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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Sunday September 11th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Angels vs. Astros
The Angels take on the Astros on Sunday September 11th at Minute Maid Park, Houston. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Los Angeles Angels (60-78) vs. Houston Astros (89-49)
- Date: Sunday September 11th, 2022
- Time: 2:10 ET
- Venue: Minute Maid Park, Houston
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Angels vs. Astros
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Los Angeles Angels - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Los Angeles Angels come into this road contest vs Houston with a below .500 record (60-78). In the AL West division standings, the team ranks 3rd. The Angels will need a win in today's game to improve their record on the road (30-38) above the .500 mark. The team is hoping to add on another win, as they are coming off a 6-1 win over Houston. To start the year, Los Angeles has picked up just 17 series wins, going 17-22-5.
Tucker Davidson gets the start for the Angels with a below .500 record at 1-2. Davidson will be looking to bring down an ERA of 6.46. Currently, opponents have a batting average of .254 against him. So far, the left-hander has yet to give up a home run. His strikeout percentage of 14% comes in below the MLB average.
On offense, Los Angeles has struggled to bring runners across the plate, averaging just 3.83 runs per game. So far, the team's offense has struggled to score late, ranking 23rd in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings. Together, the Angels' offense has the 28th ranked batting average, at .228. Over their last three games, the team is hitting .255. So far, the team has made up for a low batting average by hitting the long ball. Currently, Los Angeles ranks 11th in home runs, averaging 1.18 per game. The team's current slugging percentage of .384 ranks near the league average. Throughout the season, Los Angeles has struggled to get on base, ranking 26th in OBP (.294). While their wOBA of .297 is one of the lowest figures in the league.
Houston Astros - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 89-49, the Houston Astros will host Houston, currently ranked 1st in the AL West division. So far, Houston has been tough at home, putting together a mark of 46-22. Houston is hoping to get back on track after dropping their last game to the Angels by a score of 6-1. For the year, the team has played a total of 46 series, going 28-13-5.
Houston starter Luis Garcia takes the mound with an overall record of 11-8. Across 24 appearances, Garcia has a combined ERA of 3.92. Currently, opponents are batting just .223 against the right-hander. Opposing batters have been able to hit for power against Garcia. So far, he has allowed 20 home runs, leading to a per 9 average of 1.33. For the season, Luis Garcia has a K/BB ratio of 3.31. This has come on a strikeout percentage of 25.0%.
On the season, Houston boasts the 11th ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.46 runs per game. The team's total run differential sits at 166. Through 138 games, the Astros have the 13th ranked batting average at .244. This includes batting .191 over their last 3 games. So far, Houston's lineup has also been able to hit for power, as their average of 1.28 home runs per game ranks 5th. Thus far, the team has put together an average rate similar to the league average (8.0%). To date, Houston has the MLB's 9th best OBP at .318. The team is generating walks at a rate of 9.0%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Angels vs. Astros
Heading into today's matchup between Los Angeles and Houston, the Astros are the heavy favorite at -240 on the moneyline. Houston's implied win probability sits at 70.59%. The MLB predictive model shows Houston having enough of an edge on offense and on the mound to take the Astros on the runline (-1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Astros Runline
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