Categories
2020 Fantasy Football Advice Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NFL Analysis RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NFL DFS Prop Picks for Thursday (10/22/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

The NFC East has the makings of one of the worst divisions in the modern history of the NFL and Thursday night brings an NFC East matchup between the New York Giants and Philadelphia Eagles. The teams may not be great but there are still chances to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The Giants are 1-5, coming off their first win of the season, 20-19 over the Washington Football Team. With star running back Saquon Barkley injured, the Giants are having a really hard time moving the ball – their average of 4.7 yards per play is only better than the Washington Football Team and the New York Jets.

It’s not like the season has been a raging success for Philadelphia either. The Eagles are 1-4-1 and just lost starting running back Miles Sanders to a knee injury and tight end Zach Ertz to an ankle injury and they join an ever-growing list of injured Eagles. That doesn’t leave quarterback Carson Wentz with an ideal supporting cast but this is the NFC East, no one is running on all cylinders.

Nevertheless, here are some angles to consider for Thursday night’s NFL game on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

N.Y. GIANTS-PHILADELPHIA

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Carson Wentz LESS THAN 247.5 PASSING YARDS

The Eagles quarterback is averaging a modest 233.5 passing yards per game this season and his offense is depleted by injuries. He has thrown for 248 or more yards twice in six games. The Giants are average in terms of pass defense, allowing 235.5 passing yards per game and 6.5 net yards per pass attempt. Unless the Eagles somehow show that they are more explosive offensively, it could be hard for Wentz to reach what seems like an entirely reasonable number.

Daniel Jones MORE THAN 230.5 PASSING YARDS

Danny Dimes threw for more than 240 yards in his first two starts of the season but has struggled to throw the ball in the past four weeks, reaching a season-low 112 passing yards against Washington last week. Philadelphia’s defense is better than average against the pass, allowing 229.7 passing yards per game and 6.0 average net yards per pass attempt. With some expectation that the Giants may be trailing, maybe he bounces back and reaches this achievable threshold.

Travis Fulgham MORE THAN 64.5 RECEIVING YARDS

The real wildcard in the Philadelphia offense is Fulgham, a 25-year-old who had zero catches on three targets for the Lions in 2019 but has suddenly landed in the Philadelphia lineup and has put up 18 catches for 284 yards and three touchdowns on 26 targets in the past three games. He looks like he’s going to be Carson Wentz’s favorite target.

RAPID FIRE

Travis Fulgham -1.5 fantasy points vs. Devonta Freeman

Two players who have been thrust into prominent roles. A series of injuries opened the door for Fulgham to step into the Eagles lineup and he’s been so productive that he’s now indispensable. Freeman was a free agent waiting for the right opportunity to come along when Saquon Barkley tore his ACL. Freeman rushed for a season-high 61 yards last week but it has been a grind – he’s averaging 3.2 yards per carry.

Boston Scott +1.5 fantasy points vs. Darius Slayton

Philadelphia’s starting running back, Miles Sanders, left last week’s game with a knee injury and that opens the door for Scott to be Philadelphia’s lead back, with Corey Clement providing support in the backfield. Slayton is averaging 67.7 receiving yards per game and he has scored three touchdowns in six games. He also happens to be nursing a foot injury so if he’s slowed down at all that could open the door for Boston Scott to escape with a win in this matchup.

 



Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
2020 Fantasy Baseball Advice Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks MLB Analysis RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

MLB DFS Prop Picks for Tuesday (10/20/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

The first pitch of the World Series goes tonight and that means more props to play on Monkey Knife Fight.

Even though it was a shortened 60-game season, with an expanded playoff, the teams with the two best records managed to reach the World Series.

The Los Angeles Dodgers are the team that consistently has one of the highest payrolls in the sport. They have been seeking their first World Series crown since 1988 and they have been close, losing the World Series in both 2017 and 2018.

On the other hand, the Tampa Bay Rays are a bargain enterprise have never won the World Series, losing in their only appearance in the championship round in 2008.

Here are some angles to consider for the first game of the World Series on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

TAMPA BAY-LOS ANGELES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Clayton Kershaw LESS THAN 6.5 STRIKEOUTS

There are few players in this series that come with the wildcard credentials of Kershaw. He may be the best pitcher of this generation but he has also struggled at times in the postseason and has recorded seven or more strikeouts in two of his past 10 postseason starts. However, the Rays are a team that tends to strike out. During the regular season, their strikeout rate of 26.9% was the second-highest rate in baseball and it’s gone up to 29.9% in the postseason. Still, can Kershaw be trusted?

Tyler Glasnow LESS THAN 5.5 STRIKEOUTS

Glasnow recorded 18 strikeouts in 11 innings through his first two playoff starts this year but has seven strikeouts in 8 1/3 innings since. The Dodgers also happen to sit on the other end of the spectrum for strikeouts. Their strikeout rate of 20.3% was the third lowest rate in baseball.

Mookie Betts MORE THAN 1.5 HITS + WALKS

The star Dodgers right fielder is hitting .311 with an .852 OPS in the playoffs and while he has yet to hit a home run, he’s consistently getting on base, and that includes reaching on multiple hits plus walks in nine of 12 postseason contests.

RAPID FIRE

Randy Arozarena -0.5 fantasy points vs. Yandy Diaz

Diaz, the Rays’ third baseman, is hitting .125 with a .489 OPS in the playoffs, compared to Arozarena, who is the hottest hitter in baseball. Arozarena has hit .382 with a 1.288 OPS in 14 playoff games. Take Arozarena against anyone right now but especially against Diaz.

Cody Bellinger -0.5 fantasy points vs. Brandon Lowe

Bellinger has been coming on for the Dodogers and while he’s hitting a mediocre .250, he has a .911 OPS, has walked eight times and driven in 10 runs in 12 playoff games. Lowe, on the other hand, is mired in a terrible slump, hitting .115 with a .360 OPS in the playoffs. The regular season was different, Lowe was the much more dangerous hitter, but it’s hard to go against their recent results.

Corey Seager +0.5 fantasy points vs. Mookie Betts

As good as Betts has been in the playoffs, hitting .311 with an .852 OPS, it’s not as good as Seager who has six home runs, 15 RBI, a .298 batting average and 1.124 OPS in 12 postseaason contests. Betts has been good but Seager has been great.

 

HOME RUN DERBY

Looking for a trio of players that might combine for more than 0.5 home runs? Try Randy Arozarena, Corey Seager, and Cody Bellinger, a trio that has combined for 16 home runs in the playoffs.



Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
2020 Fantasy Football Advice Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NFL Analysis RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NFL DFS Prop Picks for Monday (10/19/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

For the third time in six weeks this season, there will be two NFL games played on Monday night. It’s easy to get used to this kind of action and it also means twice as many chances to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The first game sees the defending-champion Kansas City Chiefs visiting the emerging Buffalo Bills. The Chiefs are 4-1 but coming off a loss to the Las Vegas Raiders last week. The Bills are also 4-1 and coming off a lopsided loss at Tennessee.

The later game has the 3-2 Arizona Cardinals, third place in the NFC West, visiting the Dallas Cowboys. America’s Team is 2-3 yet still in first place in the NFC East. Both teams have some significant injuries to overcome.

Arizona has lost star pass rusher Chandler Jones for the rest of the season due to a torn biceps while Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott is done for the season after breaking his ankle against the Giants in Week 5. Andy Dalton takes over at quarterback for the Cowboys.

Here are some angles to consider for yet another Monday night NFL double-header on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

KANSAS CITY-BUFFALO

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Patrick Mahomes LESS THAN 319.5 PASSING YARDS

Mahomes is averaging 294.8 passing yards per game this season, throwing for more than 320 yards in two of five contests. The Bills Defense hasn’t been up to expectations to this point and still they have allowed 263.2 passing yards per game and 6.7 net yards per pass attempt. The status of injured Bills cornerback Tre’Davious White could play a big part in this but it’s asking a lot for Mahomes to throw for 320-plus.

Josh Allen LESS THAN 290.5 PASSING YARDS

While Allen is enjoying a breakthrough campaign, averaging 317.8 passing yards per game, the Chiefs aren’t going to be easy pickings. Kansas City has allowed just 225.5 passing yards per game, 6.5 net yards per pass attempt, so Allen will have to work for whatever he can accomplish in this game.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire LESS THAN 72.5 RUSHING YARDS

The Chiefs rookie is facing the prospect of losing playing time to newly-signed Le’Veon Bell but not this week. Even so, Edwards-Helaire is averaging 68.8 rushing yards per game and has been held under 65 yards in each of the past four games.

RAPID FIRE

Stefon Diggs -6.5 receiving yards vs. Travis Kelce

Diggs has made a seamless transition to the Bills offense and is averaging 101.8 receiving yards per game, a lofty total that is out of reach for tight ends, including Kelce, who is averaging 81.0 receiving yards per game. There may be an extra look or two towards Kelce with wide receiver Sammy Watkins out but not enough to prefer him over Diggs this week.

Cole Beasley +0.5 receptions vs. Tyreek Hill

Hill is a playmaker but he’s not a high-volume receiver. He hasn’t had more than five catches in any game this season and that makes him a risky selection as the favorite against Beasley, Buffalo’s effective slot receiver. Beasley is averaging 4.8 receptions per game so getting an extra half reception gives him a worthwhile lead in terms of value.

 

ARIZONA-DALLAS

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Andy Dalton LESS THAN 288.5 PASSING YARDS

This is a great opportunity for Dalton, the longtime Bengals starter who steps in as the Cowboys quarterback in the wake of Dak Prescott’s injury. Last season, in Cincinnati, Dalton passed for 289 yards or more four times in 13 games.

Kyler Murray LESS THAN 288.5 PASSING YARDS

The Cardinals quarterback is doing more in his sophomore season but he’s averaging 259.8 passing yards per game even after going for 380 yards against the Jets last week. Dallas’ defense has been pretty much average against the pass so far, allowing 248.6 passing yards per game and 6.8 net yards per pass attempt.

DeAndre Hopkins MORE THAN 6.5 RECEPTIONS

D-Hop had a season-low six receptions last week but is still averaging nine catches per game since landing in the desert. He’s easily the No. 1 receiver on the Cardinals depth chart and should be busy against Dallas.

Amari Cooper MORE THAN 69.5 RECEIVING YARDS

The Cowboys’ top receiver was invisible last week but had more than 80 yards receiving in the first four games of the season. Arizona has good numbers against the pass, allowing just 222.4 passing yards per game, 6.1 net yards per attempt, and while losing Chandler Jones likely means that the Cardinals won’t be as effective when rushing the passer, they will provide a tough test for the Cowboys. Still, Cooper has been a consistent threat for Dallas and should remain that way even after the quarterback change.

RAPID FIRE

Kenyan Drake +30.5 rushing yards vs. Ezekiel Elliott

Drake has been a disappointment for the Cardinals this season but is still active enough that he has averaged 62.8 rushing yards per game. Elliott has not been thriving in Dallas either, averaging 72.8 rushing yards per contest. Maybe there is a bigger role for Zeke with Dak Prescott sidelined but banking on more than a 30-yard gap against Drake is a big ask.



Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
2020 Fantasy Football Advice Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NFL Analysis RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NFL DFS Prop Picks for Sunday (10/18/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

Week 6 of the NFL season is upon us, which means a busy Sunday full of opportunities to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The season is now officially in bye week territory, and not just “Covid-19 cancelled the game so we’re calling it a bye” territory. Four teams had byes last week. Four more again this week and that includes the Raiders, Chargers, Saints, and Seahawks.

With a lighter schedule, you might think that the league would consider a bit of a balance between the early and late schedules but, of course, you would be wrong. There are nine games going early on Sunday afternoon, with just two games in the late afternoon window. I know, Brady vs. Rodgers is in that late window but it’s still a little tilted. Anyway, that should mean a better selection when looking at the early games on the Star Shootout.

Here are some Star Shootout angles to consider for Sunday’s NFL games on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

STAR SHOOTOUT - EARLY GAMES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Matt Ryan MORE THAN 294.5 PASSING YARDS

It’s been a brutal season for the Falcons, and not so great for this week’s opposition, the Minnesota Vikings. Ryan has averaged 294.4 passing yards per game this season but that number is inflated by his 450 yards passing in Week 1. He has been held to 285 passing yards or fewer in each of the past four games. Minnesota’s pass defense hasn’t been very good, at least in part because of injuries in the secondary, and they’re allowing 271.4 passing yards per game, 7.5 net yards per pass attempt. That is vulnerable enough for Ryan to have success through the air.

