4.82 xFIP but a 4.04 ERA. Who is the better pitcher? In the past, I'd argue Giolito is but having large differences like this late in the season is not great.
The Orioles offense has scored more runs than the White Sox. They also have a higher ISO and slightly higher wRC+. One could argue that overall the Orioles and White Sox are similar offenses but the Orioles are slightly better.
As far as bullpens go, the Orioles have a 3.16 bullpen ERA while the White Sox have a 4.15 bullpen ERA. Looking at xFIP, Baltimore has the fourth-best bullpen xFIP while Chicago is somewhere in the middle. Regardless of whether one looks like ERA or xFIP, the Orioles have a better bullpen than the White Sox.
This is a situation where I want to back the Orioles. They are at plus money, at home, and have a better offense and bullpen for sure. And while the starting pitching situation is a predicament, Watkins has pitched better than Giolito this far into the season as silly as that is to type out.
Pick: Baltimore Moneyline (+100), DraftKings/BetMGM/Caesar's/PointsBet Sportsbook, 0.5 Units
Sports Betting Promo Offers
All new sign-ups also get a free year of RotoBaller's all sports Premium Pass ($450 value)!
| Sportsbook | Bonus Offer | Promo |
| Caesars | Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,500 | CLAIM OFFER |
| PointsBet | 2 Risk-Free Bets Up To $2,000 | CLAIM OFFER |
| BetMGM | Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,000 | CLAIM OFFER |
| FanDuel | Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,000 | CLAIM OFFER |
| DraftKings | Deposit Bonus Booster Up To $1,000 | CLAIM OFFER |
Featured Promo
Offer is only valid for new users
All new sportsbook sign-ups get a free year of RotoBaller Premium access ($450 value)!
1. Just sign up for a new account
2. Make a minimum deposit of $20 and place any bet
3. Be sure to claim your bonus offer from the sportsbook
4. Email us at info@rotoballer.com with your new account details
5. Boom - that's it! We'll email you with your year-long RotoBaller Premium Pass
Today's MLB Betting Picks - Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
O/U: 7.5 | Moneyline: ARI -130
ARI: Zac Gallen| KC: Brady Singer
In Kansas City, we have a fun pitching matchup between two of the better pitchers in the league: Zac Gallen and Brady Singer. Singer has finally had that breakout season with a 3.27 ERA, a 3.36 xFIP, and a 19.1% K-BB%.
Gallen continues to be very solid in his own right. He has a 2.78 ERA, a 3.46 xFIP, and an 18.5% K-BB%. Both Singer and Gallen are pretty close here and have very similar seasons despite Gallen having the better ERA.
Offensively, the Royals are not good though. The good news is that neither are the Diamondbacks. The Royals have a 92 wRC+ while Arizona has a 93 wRC!
Both teams have bad bullpens too. Arizona has a 4.31 bullpen ERA (seventh-worst) and a 4.35 xFIP (third-worst). Kansas City has a 4.76 bullpen ERA (third-worst) and a 4.50 xFIP (worst). If either team has a lead, that lead isn't safe in this one.
While I was originally looking at the Kansas City win market at +110, their lead after five innings market is at +145. And I ask myself, if I want to bet on Kansas City because it's going to be a close game, would it be more likely Singer outpitches Gallen or less likely? I'd rather take the +145 and remove the bullpens from the equation than take the +110 and hope the Royals bullpen outpitches the Diamondbacks!
Pick: Kansas City Moneyline F5 (+145), BetRivers Sportsbook, 0.5 Units
Good luck, RotoBallers! Stay tuned for more great DFS and betting content throughout the week!
Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App
Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!
More Fantasy Baseball Analysis
