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Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 NFL season is moving right along and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NFL, Single Stat consists of quarterback passing yards, running back rushing yards, and wide receiver receiving yards in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for Week 17 of the NFL Season.
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Single Stat NFL Totals
Mac Jones under 200.5 passing yards - Mac Jones has only thrown for this total twice in his previous five games and has not done it in any over his previous three games. This does not feel like a game he will be required to do so as the Patriots will enter as double-digit favorites and should be able to rely heavily on the rushing attack. This is a Jaguars defense that has allowed the ninth-most rushing yards to running backs over the previous four weeks and ranks in the bottom half of the league on the season. The Patriots should be able to pound Damien Harris and Rhamondre Stevenson (if healthy) in order to win this game.
Joe Burrow over 270.5 passing yards - This game has a total currently sitting at 50 and could certainly soar over this as we have two capable offenses squaring off. Joe Burrow is fresh off a 525-yard passing performance against the Baltimore Ravens and also has two separate 300-yard passing games over his previous four games. He will likely have to throw the ball in this one in order to keep up with the Chiefs' high-powered offense. This is doable as the Chiefs rank in the bottom half of the league in terms of passing yards allowed over the previous four weeks and also rank there on the season.
Jonathan Taylor over 106.5 rushing yards - I am not sure there is a number that Taylor cannot reach right now as he continues to obliterate his prop each week and now has over 100 rushing yards in four of his previous five games. The matchup this week is a great one as the colts will enter the game as touchdown favorites against a Raider defense that has allowed quite a bit of success to running backs as seven backfields have gotten them for over 100 rushing yards this season. Taylor should see plenty of volume once again in this one and get over the total.
Travis Kelce over 65.5 receiving yards - Kelce has had an up and down season, but he has still managed to hit this total in three of his previous five games and has a great shot to go over the total this week upon his return from the Covid list. He should be a focal point of the Chiefs' passing attack as this Bengals defense has allowed the second-most receiving yards to tight ends on the season and are allowing an average of over 66 yards per game. In 2021, they have allowed over 100-yard receiving games to Darren Waller, George Kittle, and Mark Andrews, so Kelce should be next up for that achievement.
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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