Ben Roethlisberger LESS THAN 273.5 PASSING YARDS

This may come down to just how much the Steelers need to throw the ball because they haven’t had to chuck it that much on their way to a 4-0 record. Roethlisberger is averaging 254 passing yards per game and while the Browns Defense has allowed 296.4 passing yards per game, which is among the highest in the league, they are only giving up 6.5 net yards per pass attempt, which is right around league average.

Teddy Bridgewater LESS THAN 265.5 PASSING YARDS

The Panthers passing game has been surprisingly potent as Bridgewater is averaging 292 passing yards per game. However, the Bears Defense is good, really good. They have allowed 230.8 passing yards per game, which is good. They have allowed 5.7 net yards per pass attempt which is great, ranking third in the league. All that suggests that it could be a challenging day for Bridgewater.

Derrick Henry MORE THAN 105.5 RUSHING YARDS

This is a big number even for great runner like Henry. He is averaging 94 rushing yards through the first four games and has gone for more than 106 yards twice. He’s also going up against a Texans team that is surrendering 4.7 yards per carry and 160.4 rushing yards per game, they will certainly be vulnerable against the league’s most forceful runner. So even with that huge number, this might be the right matchup for Henry to get the job done.

RAPID FIRE

Allen Robinson -0.5 receptions vs. Julio Jones

After griping early in the season about not getting enough looks, Robinson has 27 catches on 39 targets in the past three games. Jones has missed the past couple of games with a hamstring injury and before that was targeted four times in each of the previous two games. That health uncertainty makes Robinson the safer play as a favorite.

Deshaun Watson +1.5 fantasy points vs. Lamar Jackson

As bad as the Texans have been overall, Watson is still productive enough, passing for more than 290 yards and 1.8 touchdowns per game. He also goes against a Titans teams that has been of the bend-don’t-break style of defense, so they have given up some yardage. Jackson has been good this season but not as electric as he was in 2019. There isn’t enough of an advantage going against Philadelphia’s defense to like Jackson as the favorite here.

 

STAR SHOOTOUT - LATE GAMES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Aaron Rodgers LESS THAN 305.5 PASSING YARDS

Rodgers is having a fantastic season, which includes 13 touchdown passes in four games and he is averaging 303.5 passing yards per contest. He faces a Buccaneers Defense that is better than average, allowing 239.8 passing yards per game and 6.1 net yards per pass attempt.

Tom Brady LESS THAN 290.5 PASSING YARDS

Brady has been productive in Tampa Bay, even though he’s had some key players miss time with injuries. He is averaging 275 passing yards per game and faces a Packers team allowing 247.5 passing yards per game and 6.8 net yards per pass attempt, which is fairly mediocre overall. This game could turn into a shootout between two legendary quarterbacks but they also could throw for 275 yards and three touchdowns apiece.

Aaron Jones MORE THAN 68.5 RUSHING YARDS

Jones is awesome, averaging 93.5 rushing yards per game this season, but he is facing a Bucs defense that is as sturdy against the run as any team in the league, allowing just 2.7 yards per carry and an average of 58.4 rushing yards against per game. A slight lean towards the over.

Chris Godwin LESS THAN 16.5 FANTASY POINTS

Godwin has missed the past two games with a hamstring injury so that makes it difficult to count on a huge day in his return to action and producing at least 17 fantasy points, even with a PPR format, is still a big day.

RAPID FIRE

Davante Adams -0.5 receptions vs. Jamison Crowder

A bit of a running trend here is that some top receivers have been missing time recently due to hamstring injuries and that goes for Adams, who has missed the past two games and left early in Week 2. But, Adams is also the primary target for Aaron Rodgers and that included 17 targets and 14 catches in Week 1. Crowder is quite productive, and has 22 catches on 33 targets in the three games that he has played this season but there is a difference between being the No. 1 receiving option for Aaron Rodgers and the No. 1 receiving option for Joe Flacco.



Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
2020 Fantasy Baseball Advice Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks MLB Analysis RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

MLB DFS Prop Picks for Thursday (10/15/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

The playoff baseball run continues, with two more championship series games going tonight. That means lots of opportunities to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The Los Angeles Dodgers lost the first two games of their series with the Atlanta Braves but scored 11 runs in the first inning of Game 3 on their way to a 15-3 win. They’re back in the series and looking to even up in Game 4.

The Tampa Bay Rays were fortunate to have a 3-0 series lead and the Houston Astros managed to get a 4-3 win to stay alive in Game 4. Can the Rays finish the job in Game 5?

Here are some angles to consider for the Thursday’s baseball games on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

HOUSTON-TAMPA BAY

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Brandon Lowe LESS THAN 1.5 RUNS + RBI

While Lowe was one of the most productive second basemen in baseball this season, he’s mired in a horrible slimp. In the past nine games, he’s 1-for-32, so it’s pretty tough to count on him contributing to multiple runs.

George Springer LESS THAN 1.5 HITS + WALKS

While Springer is a valuable player for the Astros, he has managed to walk just once in the playoffs, leading to him reaching base multiple times in three of 10 postseason games.

Randy Arozarena MORE THAN 1.5 TOTAL BASES

How ridiculous has Arozarena’s playoff run been? He has put up multiple total bases in nine of 11 playoff games, slugging a ridiculous .907. He’s the best offensive threat in the Tampa Bay lineup.

Jose Altuve MORE THAN 1.5 TOTAL BASES

Following a brutal regular season and a slow start to the postseason, Altuve has picked up in a hurry. He’s 11-for-25 (.440 AVG) in the past six games, hitting five home runs. He’s an adventure in the field but that doesn’t appear to be messing with him at the plate.

RAPID FIRE

Willy Adames +0.5 hits + walks vs. Alex Bregman

Adames is hitting just .129 in the playoffs but he’s not afraid to take walks, giving him a .325 on-base percentage, which is almost respectable. Bregman has been okay, hitting .270 with a .386 on-base percentage but that’s not enough of an edge to like Bregman minus a half hit and walk against Adames.

Jose Altuve -0.5 total bases vs. Joey Wendle

Two players at opposite ends of the spectrum right now. Wendle is 2-for-17, with just two singles, in the past six games. Compared to Altuve, who has five home runs in the past six games, this doesn’t seem like a fair fight.

 

LOS ANGELES-ATLANTA

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Clayton Kershaw LESS THAN 5.5 STRIKEOUTS

He’s been pushed back a couple of days because of back issues but the Dodgers ace has been effective, recording at least six strikeouts in four of his past five starts. This is more a concern about his health, that maybe he’s not going to get pushed too late into this game.

Ronald Acuna Jr. LESS THAN 1.5 HITS + WALKS

The Braves star outfielder is just 1-for-16 in the past five games and while he will take a walk, it’s a bit of a challenge to count on him reaching base multiple times in Game 4.

Mookie Betts LESS THAN 1.5 TOTAL BASES

Betts started the playoffs with multiple total bases in the first five games of the postseason but has been held to one or fewer in the past three games. He has hit one home run in 135 career playoff plate appearances.

Corey Seager MORE THAN 1.5 TOTAL BASES

In the past five games, Seager has gone 10-for-20, which makes it easy enough to like him for a couple of bases.

RAPID FIRE

Max Muncy +0.5 total bases vs. Justin Turner

In the playoffs, Muncy is slugging .538, while Turner is really struggling, slugging .167 in eight playoff games.

Freddie Freeman +0.5 total bases vs. Corey Seager

As great as Seager has been, it’s still tough to consider Freeman as an underdog. He slugged .640 during the regular season and while it’s .481 in the playoffs, he’s been hitting against the Dodgers.



Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
2020 Fantasy Football Advice Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NFL Analysis RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NFL DFS Prop Picks for Tuesday (10/13/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

Tuesday night brings more NFL action and that always means more chances to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The Buffalo Bills are in control atop the AFC East – how long since we could say that? – with a 4-0 record. The odd thing about it is that the Bills offense has been so good, averaging 6.4 yards per play which ranks fourth in the league, that it has masked a defense that has now been as good as advertised. Buffalo’s defense is allowing 5.9 yards per play, which is not quite middle of the pack defensively.

The story of the Tennessee Titans isn’t so much about what’s happening on the field (though they are allowing 6.5 yards per play defensively, second-worst in the league), it’s that they have had a big Covid-19 breakout and have thrown schedules into chaos. Their Week 4 game was turned into a bye week. This week they are playing on Tuesday. Their facility has been opening and closing based on news of positive tests. It’s hard to imagine this is all conducive to playing their best football.

Even so, the Titans have a premier running game, when most of the league is focused on passing, and that zig appears to be working while others are zagging. Will it work well enough to knock the Bills from the ranks of the undefeated?

Here are some angles to consider for the Tuesday night NFL game on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

BUFFALO-TENNESSEE

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Josh Allen MORE THAN 290.5 PASSNG YARDS

Buffalo’s breakthrough star quarterback is averaging 331.5 passing yards per game through four weeks and Week 4 was the first time that he was held under 290 yards, finishing with 288 yards against the Raiders. Because of positive Covid-19 tests, Tennessee has played just three games right now, allowing 256.3 passing yards per contest, and 7.1 net yards per pass attempt, both of which are below average relative to the rest of the league.

Ryan Tannehill MORE THAN 240.5 PASSING YARDS

Tennessee’s quarterback is viewed as more of a game manager, and that’s fine. He has averaged 269.7 passing yards per game this season and 259.8 per game in 10 starts for the Titans last season. Buffalo’s games have been a little bit like pinball, with the Bills and their opponents both able to move the ball, so Buffalo’s defense has allowed 280.3 passing yards per game, which is quite high, and 6.7 net yards per pass attempt, which is below average defensively. With the potential return of Titans wide receiver A.J. Brown, all the more reason to lean into Tannehill for at least 241 passing yards.

Derrick Henry LESS THAN 100.5 RUSHING YARDS

The engine that drives the Tennessee offense, Henry averaged 102.7 rushing yards per game last season and is up to 106.3 per game early in 2020. The Bills are allowing 4.4 yards per carry, which is right at league average, but the Bills have been leading most of the time so their opponents tend not to run a whole lot, and Buffalo’s 101 rushing yards allowed per game is significantly better than average. It should be a competitive game but maybe not one in which the Titans are running out the clock, so banking on more than 100 rushing yards, even from Henry, is asking a lot.

Jonnu Smith MORE THAN 4.5 RECEPTIONS

The Titans tight end is a valuable complementary piece and has 13 catches in three games (4.33 per game) this season. With A.J. Brown returning to action, maybe there won’t be quite as many looks for Smith but given the choice between four or fewer or five or more, this leans towards the over.

RAPID FIRE

Stefon Diggs -0.5 receptions vs. A.J. Brown

Diggs has transitioned seamlessly to Buffalo and he’s averaging 6.5 catches per game in his first four games for the Bills. Brown was a rising star as a rookie last season but suffered a knee injury in Week 1 and is just set to make his return to the lineup. If Brown is at full strength, maybe this becomes a closer matchup but with him just coming back from injury, it’s easier to side with Diggs.

Jonnu Smith +4.5 receiving yards vs. John Brown

Both are nice complementary pieces to their teams’ respective offenses. Smith can get down the field better than most tight ends and when the Titans are churning out yards on the ground, it’s nice to have a tight end who can take advantage of easy play action. Brown is a quality threat coming off a 2019 season in which he recorded a career-high 1,060 receiving yards. He’s a little banged-up with a calf injury right now and that might swing the balance towards Smith.



Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
2020 Fantasy Football Advice Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NFL Analysis RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NFL DFS Prop Picks for Sunday (10/11/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

Week 5 of the NFL season is upon us and it brings a relatively full schedule for Sunday’s action which means lots of chances to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

This is the first official bye week on the schedule, so the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers are off this week. Oh, and various Covid-19 positive tests have moved Denver and New England to Monday evening and Buffalo at Tennessee to Tuesday night. These are choppy waters to navigate but the league is managing to keep just enough water out of the boat, for now.

