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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Monday August 15th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Mets vs. Braves
The Mets take on the Braves on Monday, August 15th at Truist Park, Atlanta. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: New York Mets (75-40) vs. Atlanta Braves (70-46)
- Date: Monday August 15th, 2022
- Time: 7:20 ET
- Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Mets vs. Braves
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New York Mets - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
New York travels to take on the Braves at Truist Park with a record of 75-40, placing them 1st in the NL East division. When playing away from home, the Mets have played well, posting a record of 35-21. The unit is coming off a winning effort over the Phillies by a score of 6-0. So far, New York has won 27 out of their first 36 series, 27-6-3.
For New York, Carlos Carrasco gets the start, currently holding a record of 13-4. Carrasco will take the mound with an ERA of 3.69, placing him near the MLB average. Compared to other pitchers, he has an elevated batting average allowed (0.264). So far, opponents have taken Carrasco over the fence 13 times across 124 innings pitched. Carlos Carrasco takes the mound with a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.84. This has come while striking out 24.0% of the batters he's faced.
On the season, New York boasts the 4th ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.80 runs per game. This includes posting a season-long run differential of 133. The Mets have been able to drive in runs at an above-average rate as their team batting average of .259, which ranks 4th in the league. For the season, 32.8% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. Per game, the team is averaging 1.01 home runs, placing them 17th. Thus far, the team has put together an average rate similar to the league average (6.9%). New York's strong OBP of .330 is 2nd best in the league. On average, the team generates walks at a rate of 8.1%.
Atlanta Braves - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Atlanta Braves enter play ranked 2nd in the NL East division, with an overall record of 70-46. On the season, the Braves have an above .500 home record, going 37-22 at Truist Park. Atlanta is coming off a winning effort over the Marlins by a score of 3-1. Overall, the team has won over half of their 36 series played, going 18-12-6.
Making the start for Atlanta is Spencer Strider, with a record of 6-4 and an outstanding ERA of 3.31. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .185 against him. Across 89 innings pitched, Strider has allowed just 5 home runs. Spencer Strider takes the mound with a K/BB ratio of 4.06. This has come while striking out 38.0% of the batters he's faced.
Offensively, Atlanta has had no problem putting up runs, as their scoring average of 4.80 runs per game ranks 3rd in the MLB. Throughout the season, the team has been good at getting off to strong starts, averaging 2.16 runs through the first four innings. The Braves are have been able to drive in runs at an above-average rate as their team batting average of .251, which ranks 9th in the league. For the season, 40.5% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. So far, Atlanta's lineup has also been able to hit for power, as their average of 1.53 home runs per game ranks 2nd. Atlanta's offense currently ranks 13th in OBP, coming in at .315, while their wOBA is one of the best in the league at 0.329.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Mets vs. Braves
Heading into today's matchup between New York and Atlanta, the Braves are the heavy favorite at -152 on the moneyline. Atlanta's implied win probability sits at 60.32%. Even with the odds strongly in favor of Atlanta, the MLB predictive model shows the best bet for this contest being the Mets on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Mets Runline
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