The 2021 NBA season is finally underway and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, November 18th.
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Single Stat NBA Totals
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
Tobias Harris OVER 19.5 Points - I'm going back to the well with Tobias Harris, despite only having him projected at 20.4 points. In his last ten games with a day rest, Harris has had 20+ points in seven of them. The matchup with Denver is a better one than with Utah, with Denver allowing +0.29 points over average to small forwards. This should be a closer game than the one we saw on Tuesday, and I think Harris will be a large factor in that.
Nikola Jokic OVER 12.5 Rebounds - On the other side of this game we have the reigning MVP, Nikola Jokic. The Sixers are tough on the glass against the center position, allowing -2.16 rebounds below the league average. However, with Joel Embiid out, Jokic should take advantage. Sure, Drummond will get his boards as well, but my early projections have Joker at 16 rebounds, and he's had at least 13 in four of his last five games as well as his last three games with two days' rest.
Derrick White OVER 2.5 Rebounds - We go from a big guy on the glass to a little guy on the glass. While Minnesota is better than average at containing point guards from getting rebounds (-1.84 against the average), White is primarily on the floor with Dejounte Murray, moving White to the two. This matchup looks a lot better for White, as Minnesota allows shooting guards to grab +2.13 rebounds over the league average. While that's almost enough to hit the prop on its own, I have White projected at 3.9 rebounds, nearly a full board over his PrizePicks number. There's solid value here.
Other Recommendations - Nikola Jokic OVER 6.5 Assists, Seth Curry OVER 2.5 Assists, Keldon Johnson UNDER 6.5 Rebounds.
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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