So, aside from scheduling quirks, it is worth noting that offensive numbers are up this season. Overall, teams are gaining 5.7 yards per play, with 6.6 net yards per pass and 4.4 yards per carry. Last season, it was 5.5 yards per play with 6.3 yards per pass and 4.3 yards per carry. In 2019, 36.0% of drives ended with an offensive score. In 2020, it’s 42.0%.

The game is opening up and that means more crooked numbers.

Here are some Star Shootout angles to consider for Sunday’s NFL games on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

STAR SHOOTOUT - EARLY GAMES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Patrick Mahomes LESS THAN 307.5 PASSING YARDS

As great as Mahomes is, this is a huge number, one that he has surpassed once in four games this season. Mahomes is averaging 283.5 passing yards per game and takes on a Raiders squad that is allowing 250.3 passing yards per game. While the Raiders are allowing 7.3 net passing yards per attempt there is a reasonable chance that the Chiefs will have the lead and Mahomes won’t have to chuck it a lot in order to keep that lead.

Matt Ryan LESS THAN 299.5 PASSING YARDS

Another large number to cover. Although Matty Ice has passed for 311.5 yards per game this season, the Carolina Panthers have surrendered 227 passing yards per game and 6.1 net yards per attempt, both of which are better than average.

Deshaun Watson LESS THAN 297.5 PASSING YARDS

Does Houston’s coaching change from Bill O’Brien to Romeo Crennel make the passing game more prolific? Watson threw for a season-high 300 yards last week and goes up against a Jacksonville team that allows 8.0 net passing yards per attempt while surrendering 261 passing yards per game.

Teddy Bridgewater MORE THAN 294.5 PASSING YARDS

While Bridgewater is looking comfortable in the Panthers offense, the reason for this lofty total is largely because he’s facing an Atlanta defense that has been terrible defensively. Bridgewater is averaging 286.8 passing yards per game but has thrown for more than 295 just once in his first four starts with the Panthers. He is going against an Atlanta defense that has allowed 341.5 passing yards per game (second highest in the league) and 7.8 net yards per pass attempt (fifth-highest rate in the league).

Josh Jacobs LESS THAN 79.5 RUSHING YARDS

In the Raiders’ two wins this season, Jacobs is averaging 90.5 rushing yards per game. In their two losses, that average dips to 59.5 rushing yards per game. So, who is on the Raiders’ schedule this week? A road game (okay) at…Kansas City (gulp). That could be a tough one.

Terry McLaurin LESS THAN 78.5 RECEIVING YARDS

The Washington wide receiver has been on a tear, accruing 326 receiving yards in the past three games. Washington is shifting to quarterback Kyle Allen, which isn’t ideal, and they face a Rams Defense that is one of the best against the pass this season, allowing just 229.8 passing yards per game and 5.6 net passing yards per attempt. With a backup quarterback of questionable quality stepping into the lineup against that defense, it could be difficult for McLaurin to get loose.

RAPID FIRE

James Conner +7.5 rushing yards vs. James Robinson

Robinson, the undrafted rookie out of Illinois State, has been a wonderful find for the Jaguars and is averaging 71.3 rushing yards per game through the first four weeks. Conner is coming off back-to-back 100-yard rushing games and his season average is 74.7 rushing yards per game, due to his atypical Week One performance (nine yards on six carries). Conner does face a Philadelphia Eagles Defense that should be better against the run than the Houston Texans Defense going against Robinson but not by enough to like Robinson by more than seven yards.

 

STAR SHOOTOUT - LATE GAMES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Dak Prescott MORE THAN 319.5 PASSING YARDS

The question isn’t so much whether the Cowboys are capable of passing for at least 320 yards, because Prescott has thrown for at least 450 yards in three straight games, but it’s a matter of whether they will need throw that much. Facing the winless Giants, if the Cowboys get out to a comfortable lead that would reduce their need to throw. Expect him to throw under 450 this week, but 320-plus is still possible.

Jimmy Garoppolo MORE THAN 272.5 PASSING YARDS

Coming back from a high ankle sprain, Jimmy G threw for 248.6 yards per game last season and 259 yards in the season opener before getting hurt midway through Week 2. It’s not an easy under, though, because the 49ers are taking on a Miami Dolphins team that has allowed 285 passing yards per game and a league-high 8.2 net yards per pass attempt.

Ezekiel Elliott LESS THAN 91.5 RUSHING YARDS

It’s been a disappointing season so far for Zeke, averaging 68.3 rushing yards per game, and while the Giants aren’t good, they aren’t bad against the run, allowing 3.6 yards per carry.

 

RAPID FIRE

DeVante Parker +0.5 receptions vs. Odell Beckham

Parker, the Dolphins wideout, is averaging six catches per game, compared to four per game for Beckham, and both are facing top-tier pass defenses – Parker and the Dolphins go against the San Francisco 49ers (5.3 net yards per pass attempt) while Beckham and the Browns face the Indianapolis Colts (5.0 net yards per pass attempt).

George Kittle -0.5 receptions vs. Amari Cooper

Last week, Kittle caught all 15 passes sent in his direction and, this week, goes against a Dolphins Defense that has struggled against the pass. Cooper caught a dozen passes last week and is averaging 9.3 receptions per game this season but faces a Giants Defense that has been competent against the pass (221.5 passing yards per game, 6.3 net yards per pass attempt).



Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
2020 Fantasy Football Advice Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NFL Analysis RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NFL DFS Prop Picks for Thursday (10/8/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

Thursday night football brings a rematch between quarterbacks Nick Foles and Tom Brady, who last met on the field when Foles guided Philadelphia to a championship against New England in February of 2018.

The teams for the quarterbacks have changed. Brady has moved to Tampa Bay this season and has 1,122 passing yards and 11 touchdowns in his first four games with the Bucs.

After a stint in Jacksonville, Foles landed in Chicago this year and he still watched Mitch Trubisky win the Bears’ starting quarterback job out of training camp. Foles is getting his chance and struggled last week against Indianapolis in his first start of the season.

Both teams are 3-1 through the first four weeks of the season, so there is a lot on the line in this game.

Here are some angles to consider for the Thursday night NFL game on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

TAMPA BAY-CHICAGO

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Tom Brady LESS THAN 265.5 PASSING YARDS

Brady is averaging 280.5 passing yards per game with the Bucs, including 369 in Week 4 against the Chargers. He has lost tight end O.J. Howard and wide receiver Chris Godwin is out, so the Buccaneers aren’t fully loaded when it comes to the passing game. The Bears Defense has been effective, allowing 230.3 passing yards per game and 5.9 net yards per attempt. Even with a couple of safeties injured, it could be tough for Brady to air it out against Chicago’s defense.

Nick Foles MORE THAN 248.5 PASSING YARDS

In his first start of the season, last week against Indianapolis, Foles threw for 249 yards and he has passed for at least 249 yards in five of nine starts in the previous two seasons. He goes against a Bucs defense that is allowing 247.8 passing yards per game and 6.6 net passing yards per attempt, both of which put Tampa Bay in the middle of the pack when it comes to pass defense. It’s fair to figure that the underdog Bears may have more opportunities to pass in this game, so lean towards the over.

Allen Robinson MORE THAN 78.5 RECEIVING YARDS

After a slow start through the first couple of weeks, after which Robinson expressed his frustration, he has busted out in the past two games, catching 17 passes for 224 yards on 23 targets. He is the most reliable receiving option for Foles and should be able to stay productive against the Bucs.

 

RAPID FIRE

Allen Robinson -10.5 receiving yards vs. Mike Evans

Evans has run very hot and cold this season, going for more than 100 yards twice and finishing with exactly two yards twice. With Godwin out, Evans surely would be a big part of Tampa Bay’s passing attack. As noted above, Robinson has emerged in the past two weeks, getting the looks befitting a legitimate number one receiver.

Ronald Jones II -19.5 rushing yards vs. David Montgomery

While Jones has averaged 63.5 rushing yards per game, he ran for 111 yards last week when Leonard Fournette was out of the lineup and Fournette will be out again this week. The Bears defense is allowing 115 rushing yards per game and 4.2 yards per carry, which is better than average but still leaves some room for Jones to run. On the other hand, Montgomery has averaged 54.5 rushing yards per game this season but he takes that average to face a Bucs defense that is allowing just 2.7 yards per carry, the second-lowest average in the league.

Scott Miller -1.5 fantasy points vs. Anthony Miller

Tom Brady likes his undersized white slot receivers so it should come as no surprise that Scott Miller has put up 83 receiving yards in back-to-back games. Since a decent performance in Week 1, Anthony Miller has managed five catches for 57 yards on 11 targets in the past three weeks.



Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
2020 Fantasy Football Advice Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NFL Analysis RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NFL DFS Prop Picks for Monday (10/5/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

Don’t say Covid-19 never gave you anything good because at the very least you’re getting a Monday Night doubleheader in Week 4 of the National Football League. Twice as many games, twice as much fun and opportunities to win playing props on Monkey Knife Fight.

It’s not good news for the Patriots, who were already facing a daunting matchup in Kansas City but are now going without starting quarterback Cam Newton, who tested positive for Covid-19 last week. The defending-champion Chiefs have looked like a juggernaut early in the season so the Patriots could hardly afford to show up at less than their best but that is the way it looks going into the early Monday nightery.

The original Monday night game has the Atlanta Falcons going to Green Bay. The Falcons are reeling, unable to hold massive leads in back-to-back losses, leaving them at 0-3. Green Bay has started the season 3-0 and look even better than last year’s team that seemed a little lucky on their way to 13 wins. Here are some angles to consider for the Monday night schedule on Monkey Knife Fight.

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

NEW ENGLAND-KANSAS CITY

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Patrick Mahomes MORE THAN 299.5 PASSING YARDS

Watching Mahomes play it feels like he only gets held under 300 yards if he (or the Chiefs) feel like easing up once they have a big lead. Maybe they won’t race out to a big lead against New England, because the Patriots are good too, but New England is also allowing 7.4 net yards per pass attempt, the sixth-highest average in the league.

Brian Hoyer MORE THAN 230.5 PASSING YARDS

The Patriots will presumably have to throw quite a bit if they are going to keep pace with the Chiefs. Even is a slowed-down type of attack, Hoyer can’t just hand the ball off all night and hope that’s enough. In his career, Hoyer has had 32 games in which he played more than 90% of the offensive snaps, and threw for more than 230 yards in 23 of them.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire MORE THAN 76.5 RUSHING YARDS

The Patriots are allowing 4.6 yards per carry and Edwards-Helaire is averaging 4.4 yards per carry through the first three weeks so let’s compromise and say he can expect to gain about 4.5 yards per carry. Does he get 19 carries? Edwards-Helaire has had 25, 10, and 20 carries in the first three games so that’s a close call but I’ll lean towards yes.

RAPID FIRE

Travis Kelce +0.5 receiving yards vs. Tyreek Hill

Through three games this season, Kelce is averaging 75.7 receiving yards per game and Hill is averaging 74.0 receiving yards per game. They are both vital components in the Chiefs attack. Given the choice between them, Kelce does appear to be safer, with maybe not quite as much boom or bust potential as Hill.

Julian Edelman -0.5 receptions vs. Sammy Watkins

While Edelman is batting a knee injury, he is still going to be a fixture in the Patriots passing attack. He only had two catches last week but has been targeted 24 times in three games. Watkins is a big part of the Chiefs attack, too, with 15 catches on 20 targets in three weeks, but Kansas City has more options.

 

ATLANTA-GREEN BAY

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Matt Ryan LESS THAN 313.5 PASSING YARDS

Matty Ice has been averaging 320.3 passing yards per game and the Falcons will likely be losing, so there is little reason to believe he won’t be throwing a lot at Green Bay. That’s a big number to cover, though, considering his past two games are under 275 yards passing.

Aaron Rodgers MORE THAN 290.5 PASSING YARDS

Rodgers has looked rejuvenated this season, averaging 295.7 passing yards per game, and faces a Falcons team that has been surrendering leads because they can’t defend the pass, allowing 350.3 passing yards per game. Can Rodgers go for 290-plus if Green Bay gets out to an early lead is the question.

