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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Tuesday September 6th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Diamondbacks vs. Padres
The Diamondbacks take on the Padres on Tuesday September 6th at Petco Park, San Diego. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Arizona Diamondbacks (65-69) vs. San Diego Padres (74-62)
- Date: Tuesday September 6th, 2022
- Time: 9:40 ET
- Venue: Petco Park, San Diego
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Diamondbacks vs. Padres
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Arizona Diamondbacks - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Arizona Diamondbacks take on the San Diego hoping to improve on their record of just 65-69, placing them 4th in the NL West division. The Diamondbacks hope to avoid dropping further below .500 when playing on the road, as they are currently 28-35. The unit is coming off a winning effort over San Diego by a score of 5-0. To start the year, Arizona has picked up just 18 series wins, going 18-18-7.
For Arizona, Merrill Kelly gets the start, currently holding a record of 12-5. In his 27 appearances, Kelly has an ERA of 2.84. Kelly's WHIP of just 1.11 compares favorably to other MLB starters. Currently, opponents are batting just .222 against the right-hander. Across his previous outings, Kelly has a SLG% allowed of .328. In total, he has given up 10 home runs. Heading into the game, he has struck 22.0% of the batters he's faced.
Arizona's offense comes into this game averaging 4.44 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. Over their last 3 games, the team has an average run differential of 7. The Diamondbacks combined batting average currently sits at .232, placing them 24th in the league. For the season, 37.5% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. Per game, the team is averaging 1.08 home runs, placing them 14th. Up to this point, they have one of the lowest hard hit rates in the MLB at 36.0%. Up to this point, Arizona has been getting on base at a rate of .309, placing them 22nd in all of baseball. So far, the team has a walk rate of 9.3%.
San Diego Padres - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the San Diego Padres host the Arizona Diamondbacks, they have a record of 74-62, placing them 2nd in the NL West division. When playing at Petco Park, the Padres have played well, posting a record of 35-29. In their previous games, San Diego lost by a score of 5-0 to the Diamondbacks. Overall, the team has won over half of their 43 series played, going 21-16-6.
San Diego starter Joe Musgrove takes the mound with an overall record of 9-6. In his 24 appearances, Musgrove has an ERA of 3.01. Joe Musgrove has shown the ability to limit base runners, as he has a WHIP of just 1.04. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .223 against him. So far, Joe Musgrove has a SLG% allowed .369, including giving up 16 home runs. Heading into the game, Musgrove has struck 25.0% of the batters he's faced.
San Diego enters play with the 15th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.39 runs per game. So far, the team has struggled to score early, ranking 23rd in runs scored through 4 innings. Together, the Padres offense has the 18th ranked batting average, at .241. For the season, 33.8% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. Per game, the team is averaging .90 home runs, placing them 21st. Before today's game, the team has one of the worst barrel rates in the league at 6.6% San Diego's overall OBP of .319 is good for 7th in the league. While their current wOBA of .308 is similar to the league average.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Diamondbacks vs. Padres
Heading into today's matchup between Arizona and San Diego, the Padres are the heavy favorite at -230 on the moneyline. San Diego's implied win probability sits at 69.7%. Even with the odds strongly in favor of San Diego, the MLB predictive model shows the best bet for this contest being the Diamondbacks on the runline (+1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Diamonbacks +1.5 Runline
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