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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Wednesday, August 24th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Twins vs. Astros
The Twins take on the Astros on Wednesday August 24th at Minute Maid Park, Houston. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Minnesota Twins (62-59) vs. Houston Astros (79-45)
- Date: Wednesday August 24th, 2022
- Time: 8:10 ET
- Venue: Minute Maid Park, Houston
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Twins vs. Astros
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Minnesota Twins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 62-59, the Minnesota Twins travel to take on the Houston Astros, ranked 2nd in the AL Central division. The Twins hope to avoid dropping further below .500 when playing on the road, as they are currently 27-31. The Twins will be looking to bounce back after falling to Houston by a score of 4-2. Overall, the team has won over half of their 39 series played, going 17-16-6.
Minnesota pitcher Dylan Bundy gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 7-5. Bundy will be looking to bring down an ERA of 4.60. Compared to other pitchers, he has an elevated batting average allowed (.259). Opposing batters have been able to hit for power against Bundy. So far, he has allowed 15 home runs, leading to a per 9 average of 1.31. Overall, he has notched 77 strikeouts on a strikeout percentage of 18.0%. Thus far, Dylan Bundy has had problems with walks, averaging 1.91 per 9 innings.
Offensively, Minnesota is scoring at a rate near the MLB average, at 4.38 runs per game. So far, the team ranks 13th in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings of action. The Twins have combined to hit .249, which ranks 11th in the league. For the season, 35.2% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above average rate, averaging 1.19 home runs per game (9th). To date, the teams' barrel rate of 9.3% ranks near the top of the league. Up to this point, Minnesota has been one of the MLB's better teams at getting on base, ranking 9th at .318. On average, the team generates walks at a rate of 8.6%.
Houston Astros - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Houston Astros enter play ranked 1st in the AL West division, with an overall record of 79-45. In their 58 games at home, the Astros have a strong record of 40-18. In their last game, Houston picked up a 4-2 win over the Twins. Overall, the team has won over half of their 41 series played, going 25-12-4.
Starting for the Astros will be Framber Valdez, with an overall record of 12-4. In his 23 appearances, Valdez has an ERA of 2.72. Opponents have had a tough time against the left-hander, as they are batting just .216 against him. Per 9 innings pitched, Valdez is averaging just .42 home runs allowed. Framber Valdez takes the mound with a K/BB ratio of 2.58. This has come while striking out 22.0% of the batters he's faced.
On the season, Houston boasts the 8th ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.59 runs per game. The team's total run differential sits at 153. The Astros' combined batting average currently sits at .247, placing them 13th in the league. This includes batting .264 over their last 3 games. The team's lineup is hitting for power at an above-average rate, averaging 1.35 home runs per game (4th). Their current combined exit velocity of 39.7 comes in near the MLB average. Houston's strong OBP of .319 is 7th best in the league, while the team's wOBA is one of the best in the league at .325.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Twins vs. Astros
Heading into today's matchup between Minnesota and Houston, the Astros are the heavy favorite at -240 on the moneyline. Houston's implied win probability sits at 70.59%. The MLB predictive model shows Houston have enough of an edge on offense and on the mound to take the Astros on the runline (-1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Astros Runline
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