Calvin Ridley MORE THAN 80.5 RECEIVING YARDS

Julio Jones is battling a hamstring injury, and Ridley has his own ankle injury that he’s dealing with, but he’s averaging 116.3 receiving yards per game this season, with 21 catches on 35 targets in three games. He’s a big part of the Falcons attack under any circumstances.

RAPID FIRE

Todd Gurley +25.5 rushing yards vs. Aaron Jones

While Jones is averaging 101 rushing yards per game, he’s been held to 70 or fewer yards in two of those three games. If he is held to less than 70 yards that would mean Gurley would have to come in under 44 yards at the most and while Gurley might be mostly washed, he can produce more than that.

Russell Gage +0.5 receptions vs. Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Six times in his career, MVS has recorded at least four receptions. That’s not a huge number to begin with and it might not be enough to outduel Gage, who had 15 catches in the first two games before having to leave Week 3 early due to a concussion. Gage is good to go on Monday night and the Falcons will be throwing the ball.



Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
2020 Fantasy Football Advice Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NFL Analysis RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NFL DFS Prop Picks for Sunday (10/4/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

Week 4 of the NFL season is upon is and some trends are starting to show early in the season.

You can take advantage of those trends, play props, and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

Early in this season, the passing yardage is a bit higher than in previous seasons, with teams averaging more than 247 passing yards per game in 2020 compared to 235 yards per game in 2019.

This is continuing a trend towards more passing but it’s worth keeping an eye on. Some of these passing yardage props can look awfully high when viewed through a historical lens but, if teams are consistently passing more than they have in the past, those numbers might be more achievable.

It’s also a bit of a strange week – it wouldn’t be 2020 without something unusual happening – and suddenly the Tennessee Titans and Pittsburgh Steelers are on a bye after the Titans had a Covid-19 outbreak. No one ever said managing a pro sports league through a pandemic would be easy.

Here are some angles to consider for the Sunday NFL schedule on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

STAR SHOOTOUT - EARLY GAMES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Dak Prescott LESS THAN 320.5 PASSING YARDS

The Cowboys quarterback hasn’t been shy to air it out, throwing for 922 yards in the past two weeks. He goes against a Browns team that has allowed 253.7 passing yards per game and 5.8 net passing yards per attempt through the first three games. That’s decent enough pass defense to keep Prescott from going over what is a large number to cover.

Russell Wilson MORE THAN 295.5 PASSING YARDS

It’s been an incredible start to the season for Seattle’s star quarterback, as he has thrown 14 touchdown passes and is averaging 308.3 passing yards per contest. The Seahawks travel to Miami where the Dolphins have allowed 265.7 passing yards per game and only three teams have allowed a higher net yards per pass attempt that the Dolphins are 7.7 yards per attempt (and one of those teams is Seattle!).

Drew Brees LESS THAN 285.5 PASSING YARDS

After passing for just 160 yards in Week One, the veteran Saints quarterback has recovered, throwing for 600 yards in the past two weeks. He’s still going to be without top wide receiver Michael Thomas and tight end Jared Cook, so Brees may have to get creative in the passing game against a Detroit team with decent numbers against the pass, including 237 passing yards per game and 6.8 yards per attempt.

Teddy Bridgewater LESS THAN 270.5 PASSING YARDS

While Bridgewater has averaged 290.3 passing yards per game, that has been boosted by throwing for 367 yards at Tampa Bay in Week 2. This week, he faces an Arizona team that is allowing 224.7 passing yards per game and 6.2 net passing yards per attempt, both better-than-average defensive numbers.

RAPID FIRE

Kenyan Drake +4.5 rushing yards vs. Ezekiel Elliott

After running for just 34 yards against Seattle last week, Zeke is due to bounce back, though he is going up against a Browns Defense that is allowing 3.7 yards per carry. Drake has been a steady contributor for the Cardinals and gets a shot at a Carolina defense that is surrendering 4.9 yards per carry. That defensive difference makes Drake a lively underdog in this week’s matchup.

Keenan Allen +0.5 receptions vs. Alvin Kamara

Coming off a week in which he was targeted 19 times, catching 13 passes, against Carolina, Allen is the focal point of the Chargers passing game. Kamara was targeted 14 times last week against Green Bay, catching 13, as the Saints like to get him in open space but he also has the option of carrying the ball so Allen should be an intriguing underdog in this matchup.

 

STAR SHOOTOUT - LATE GAMES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Patrick Mahomes MORE THAN 292.5 PASSING YARDS

Watching Mahomes play it feels like he only gets held under 300 yards if he (or the Chiefs) feel like easing up once they have a big lead. Maybe they won’t race out to a big lead against New England, because the Patriots are good too, but New England is also allowing 7.4 net yards per pass attempt, the sixth-highest average in the league.

Josh Allen MORE THAN 279.5 PASSING YARDS

The Bills quarterback has passed for at least 310 yards in each of his three games thus far. Are the Raiders the team to suddenly keep him in check? It doesn’t really look like it. The Raiders have allowed 242.3 passing yards per game, which is a little better than average but at a clip of 7.1 net yards per pass attempt which is higher than average. Those mixed results look like a mediocre defense and it should take better than mediocre to slow down Allen.

Josh Jacobs MORE THAN 80.5 RUSHING YARDS

The Raiders running back is averaging 84 rushing yards per game this season, 87.6 per game for his career, and faces a Bills team that has allowed just 106 rushing yards per game, the seventh-fewest in the league, but 4.6 yards per carry which is slightly worse than average.

RAPID FIRE

Travis Kelce -0.5 receiving yards vs. Tyreek Hill

Through three games this season, Kelce is averaging 75.7 receiving yards per game and Hill is averaging 74.0 receiving yards per game. They are both vital components in the Chiefs attack. Given the choice between them, Kelce does appear to be safer, not quite as much boom or bust potential as Hill.

Cooper Kupp +0.5 receptions vs. Stefon Diggs

Both receivers are crucial to their respective teams’ offenses. Kupp started slowly in  Week One but has been building up in the past two weeks, catching nine passes on 10 targets against Buffalo in Week 3. Diggs was a major factor for the Bills in the first two weeks before he was held to four catches on six targets in a tough matchup against the Rams last week. Kupp gets the Giants this week while Diggs faces the Raiders so both receivers ought to have an opportunity to be productive. Getting the extra half reception for Kupp as the underdog is worthwhile.

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
2020 Fantasy Football Advice Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NFL Analysis RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NFL DFS Prop Picks for Thursday (10/1/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

It has been popular to complain about the quality of Thursday night matchups in the NFL and sometimes those complaints are overblown but maybe not this week as the winless Denver Broncos visit the winless New York Jets.

No matter how bad the teams are, they still offer opportunities to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The Broncos are 0-3 but were competitive in two of them before a 28-10 loss to Tampa Bay last week. Denver is also turning to Brett Rypien at quarterback. Is it a good sign when a team is on their third starting quarterback of the season in Week 4?

At full strength, the Jets offense is still subpar but they are missing running back Le’Veon Bell and wide receiver Breshad Perriman. Wide receiver Jamison Crowder has also been out but is questionable for Thursday night. If he plays, Crowder should be a factor because he’s a rare proven commodity for quarterback Sam Darnold.

It doesn’t sound like the sexiest NFL matchup because it isn’t, so get some money down on props and make this one a little more exciting.

Here are some angles to consider for the Thursday night Broncos-Jets matchup on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

DENVER-N.Y. JETS

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Sam Darnold LESS THAN 226.5 PASSING YARDS

The Broncos have surrendered 277.7 passing yards per game through the first three weeks, the fourth-highest total in the league, but they are allowing 6.6 net yards per pass attempt, which is around league average. So they maybe vulnerable defensively, but maybe not quite as bad as the raw passing yardage suggests. Nevertheless, Darnold has thrown for just 187.3 yards per game this season and averaged 232.6 passing yards per game last season. This is a mixed bag, really, but it’s hard to put much faith in the Jets passing game.

Brett Rypien LESS THAN 204.5 PASSING YARDS

Rypien, the 24-year-old nephew of former Washington quarterback Mark Rypien, had a productive career as a four-year starter at Boise St., where he did throw for more than 270 yards per game. The Jets Defense is probably better than the Mountain West defenses that Rypien faced and they have allowed 239 passing yards per game this season, with 6.9 yards per pass attempt. It might seem negative to be expecting less than from both quarterbacks, with entirely reasonable totals, but this does not project to be an offensive showcase.

RAPID FIRE

Jerry Jeudy +0.5 receptions vs. Noah Fant

Both have emerged as favorite targets for Broncos quarterbacks this season. Jeudy, the 15th pick in this year’s draft, has 13 catches on 24 targets and has shown some elusiveness after the catch. Fant, a first-round pick in 2019, has 14 catches on 21 targets, which is close enough to prefer Jeudy in this matchup.

Frank Gore +14.5 rushing yards vs. Melvin Gordon

Gordon has averaged 58 rushing yards per game through the first three weeks, with 14 carries per game, a respectable 4.1 yards per carry. He should get more carries against the Jets, a team allowing 4.3 yards per carry. Gore has run for 48 yards per game on 14 carries per game, just 3.4 yards per attempt. The Broncos Defense is allowing 3.8 yards per carry. So, there is a clear edge for Gordon but if the game is close and the usage is close, it might be difficult for Gordon to exceed Gore’s total by 15 yards.

A couple of wildcards when it comes to usage for these veteran running backs. Phillip Lindsay is still battling turf toe, and may remain out of the lineup but, if he plays, he’ll take touches away from Gordon. For the Jets, rookie La’Miical Perine has 41 yards on 10 carries in the past two weeks as he starts to get involved in the offense, but he has also been limited in practice this week, so maybe Gore will still get the full starter’s workload.

Noah Fant -1.5 fantasy points vs. K.J. Hamler

Hamler is a promising rookie wide receiver who has six catches for 78 yards on 12 targets in the past two weeks (after missing Week One) and, at some point this season, will likely be a more dangerous threat than Fant but, right now, Fant leads Broncos receivers in receptions, yards, and touchdowns.

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
2020 Fantasy Baseball Advice Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks MLB Analysis RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

MLB DFS Prop Picks for Wednesday (9/30/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

The Major League Baseball playoffs are in full swing and with eight games going Wednesday there will be many opportunities to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

With so many games on the schedule, you can pick and choose the numbers that make the most sense to you.

Here are some angles to consider for the full slate of MLB playoff games on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

STAR SHOOTOUT - EARLY GAMES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Jose Berrios MORE THAN 4.5 STRIKEOUTS

After a slow start to the season, the Twins starter rounded into form and he recorded at least five strikeouts in five of his last seven starts in the regular season. The Astros did have the lowest strikeout rate (19.7%) in the league this year but Twins starter Kenta Maeda whiffed five in five innings in Game One.

Jason Heyward MORE THAN 1.5 HITS + WALKS

The veteran Cubs outfielder had a strong season, which included a .392 on-base percentage and .848 OPS. He reached base multiple times in 24 of 50 games in which he appeared. Going against the Brewers, that’s enough opportunity to like Heyward to reach base twice.

Alex Bregman LESS THAN 1.5 HITS + WALKS

It was a down season for Bregman and he managed to reach base multiple times in 17 of 42 games in which he appeared this season.

RAPID FIRE

Ian Happ +0.5 hits + walks vs. Anthony Rizzo

Happ has been surprisingly productive for the Cubs and his .361 on-base percentage is better than Rizzo’s .342 OBP. That’s not a huge difference in one game but it’s also enough reason to like Happ as the underdog.

Kyle Tucker +0.5 runs + RBI vs. Jesus Aguilar

This is a close matcup, without the underdog getting an extra half run + RBI. Tucker is averaging 1.29 runs plus RBIs per game this season while Aguilar is averaging 1.27 per game. Getting that half run as an underdog makes Tucker the easy choice.

 

TORONTO-TAMPA BAY

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Tyler Glasnow MORE THAN 7.5 STRIKEOUTS

Even if the Toronto Blue Jays have a better-than-average strikeout rate, and they do, Glasnow has been a strikeout machine, recording at least eight strikeouts in seven of his past eight starts.

RAPID FIRE

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. -0.5 fantasy points vs. Travis Shaw

Gurriel is one of the most reliable bats in the Blue Jays lineup, had an .882 OPS this season, and had a couple of hits in Game One. Shaw had a .717 OPS this season which is pretty low-end for a major league regular.

 

N.Y. YANKEES-CLEVELAND

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Carlos Carrasco LESS THAN 6.5 STRIKEOUTS

Carrasco is a quality starter and averaged 6.8 strikeouts per start which probably isn’t enough to like him for at least seven against a Yankees team that has a low strikeout rate (21.7%) and already crushed Cleveland ace Shane Bieber in Game One.

Masahiro Tanaka MORE THAN 4.5 STRIKEOUTS

While Tanaka isn’t an ace starter, he has had five consecutive starts with at least five strikeouts (including four straight starts with precisely five) and might as well ride that streak against a suspect Cleveland lineup.

D.J. LeMahieu MORE THAN 1.5 HITS + WALKS

The American League batting champion had a .421 on-base percentage this season so in four plate appearances, the lean would be towards going over 1.5 hits plus walks but if he gets to the plate five times, LeMahieu really should be able to reach base a couple of times.

Jose Ramirez MORE THAN 1.5 TOTAL BASES

The most dangerous bat in the Cleveland lineup, Ramirez had a career-high .607 slugging percentage this season. If he gets at least four at-bats, he should absolutely finish with multiple total bases.

RAPID FIRE

Aaron Judge -0.5 fantasy points vs. Aaron Hicks

Both Yankees outfielders are productive players but Judge has a much higher ceiling. During the season, Judge had an .891 OPS while Hicks had a solid .793 OPS. Judge is also hitting higher in the Yankees lineup (second in the order in Game One against Cleveland) so take the better hitter who has a better chance to get to the plate more often.

 

MILWAUKEE-LOS ANGELES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Walker Buehler LESS THAN 5.5 STRIKEOUTS

As good as Buehler is, he has had some injury issues and hasn’t been going very deep into games, going six innings just once. That makes it a little difficult to bank on at least six strikeouts, even against a Brewers lineup that has a higher strikeout rate (26.6%).

Christian Yelich MORE THAN 1.5 TOTAL BASES

The star Brewers outfielder got off to a terrible start to the season but has gradually been coming around. If the Brewers are going to do anything in the postseason, they will need Yelich to produce as he has in the past.

Corey Seager MORE THAN 1.5 TOTAL BASES

The Dodgers shortstop had an outstanding season, the best of his career, which included a .585 slugging percentage. If he gets at least four at-bats, he should be expected to accrue at least a couple of bases.

Cody Bellinger LESS THAN 1.5 HITS + WALKS

This was a strangely ineffective season for Bellinger, and his .333 on-base percentage doesn’t fit easily with reaching base multiple times in a single game.

 

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
2020 Fantasy Football Advice Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NFL Analysis RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NFL DFS Prop Picks for Monday (9/28/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

An epic Monday night matchup finishes up Week 3 in the NFL and it provides plenty of opportunities to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The Baltimore Ravens host the defending Super Bowl champions, the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Chiefs have mostly looked good early in the 2020 campaign, earning a comfortable win against Houston in Week One then rallying to knock off the Los Angeles Chargers in overtime in Week Two. They have such an explosive attack, as they showed in last year’s playoffs, that they can’t be counted out no matter how far behind on the scoreboard.

While the Baltimore Ravens may not seem as explosive, they have also put up 71 points in two comfortable wins to start the season. The Chiefs may be the defending champs but, coming into the 2020 season, the Ravens are as much a Super Bowl contender as any team.

Here are some angles to consider for the NFL Monday night matchup on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

KANSAS CITY-BALTIMORE

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Patrick Mahomes LESS THAN 295.5 PASSING YARDS

Mahomes is obviously great but this is a big number to cover. In his past 11 games, including the playoffs last season, he has thrown for more than 295 yards just three times. Going against a Ravens Defense that has allowed 210.5 passing yards per game through the first two weeks, it’s tough to just count on Mahomes for nearly 300 yards passing. He could get there but it sure seems more likely that he comes in under.

Lamar Jackson LESS THAN 249.5 PASSING YARDS

Jackson is obviously great and even if this isn’t a big number, it’s pretty big for a typical Jackson performance. In his past 15 games, including playoffs, he has thrown for 250 or more yards twice. Twice. The Chiefs Defense may be a tad vulnerable, allowing 269 passing yards per game but it’s not like Jackson has the premier receiving corps to start airing it out.

Travis Kelce LESS THAN 70.5 RECEIVING YARDS

This number is right in line with Kelce’s recent production. He has 140 receiving yards through the first two games of this season and averaged 69 receiving yards per game last season. But the Ravens pass defense is surely better than average, allowing just 5.2 net yards per attempt (second-best in the league), so it would seem to follow that Kelce should be leaning towards less than his average yardage.

Mark Andrews LESS THAN 60.5 RECEIVING YARDS

As much as Andrews can be a preferred target for Jackson, especially in the red zone, he’s not a high-volume receiver and has gone for more than 60 yards twice in his past 12 games. Kansas City may be a little more vulnerable to a passing attack but they also held Andrews to three catches for 15 yards in Week 3 last season so let’s stay pessimistic, friends.

RAPID FIRE

Travis Kelce -1.5 receptions vs. Tyreek Hill

It’s certainly possible that Hill could have a bigger impact as a downfield threat but he’s not as reliable as Kelce in the passing game. In the first two weeks of the season, Kelce has 15 receptions on 20 targets, averaging 7.5 receptions per game. Hill has 10 catches on 17 targets, averaging 5.0 receptions per game.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire -11.5 rushing yards vs. Mark Ingram

Ingram is something of a commodity with a diminishing value at the moment. He averaged 67.9 rushing yards per game last season but is sitting at just 42 rushing yards per game after the first two games this season. Edwards-Helaire, the Kansas City rookie, rushed for 138 yards in Week One, but just 38 yards in Week Two, as the Chiefs used him more as a receiver than they had the previous week. Given their respective roles right now, though, Edwards-Helaire would seem to have the higher ceiling.

Tyreek Hill -1.5 fantasy points vs. Mark Andrews

While Andrews might be slightly more likely to score a touchdown, he is not targeted as often, nor does he accumulate catches at the same rate as Hill so side with the Chiefs wide receiver in this matchup.

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NHL Analysis NHL DFS Lineup Picks - DraftKings, FanDuel RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NHL DFS Prop Picks for 9/23/20 - Monkey Knife Fight

The puck drops on Game Three of the Stanley Cup Final Wednesday, a great opportunity to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The Tampa Bay Lightning rebounded in Game Two of the Cup Final, jumping out to a 3-0 lead and hanging on for a 3-2 victory to even up the series after the Dallas Stars took the opening game of the series with a 4-1 victory in Game One.

Through the first two games, the Lightning have carried more of the play, with 59% of score-adjusted shot attempts and 55% of expected goals during 5-on-5 play. Can they continue that territorial edge in Game Three?

Here are some prop angles to consider for Wednesday’s Tampa Bay-Dallas matchup on Monkey Knife Fight:

TAMPA BAY-DALLAS

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Anton Khudobin MORE THAN 27.5 SAVES

Throughout the postseason, Khudobin is averaging 30.2 saves per 60 minutes and he has 28 or more saves in five straight games. The Lightning have generated 30.6 shots per 60 minutes in the playoffs, with the opposition recording 27.94 saves per 60 minutes. All of this steers towards the over.

Andrei Vasilevskiy LESS THAN 27.5 SAVES

While Vasilevskiy has played very well in the playoffs, posting a .929 save percentage, he also doesn’t face a lot of shots so Vasilevskiy has averaged 24.5 saves per 60 minutes in the postseason. He has recorded 27 or fewer saves in seven of the past eight games. From the Stars’ perspective, they have generated 29.21 shots per 60 in the playoffs, with opposing goaltenders averaging 26.23 saves per game. Given the typical shot distributions that Khudobin and Vasilevskiy have faced in the playoffs, it’s reasonable to see one recording more than 27 saves and one with fewer than 28 saves.

Nikita Kucherov MORE THAN 0.5 ASSISTS

Tampa Bay’s playmaking winger leads the playoffs with 22 assists and 28 points in 21 games but this isn’t an automatic over because Kucherov has put up those 22 assists in just 11 games, recording zero assists in the other 10 games. This is a slight lean more than an overpowering angle but it’s tough to ignore Kucherov’s overall productivity.

Victor Hedman 3.5 SHOTS ON GOAL + BLOCKS

Tampa Bay’s star defender has been attacking more offensively in the playoffs, averaging 3.19 shots on goal per game in the postseason. Paired with 40 blocked shots (1.90 per game) makes it pretty easy to like Hedman for at least four shots on goal plus blocks in Game Three.

RAPID FIRE

John Klingberg -0.5 fantasy points vs. Miro Heiskanen 

Heiskanen has had a breakout performance in the postseason, producing 23 points in 23 games, generating 49 shots on goal. At the same time, he has slumped recently, with just two assists in the past seven games so that does open the door for Klingberg, who has long been the most productive blueliner for Dallas but started slowly in the postseason. Nevertheless, Klingberg has picked up his production lately, with six assists in the past four games and has 19 points and 39 shots on goal in 22 playoff games.

Brayden Point -0.5 fantasy points vs. Jamie Benn

Point has been a dynamic offensive leader for the Lightning, taking on even more responsibility with Steven Stamkos out of the lineup, and Point has 26 points and 55 shots on goal in 19 playoff games. He has been battling an injury suffered against the Islanders in the Eastern Conference Final so he has been held off the scoresheet in two of the past three games. Benn has turned in a vintage playoff performance, producing 18 points and 62 shots on goal in 23 games though he has been held without a point in each of the first two games of the Stanley Cup Final.

As a reminder, here are point totals when it comes to MKF fantasy hockey points:

OFFENSE:

Goals = 3

Assists = 2

Shots on Goal = 1

Blocked Shots = 1

Shootout Goals = 1

GOALIE:

Goals against = -1 pt

Save= 0.2 pts

 

 

 

More Weekly DFS Analysis

Categories
Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NBA Analysis NBA Fantasy Basketball Advice RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NFL DFS Prop Picks for Monday (9/21/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

The second Monday of the NFL season brings a compelling matchup between the New Orleans Saints and the Las Vegas Raiders. As always, the game presents many opportunities to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The Saints are coming off a 34-23 win against Tampa Bay in Week One, taking advantage of three Buccaneers turnovers to cruise to a comfortable victory. The Saints entered the season as one of the expected top teams in the NFC and they did nothing to alter that opinion.

In a tighter contest that involved seven lead changes, the Raiders ultimately prevailed with a 34-30 victory at Carolina. Expectations weren’t quite as high for Las Vegas this season but they were expected to be a competitive team.

That brings us to this Monday night game in which the Saints are favored but the Raiders may prove to be lively home underdogs in their first home game at Allegiant Stadium.

Here are some prop angles to consider for Monday’s New Orleans-Las Vegas NFL matchup on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

NEW ORLEANS-LAS VEGAS

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Drew Brees MORE THAN 268.5 PASSING YARDS

Although Brees was limited to just 160 yards passing in Week One, he did average more than 270 yards passing per game last season and that includes a game which he left with injury after throwing five passes. The Raiders allowed nearly 257 passing yards per game, the eighth-highest average in the league last season and surrendered 269 passing yards to Carolina’s Teddy Bridgewater in Week One.

The real question may be whether or not the Saints can find a way to replace the production of star wide receiver Michael Thomas, who will miss Monday night’s game due to a high ankle sprain.

Derek Carr LESS THAN 260.5 PASSING YARDS

The Raiders quarterback threw for 239 yards at Carolina in Week One and has averaged 246.8 passing yards per game in the past three seasons. New Orleans allowed 241.8 passing yards per game last season, which was a little higher than league average, but just 5.9 net yards per attempt, which was clearly better than average – it indicates a team that had strong pass defense but allowed more yardage because they were leading a lot of games so their opponents may have been more inclined to pass more frequently in order to catch up.

Josh Jacobs MORE THAN 66.5 RUSHING YARDS

In his impressive 2019 rookie season, Jacobs churned out 88.5 rushing yards per game and then he ran for 93 yards (and three touchdowns) in Week One at Carolina. While the Saints had a solid run defense last season – 91.8 rushing yards against per game was the fourth-lowest mark in the league – and allowed 86 yards, including 66 yards on 17 carries to Ronald Jones II, to Tampa Bay in Week One. This suggests that if Jacobs is the main ball carrier for the Raiders, and he is, then he will have a pretty decent shot at rushing for at least 67 yards.

Jared Cook MORE THAN 55.5 RECEIVING YARDS

The Saints tight end averaged 50.4 receiving yards per game last season and had five catches for 80 yards at Carolina in Week One. With Thomas injured, Cook should be a more frequent target for Brees and while he’s not as likely to burst over 100 yards, it’s reasonable to expect Cook to put up more than 55.

Alvin Kamara LESS THAN 22.5 FANTASY POINTS

One of the most talented playmakers in the league, Kamara was also held to 16 yards on 12 carries against Tampa Bay in Week One. He did, however, finish with 67 yards and two touchdowns because he added five catches for 51 yards. His use as a pass receiver does give him a leg up in the PPR scoring used by Monkey Knife Fight. At the same time, despite those two touchdowns in Week One, Kamara is at least somewhat at risk of losing some rushing touchdown opportunities to Latavius Murray and finding the end zone makes it much easier to get to 23 or more fantasy points. Kamara could get there but it won’t be easy so the under appears safer.

RAPID FIRE

Josh Jacobs -13.5 rushing yards vs. Alvin Kamara

Kamara’s value as a pass catcher also tends to obscure the fact that he doesn’t tend to put up huge rushing totals. Last season, he averaged 56.9 rushing yards per game, compared to Jacobs putting up 88.5 rushing yards per game. That’s enough of a spread to take Jacobs and hope that the Raiders can at least keep it close so that they get to run the ball.

Darren Waller -0.5 receptions vs. Emmanuel Sanders

Waller, the Raiders tight end, busted out last season to catch 90 passes, 5.6 per game, and opened the 2020 season with six catches for 45 yards on eight targets. Sanders had just three catches for 15 yards against Tampa Bay and caught more than five passes just three times last season while playing with Denver and San Francisco. Certainly, there is a bigger role for Sanders to play in the New Orleans offense with Michael Thomas out of the lineup but it’s pretty easy to envision Waller with half a dozen (or more) catches and still a little more difficult to see that for Sanders.

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NBA Analysis NBA Fantasy Basketball Advice RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NFL DFS Prop Picks for Sunday (9/20/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

Heading into Week Two of the National Football League season there are many opportunities to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

There is naturally a tendency to react, and maybe overreact, to the information coming out of Week One. It’s one thing if the information is injury related. That affects a player’s role and production. But usage is a tricky bit of information to navigate. Score effects have a lot to say about whether team is more likely to run or throw the ball so applying that to what will happen in Week Two may not connect the dots.

At the same time, there is new information available. Players on new teams or with new coaches can’t just be assumed to be the same as they were a year ago, so there is a balancing act to consider when deciding just how much of Week One should go into your evaluations for Week Two.

Here are some Star Shootout prop angles to consider for Sunday’s full NFL slate on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

STAR SHOOTOUT - EARLY GAMES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Matt Ryan MORE THAN 304.5 PASSING YARDS

Last season, Ryan threw for 297.7 yards per game and then he dropped 450 yards on Seattle in Week One, with his top three receivers – Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley, and Russell Gage – each getting targeted for a dozen passes each and all three finished with more than 100 receiving yards. The Cowboys gave up 275 passing yards to Jared Goff and the Rams in Week One, which isn’t the most encouraging sign and this game could easily turn into a track meet.

Dak Prescott MORE THAN 299.5 PASSING YARDS

In Week One at Atlanta, Seattle’s Russell Wilson completed 31 of 35 passes for 322 yards and four touchdowns. It was like the Falcons were barely providing any resistance at all. Although Prescott averaged 306.4 passing yards per game last season, he managed a more reasonable 266 at the Rams in Week One (though he could have gone over 300 if not for a questionable offensive pass interference call against Michael Gallup in the last minute). But, given the porous nature of Atlanta’s defense this could be a game in which Prescott gets to explore the space with his top three wide receivers: Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, and rookie CeeDee Lamb.

Tom Brady LESS THAN 285.5 PASSING YARDS

The Bucs will look to bounce back against Carolina in Week Two, after a disappointing opener at New Orleans, and Brady doesn’t have an easy path. Star wide receiver Chris Godwin remains in concussion protocol and if he can’t play, that puts a lot of pressure on top wide receivers Mike Evans and Scott Miller with tight ends Rob Gronkowski and O.J. Howard. Like, there are still options there, but the Bucs offense isn’t as dangerous without Godwin. Although the Panthers allowed just 239 passing yards to Derek Carr in Week One, they allowed 8.0 net yards per pass attempt, the fourth-highest mark in the league.

Derrick Henry MORE THAN 96.5 RUSHING YARDS

This is a big number to cover. While Henry rushed for 116 yards Monday night against Denver, he also needed 31 carries to get there. The Titans will likely keep feeding Henry this week, especially with top wideout A.J. Brown injured. In Week One, against Indianapolis, the Jaguars allowed 88 rushing yards on 22 carries but they were among the worst against the run in 2019, surrendering 5.1 yards per carry, the second-highest average in the league.

Ezekiel Elliott LESS THAN 89.5 RUSHING YARDS

Elliott rushed for 96 yards in Dallas’ opening loss to the Rams and averaged 84.5 rushing yards per game last season so 90ish yards seems to be in the right neighborhood. The Falcons’ run defense wasn’t bad last season, allowing 110.9 rushing yards per game and 4.2 yards per carry, both of which were a little better than average, and as easily as the Seahawks moved the ball against Atlanta, they gained just 84 yards on the ground (on 20 carries).

RAPID FIRE

Julio Jones -3.5 receiving yards vs. Davante Adams

Adams was a bigger underdog in this head-to-head matchup last week (Jones was favored by 9.5 yards) and then both went off Sunday, with Julio accumulating 157 yards and Davante putting up 156. With the Falcons facing the Cowboys and the Packers taking on the Lions, it looks like another week in which it is reasonable to take underdog Adams plus the yardage.

STAR SHOOTOUT - LATE GAMES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Patrick Mahomes LESS THAN 305.5 PASSING YARDS

The Kansas City quarterback was great in the opener against Houston, wasn’t he? He was, and passed for a total of 211 yards. He averaged 287.9 passing yards per game last season and goes against a Chargers team that allowed a paltry 200.3 passing yards per game last season. The Chiefs might win comfortably but they also have the ground game to finish a game when they have the lead rather than continuing to throw the ball.

Kyler Murray LESS THAN 254.5 PASSING YARDS

This is a pretty big number attached to Murray, who isn’t afraid to tuck that ball and run when the opportunity presents itself (he rushed a career-high 13 times for 91 yards in last week’s win at San Francisco). He faces a Washington Football Team that allowed 270 passing yards to Philadelphia quarterback Carson Wentz in Week One so there is some vulnerability there but Washington’s pass defense was pretty average, in terms of yards allowed per game and per attempt, last season.

Lamar Jackson MORE THAN 25.5 FANTASY POINTS

Coming off an MVP campaign, Jackson looked even better in Week One, completing 80% of his passes on the way to throwing for 275 yards and three touchdowns while adding another 45 yards on the ground. Some of that surely falls on a questionable Cleveland defense but Jackson looks like he is going to be a handful for Houston this week, too. The Texans’ defense was below average last season and looked helpless at times against Kansas City in Week One so best of luck containing Jackson.

Deshaun Watson LESS THAN 19.5 FANTASY POINTS

Although Watson finished with respectable numbers in Week One, he padded those stats in what was effectively garbage time, after Kansas City had jumped out to a comfortable lead. That could very well happen again this week, taking on Baltimore, but if the expectation is that the team is overmatched, it’s tough to bank on garbage time production to get the job done.

RAPID FIRE

DeAndre Hopkins -7.5 receiving yards vs. Travis Kelce

In Week One, Kelce caught all six passes sent his way for a modest 50 yards. The Chiefs have a lot of weapons. The Cardinals don’t have quite as many and leaned much more heavily on Hopkins, who had a career-high 14 catches, on 16 targets, for 151 yards at San Francisco. Just based on expected usage right now, Hopkins is the choice.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire -3.5 rushing yards vs. Kenyan Drake

Kansas City’s rookie, Edwards-Helaire, ran for 138 yards on 25 carries in his NFL debut and looks for an encore against the Chargers, a team that was average against the run last season, in Week Two. Drake rushed 16 times for 60 yards against San Francisco but does get a better matchup this week, facing a Washington team that was one of the league’s worst against the run in 2019.

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NBA Analysis NBA Fantasy Basketball Advice RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NBA DFS Prop Picks for Tuesday (9/15/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

The NBA Playoffs are rocking in the Orlando bubble, with the Eastern Conference Final starting and a Game 7 in the Western Conference both set for Tuesday.

In the Eastern Conference, the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics tip off their series, which is something of a surprise after they eliminated the top two seeds in the East, the Milwaukee Bucks and Toronto Raptors, respectively.

In the West, the Denver Nuggets have fought back from a 3-1 deficit to force a Game Seven with the Los Angeles Clippers. In Games 5 and 6, the Nuggets overcame double-digit deficits in the second half against a favored Clippers team. Now, it all comes down to one game for the chance to go on to play the Los Angeles Lakers in the Western Conference Final.

Here are some prop angles to consider Tuesday on the Monkey Knife Fight NBA schedule:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

MIAMI-BOSTON

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Jayson Tatum MORE THAN 26.5 POINTS

Boston’s rising star ought to find a match-up against Miami more favorable than facing a tenacious Raptors defense. Tatum has scored at least 27 points in six of 11 playoff games, so it’s not a lopsided line in general but if the Raptors had the best defensive team in the league and Tatum could still score against them, he should be able to take it to the Heat.

Jimmy Butler LESS THAN 21.5 POINTS

As crucial as Butler is to the Heat’s chances, he isn’t always their offensive focus. He has been held to 18 or fewer points in four of the past six games and he took just six shots from the field in Game Five against Milwaukee. Maybe he will take a bigger scoring role against the Celtics but it’s difficult to assume that he will do it right from the jump.

Kemba Walker MORE THAN 5.5 ASSISTS

Although Walker has had ups and downs in the bubble, with some concern about the health of his knee and he has recorded seven or more assists in four of 11 playoff games, but against the Heat he may have more opportunities offensively than he did against Toronto.

Duncan Robinson LESS THAN 2.5 THREE-POINTERS

During the regular season, Robinson was dropping 3.7 threes per game. He’s a real threat but it hasn’t always been easy for him to get loose in the playoffs. Robinson has gone off for seven threes twice in the postseason and then a couple of games in which he had four but that’s it. So in four of nine playoff games, he has finished with more than three three-pointers.

RAPID FIRE

Bam Adebayo -3.5 rebounds vs. Daniel Theis

In the playoffs, Adebayo has grabbed 11.7 rebounds per game, and he’s a constant in the Miami lineup. Theis is averaging 6.6 rebounds per game in the postseason and played a bigger role against Toronto than he did against Philadelphia. Will he have the agility to keep up with Adebayo and, if he doesn’t, can the Celtics play Theis big minutes?

DENVER-L.A. CLIPPERS

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Kawhi Leonard LESS THAN 31.5 POINTS

As much as Kawhi is still the focus of the Clippers team, and he has scored 32 or more points in six of 12 playoff games, but only once in six games against Denver in this series. Could he rise up in Game 7? Of course. But that’s not an easy number to cover.

Nikola Jokic MORE THAN 25.5 POINTS

As the Nuggets have surprisingly pushed the Clippers, their star center has become decidedly more aggressive offensively. During the season, Jokic averaged 14.7 field goal attempts per game. Against the Clips, it’s 19.5 per game. So, with an extra five shots per game, Jokic can score 26 or more, which he has in four of six games against Los Angeles.

Michael Porter Jr. LESS THAN 11.5 POINTS

A breakthrough performer for the Nuggets in the Orlando bubble, Porter Jr. has found it more difficult to get loose in this series, where he has scored a dozen points or more in three of six games. He has a total of 18 field goal attempts in the past three games and if he’s not getting shots, it’s hard to bank on him scoring at least 12 points in Game 7.

RAPID FIRE

Michael Porter Jr. +2.5 rebounds vs. Ivica Zubac

Zubac has found his niche in this series, where his size is needed to combat Jokic, and he has put up 8.2 rebounds per game in the series. Porter Jr. has averaged 6.8 rebounds per game against the Clippers, so if he’s getting an extra 2.5 rebounds in the series-deciding game, that makes Porter appealing.

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
2020 Fantasy Football Advice Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NFL Analysis RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NFL DFS Prop Picks for Monday (9/14/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

As has become tradition in the National Football League, the first Monday night of the season brings about a double-header, which means twice as many chances to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The opening Sunday had strange sightings, like Tom Brady in Tampa Bay, Cam Newton in New England, and Mitch Trubisky leading fourth-quarter comeback for the Bears. But, after no preseason games, it was still comforting to have a full Sunday schedule.

The beats were the same – the urgency leading up to the early games, waiting for kickoff. Then the scores start to roll in and the tickers scrolls across the bottom of your television, telling you which players are producing. Even without crowds, it mostly felt like a normal Sunday.

It all continues Monday night, so here are some prop angles to consider on the Monkey Knife Fight NFL schedule:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

PITTSBURGH-N.Y. GIANTS

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Ben Roethlisberger MORE THAN 279.5 PASSING YARDS

Last season was pretty much a write-off for Big Ben, who was injured in Week Two, but in 2018 he led one of the most prolific passing attacks in the league, throwing for 5,129 yards and surpassing 280 yards in 11 of 16 starts. He goes against a Giants team that allowed the fifth-most passing yards last season (264.1 yards per game) so even if this is a pretty big number, it’s achievable.

Daniel Jones LESS THAN 239.5 PASSING YARDS

After taking over as the Giants’ starter last season, Jones averaged 250.8 passing yards per game and he should have a healthier receiving corps to start the 2020 season compared to last season, when Golden Tate, Sterling Shepard, and Evan Engram each missed at least five games. Pittsburgh’s pass defense was excellent last season, allowing 194.6 yards per game, so that does present a challenge for Jones. There is also the matter of the Giants having a premier running back, so they might be inclined to throw quite as often.

Saquon Barkley LESS THAN 85.5 RUSHING YARDS

Injuries slowed Barkley somewhat in his sophomore season and he still rushed for an average of 77.2 yards per game in 2019. The Steelers were relatively successful against the run last season, allowing 3.8 yards per carry, the third-lowest average in the league, so the yards won’t come easily for Saquon in this one.

James Conner MORE THAN 16.5 FANTASY POINTS

Injuries hampered Conner in 2019 as he put up 715 yards and seven touchdowns in 10 games. Based on those numbers, expectations should be relatively low. However, the Steelers will almost surely be better offensively with Roethlisberger back under center and, even if the Giants were better than average against the run last season, Conner is also a capable receiver out of the backfield so he has a few ways to make it to at least 17 fantasy points.

RAPID FIRE

JuJu Smith-Schuster -16.5 receiving yards vs. Diontae Johnson

Johnson was impressive as a rookie. Though he averaged a modest 42.5 receiving yards per game, he flashed brilliance and was particularly effective in the final quarter of the season. Smith-Schuster was something of a disappointment in 2019 but getting Roethlisberger back in the lineup ought to improve his chances to produce. The difference for this matchup among Steelers teammates in Week One, though, could be that Johnson is battling a foot injury that leaves his status as questionable for Monday, so even if he plays, he probably won’t be at 100%, which is all the more reason to prefer Smith-Schuster as the favorite.

Evan Engram +0.5 receptions vs. Sterling Shepard

Engram missed half of last season and averaged 5.5 receptions per game in the games in which he dressed. Shepard missed six games and averaged 5.7 receptions per game. That’s close enough to like Engram as the underdog.

TENNESSEE-DENVER

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Ryan Tannehill MORE THAN 229.5 PASSING YARDS

Tannehill was a revelation for the Titans last season and while he averaged 228.5 passing yards per game in 2019, he averaged 259.8 passing yards per game in his 10 starts. Denver’s pass defense was above average (225.6 yards per game, 6.3 net yards per attempt) last season but they’re also going without pass rusher Von Miller who suffered an ankle injury late in training camp, so this seems like a reasonable matchup for Tannehill’s passing production.

Drew Lock LESS THAN 226.5 PASSING YARDS

While there is some optimism about Lock’s future as the Broncos’ starting quarterback, he averaged a rather pedestrian 204 passing yards per game in his five starts as a rookie last season. Tennessee’s pass defense was a little below average (255.0 yards per game, 6.4 net yards per attempt) but not bad, and the Broncos may be missing a couple of wide receivers – Courtland Sutton and rookie K.J. Hamler – making it even more difficult for Lock to throw down the field.

Derrick Henry MORE THAN 99.5 RUSHING YARDS

The Titans found the mix that worked for them in the second half of last season and Henry rushed for more than 100 yards in five of the last six regular-season games and then in two of three playoff contests. Naturally, he rushed for 100 yards or more in the wins and missed that threshold in losses. Denver’s run defense was about average last season, allowing 4.2 yards per carry, so the question is whether the Titans, favored by three, are going to be on the winning side and running out the clock.

Melvin Gordon LESS THAN 55.5 RUSHING YARDS

There are two main issues at play when trying to figure out if Denver’s new running back is going to get loose for at least 56 rushing yards against Tennessee. He averaged 51.0 rushing yards per game last season and goes against a Titans defense that was better-than-average (104.5 yards per game, 4.0 yards per carry) defensively against the run. So that’s one hurdle to overcome. The other is that Gordon is facing competition on his own roster, as Phillip Lindsay is going to share time with Gordon in the Broncos’ backfield.

RAPID FIRE

Jerry Jeudy +0.5 receptions vs. A.J. Brown

This is all about opportunity. Brown is the more accomplished pro, coming off a rookie season in which he caught 52 passes for 1051 yards. Jeudy was the 15 pick in the 2020 Draft and, suddenly, looks like he is going to be Denver’s primary option in the passing game with Courtland Sutton (sprained shoulder) and K.J. Hamler (hamstring) questionable at best for Monday’s game.

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NBA Analysis NBA Fantasy Basketball Advice RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NFL DFS Prop Picks for Sunday (9/13/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

The first Sunday of the NFL season brings 14 games, offering great options to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

With so many games on the schedule, you can get as deep as you like when seeking value plays but if you want to focus on the biggest names in the biggest games, check out the Star Shootout. Still great options and plenty of potential value on the board.

Here are some Star Shootout prop angles to consider for Sunday’s Monkey Knife Fight NFL schedule:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

STAR SHOOTOUT - EARLY GAMES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Matthew Stafford LESS THAN 276.5 PASSING YARDS

In eight games last season, before he needed season-ending back surgery, Stafford averaged 312.5 passing yards per game, his highest per-game average since 2011, when he was throwing to Calvin Johnson, Nate Burleson, Brandon Pettigrew, and Titus Young. It looks like his current No. 1 receiver, Kenny Golladay, is unlikely to play this week and the Chicago Bears, for all their flaws, were allowing 222.1 passing yards per game, and 5.9 net yards per attempt, both ranking in the Top 10 defensively.

Matt Ryan LESS THAN 290.5 PASSING YARDS

This is a big number but maybe not unrealistic, given that Ryan has averaged 302.5 passing yards per game over the past two seasons. He has a dangerous group of receivers, headed by Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley, and the Falcons will probably need to throw the ball to have some success against Seattle. The Seahawks were vulnerable against the pass last season, allowing 263.9 passing yards per game last season, the sixth-highest average in the league. The Seahawks did try to address their secondary, though, making trades for cornerback Quinton Dunbar and safety Jamal Adams, so maybe it’s not going to be such easy pickings for the Falcons.

Aaron Rodgers LESS THAN 254.5 PASSING YARDS

As one might expect of a 36-year-old quarterback, Rodgers isn’t what he was during his peak seasons and last season he averaged 250.1 passing yards per game. The Packers didn’t tangibly improve their receiving corps in the offseason either. Minnesota allowed 236.6 passing yards per game last season and Rodgers has thrown for 255 yards or more once in his past five games, though one of those games was cut short by injury.

Josh Jacobs MORE THAN 86.5 RUSHING YARDS

As a rookie for the Raiders last season, Jacobs averaged 88.5 rushing yards per game, and he goes up against a Panthers team that allowed a league-high 5.2 yards per carry last season. Carolina did use the sixth overall pick on defensive tackle Derrick Brown, which should help, but they also lost star linebacker Luke Kuechly to retirement, so there may still be some holes for Jacobs to exploit.

RAPID FIRE

Davante Adams +9.5 receiving yards vs. Julio Jones

Based on their per-game averages from last season, this line is in the right ballpark. Jones averaged 92.9 receiving yards per game in 2019 and Adams put up 83.1 yards per game. Here’s my thinking, though: Jones is more apt to lose targets to Calvin Ridley (among others) in the Falcons offense and, given the options available, it’s hard to imagine Adams getting fewer looks from Rodgers so maybe consider the lively underdog in this game.

RECEPTION COLLECTION

Davante Adams, Julio Jones, and Zach Ertz more than 19.5 RECEPTIONS

Looking for three receivers in the early games that could combine for 20 catches, Adams and Jones are both likely to get a lot of looks as their teams’ top wide receivers with track records as prolific pass catchers. Ertz is a little more interesting because of all the injuries to Philadelphia’s receiving corps, that if there is going to be a reliable option in that Eagles passing game, it might as well be the tight end Ertz, who has 204 catches in the past two seasons.

STAR SHOOTOUT - LATE GAMES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Tom Brady LESS THAN 287.5 PASSING YARDS

Certainly there is going to be incentive for Brady to air it out in his first game for Tampa Bay and they might need to throw a lot to keep pace with the Saints. However, Brady has averaged less than 287 passing yards per game for three years running and faces the prospect of going without wide receiver Mike Evans, who is questionable for Week One.

Austin Ekeler MORE THAN 19.5 FANTASY POINTS

Ekeler had six games last season in which he put up at least 100 yards from scrimmage, and he was still mostly a backup – he had more than a dozen carries in a game just twice – so what can he do now as the primary option in the San Diego backfield? It’s time for the Bengals to find out.

Alvin Kamara LESS THAN 20.5 FANTASY POINTS

The Saints star took a step back last season, when he was playing hurt for part of the year, but he scored just six touchdowns and if he can’t be counted on for touchdowns (he scored 31 in his first two seasons) it gets a lot harder to pile up 21 fantasy points, even for a lead back who is also a consistent receiving threat. How consistent? He has finished each of his first three NFL seasons with exactly 81 catches.

Chris Godwin MORE THAN 79.5 RECEIVING YARDS

While it’s fair to be skeptical about Brady’s debut for the Bucs, that doesn’t mean that Godwin can’t go for significant yardage. He averaged 95.2 receiving yards per game last season and if Evans really can’t go, Godwin should be the clear first option for Brady.

RAPID FIRE

Michael Thomas -1.5 receptions vs. George Kittle

Thomas has more receptions than anyone in the past two seasons, hauling in 274 passes, more than 8.5 per game. Kittle is the prototype for the modern tight end and should be a primary target for the 49ers, especially considering injuries to their receiving corps, but Kittle is averaging 5.7 receptions per game in the past two seasons, which isn’t close enough to like him as the underdog here.

Kenyan Drake +10.5 rushing yards vs. Joe Mixon

Mixon averaged 71.1 rushing yards per game last season, a solid number, but maybe not enough to prefer him by 11 yards over Drake. Although Drake averaged 58.4 rushing yards per game last season, he put up 80.4 rushing yards per game in eight games for Arizona after he was acquired from Miami. That’ enough to like Drake’s chances as the underdog.

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NBA Analysis NBA Fantasy Basketball Advice RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NFL DFS Prop Picks for Thursday (9/10/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

Football is back and the Thursday night opener between the Houston Texans and Kansas City Chiefs will offer tons of chances to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The Kansas City Chiefs looked like they were on the ropes during their run to the Super Bowl, especially when they fell behind the Houston Texans 24-0 early in the second quarter of the Divisional Round playoff game. Then the Chiefs scored 41 straight points and cruised to a 51-31 victory. Imagine, a lopsided victory when trailing by 24 points early! That explosive offense is what makes the Chiefs one of the favorites heading into the 2020 season.

Nevertheless, the Texans have a shot at revenge. They are nine-point underdogs so the oddsmakers don’t necessarily think that this is going to be that close, or they at least expect the public sentiment to be riding with the defending Super Bowl champions. Winning the 2020 season opener will hardly equal the value of getting eliminated in the playoffs but teams looking for revenge need to take the shots when they’re available.

Here are some prop angles to consider for Thursday’s Monkey Knife Fight NFL schedule:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

HOUSTON-KANSAS CITY

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Patrick Mahomes LESS THAN 339.5 PASSING YARDS

The Chiefs’ surge to the Super Bowl last season seems to have overshadowed the fact that Kansas City was not as prolific in the passing game in 2019. Mahomes averaged 287.9 passing yards per game last season, with a little boost to 300.3 passing yards per game in the playoffs, so counting on 340-plus is asking a lot. Houston allowed the most passing yards per game in the AFC last season (267.3) but that’s still a long way from 340.

Deshaun Watson LESS THAN 285.5 PASSING YARDS

Last season, Watson averaged 256.8 passing yards per game, down a little bit from the season before, and the Texans traded away his No. 1 wide receiver, sending DeAndre Hopkins to Arizona. They did bring in Brandin Cooks and Randall Cobb, and have deep threat Will Fuller, so Watson has some weapons but he also threw for 286 or more yards five times in 15 games last season.

Travis Kelce LESS THAN 6.5 RECEPTIONS

A premier receiving tight end who has 200 receptions in the past two seasons, Kelce had seven or more catches nine times in 16 games last season. He also seems to be battling through a knee injury so maybe this isn’t the week to bank on a big performance.

Will Fuller LESS THAN 72.5 RECEIVING YARDS

Fuller is a fascinating case because he’s a true deep threat who can put up monster numbers but he’s always injured and those few games when he erupts stand out relative to all the other games. For example, in 11 games last season, he surpassed 73 yards twice. He had 140 yards and 217 yards in those two big games but there are so many games in which Fuller’s production is mediocre.

Tyreek Hill LESS THAN 79.5 RECEIVING YARDS

Last season, the Chiefs’ deep threat had 80 or more yards three times in a dozen games. He’s not as extreme as Fuller, and has a higher floor, but Hill is in that group of players who can put up enormous yardage…or not. I’m apparently a skeptic for the offenses in the opening game.

David Johnson LESS THAN 59.5 RUSHING YARDS

2019 was a disaster for Johnson, as he rushed for 345 yards, but he was clearly injured for a good portion of the season so it’s not unreasonable to believe that  a healthy Johnson could give the Texans a sound rushing attack. The thing with Johnson, though, is that the receiving game is a significant part of why he is a threat.

RAPID FIRE

Clyde Edwards-Helaire +0.5 rushing yards vs. David Johnson

Generally, I have some optimism about Johnson’s chances for having a successful season in Houston but, because some of that success will be tied to receiving yards and because the Texans are underdogs in Week One, it’s easier to go with Chiefs rookie Clyde Edwards-Helaire in this matchup. Edwards-Helaire is a darling of season-long fantasy drafters, maybe a bit too much, but he’s the lead runner on a powerhouse offense and the context can’t be ignored.

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NBA Analysis NBA Fantasy Basketball Advice RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NBA DFS Prop Picks for Tuesday (9/8/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

There are two games in the NBA Playoffs Tuesday, both offering great opportunities to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The Miami Heat have the Milwaukee Bucks on the ropes. They didn’t knock them out in Game Four, the Bucks just barely getting off the mat, but the Bucks are not only facing a 3-1 deficit in the series but it looks like Giannis Antetokounmpo may not be able to play in Game Five because of an ankle injury. If he does play, he will surely be compromised in some fashion. Will that be enough for the Heat to put the hammer down and finish off the Bucks?

In the Western Conference, the Houston Rockets don’t make it easy on the Los Angeles Lakers and the teams split the first two games of their series. Houston relies on quickness and threes – many, many threes – to mix things up and give them a chance against a Lakers team that is constructed for the bully ball that can take place in the postseason. Which style takes Game Three?

Here are some prop angles to consider for Tuesday’s Monkey Knife Fight NBA schedule:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

MIAMI-MILWAUKEE

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Khris Middleton MORE THAN 24.5 POINTS

Under normal circumstances there is no way that Middleton should be expected to score 25 points but he did average a career-high 20.9 per game during the regular season, and dropped 36 on the Heat when Giannis was knocked out of Game Four. Under those circumstances, with no Giannis, maybe 25 from Middleton isn’t such an unreasonable ask.

Jimmy Butler MORE THAN 21.5 POINTS

Butler doesn’t take a ton of shots, even in the games when he goes off, so his playoff scoring numbers have quite a bit of variance. In eight playoff games, he has put up 27 or more in four of them. He has 18 or fewer points in the other four. With the Bucks’ season on the line, they need to stop Butler; that doesn’t mean that they will.

Bam Adebayo MORE THAN 11.5 REBOUNDS

Miami’s high-energy big man averaged double digit rebounds during the regular season and has grabbed 12.4 rebounds per game in the playoffs, including 13.3 per game in the series against the Bucks, which should be made even easier if Giannis isn’t able to play.

Duncan Robinson MORE THAN 3.5 THREE-POINTERS

Miami’s sharp-shooter has averaged three three-pointers per game in the playoffs, though he does have at least four triples in four of eight postseason games.

RAPID FIRE

Eric Bledsoe -0.5 assists vs. Bam Adebayo

This is a fair line, since Bledsoe has averaged 5.5 assists per game in the playoffs, compared to Adebayo’s 5.0, but this is a game that cries out for Bledsoe to create offense for the Bucks. They need him to penetrate and distribute, enough to like Bledsoe as the favorite in this matchup.

L.A. LAKERS-HOUSTON

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

James Harden MORE THAN 31.5 POINTS

The Beard is averaging 31.5 points per game in the first two games against the Lakers, 30.1 overall in the playoffs. He scored 27 in Game Two but took just a dozen shots from the field. He will shoot more in Game Three.

Anthony Davis MORE THAN 29.5 POINTS

The Rockets are going with an undersized lineup against Davis who has responded with 59 points in the first two games of the series. The question is: does Davis take 16 shots like he did in Game One, or does he take 24 shots, like he did in Game Two? Given the results, probably more like Game Two.

Eric Gordon MORE THAN 17.5 POINTS

Following a brutal regular season, the Rockets guard has rounded into form in the playoffs, scoring 18 or more points in six of the past seven games.

Russell Westbrook MORE THAN 7.5 REBOUNDS

While Westbrook’s shooting has been abysmal – he’s shooting 39.1% from the field and 16.7% on threes in the playoffs – he can still crash the boards like few guards in the game and he has averaged 8.2 rebounds per game in the playoffs.

RAPID FIRE

Rajon Rondo +3.5 assists vs. LeBron James

So much of the Lakers offense runs through LeBron and he has averaged 9.6 assists per game in the postseason. He’s durable, consistent, and reliable. Rondo had not played in the playoffs until the Houston series but had nine assists in Game Two. If he is going to get regular minutes, and it appears that he will, Rondo plus 3.5 assists sounds pretty good.

 

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NBA Analysis NBA Fantasy Basketball Advice RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NBA DFS Prop Picks for Tuesday (9/1/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

The NBA brings us a pair of games on Tuesday, both compelling matchups that offer plenty of chances to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The defending-champion Toronto Raptors got blitzed by the Boston Celtics in Game One, falling behind early and they couldn’t recover. If the Raptors are going to make a series of it, they need to show up in Game Two.

The marquee game of the night has Donovan Mitchell taking on Jamal Murray. Well, technically, it’s the Utah Jazz and Denver Nuggets squaring off in Game Seven of what has been an entertaining series, one highlighted by the two scoring guards absolutely going off. Can they both stay hot under the pressure of Game Seven?

Here are some prop angles to consider for Tuesday’s Monkey Knife Fight NBA schedule:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

BOSTON-TORONTO

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Jayson Tatum MORE THAN 25.5 POINTS

In Game One, the Raptors pretty much held Tatum in check, holding him to 21 points, which would have seemed like a win. However, the Celtics were in control for virtually the entire game and Tatum only went to the free-throw line once. He does tend to fluctuate in terms of aggressiveness and how often he will get to the line but if Tatum shoots 50% from the field like he did in Game One, he will probably get to the line more in Game Two, increasing his chances of scoring 26 or more.

Pascal Siakam LESS THAN 21.5 POINTS

One of the main reasons to believe that the Raptors had a legitimate shot to defend their title was the emergence of Siakam this season, becoming a front-line scorer who averaged 22.9 points per game. Unfortunately, he finished up the regular season shooting 39.4% in the last eight games, leading into the postseason where he has shot 39.8% from the field in five games. If Siakam isn’t making shots, it’s going to be really tough for the Raptors to score enough and, right now, there isn’t much reason to believe that Siakam is going to start knocking them down.

Kemba Walker LESS THAN 21.5 POINTS

Boston’s point guard averaged just 14.2 points per game in six bubble games at the end of the regular season but picked up his play against Philadelphia in Round One, putting up 24.3 points per game in the four-game sweep. Walker was held to 18 points in Game One against Toronto and it may not be reasonable to expect him to go off against either Kyle Lowry or Fred Vanvleet – neither is exceptionally fast for the position but both are physically strong and quality defenders.

RAPID FIRE

Fred VanVleet +0.5 assists vs. Kyle Lowry

Speaking of that Raptors point guard duo, VanVleet has been doing more of the distributing in the playoffs, averaging 7.8 assists per game. Lowry, battling through an ankle injury, did register eight assists in Game One against Boston, a total he has surpassed just once in 11 games in the Orlando bubble.

UTAH-DENVER

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Donovan Mitchell LESS THAN 35.5 POINTS

Let’s get this out of the way first: this is a ridiculous number, requiring an NBA player to score at least 36 points just to cash in. But (and you knew there was a ‘but’), Mitchell is averaging 42 points per game in the first six games against Denver. He has scored at least 36 in three of those games, including 57 in Game One of the series, so it’s legitimately a close call, and the Jazz will lean on him in Game Seven, but that’s still a lot of points.

Jamal Murray MORE THAN 33.5 POINTS

The Pride of Kitchener, Ontario, Canada, Murray has gone on hot streaks, including in last year’s playoffs, but his current run is something different. In the past three games, Murray has dropped 142 points on the Jazz (47.3 per game), shooting 64.2% from the field and 62.9% on threes. Utterly ridiculous. Even if it’s reasonable to expect those numbers to tail off, he still might be able to find his way to 34.

Rudy Gobert LESS THAN 12.5 REBOUNDS

The Stifle Tower is a terrific rebounder and yet has managed 13 or more rebounds just once through the first six games of the series. Denver having Nikola Jokic, a 7-footer of their own, to patrol the paint makes it a little more difficult for Gobert to take full advantage of his size on the boards.

RAPID FIRE

Joe Ingles +2.5 assists vs. Nikola Jokic

Jokic is a fabulous talent, able to contribute in so many ways, and he has chipped in 5.7 assists per game against Utah (along with 25.7 points and 7.2 rebounds) and while that is true, it’s asking a lot for him to put up three more assists than Ingles, who has put up 4.7 assists per game so far in this series.

 

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NBA Analysis NBA Fantasy Basketball Advice RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NBA DFS Prop Picks for Sunday (8/30/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

The NBA Playoffs have resumed and there are three games on tap for Sunday.

The Boston Celtics and Toronto Raptors meet in the first game of what should be a competitive second-round series.

The Los Angeles Clippers will try to finish off the Dallas Mavericks in Game Six, and the Utah Jazz will try to complete the upset by taking Game Six against the Denver Nuggets.

Here are some prop angles to consider for Sunday’s Monkey Knife Fight NBA schedule:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

BOSTON-TORONTO

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Jayson Tatum LESS THAN 26.5 POINTS

The Celtics star has been on a roll lately, scoring 27 or more points in five of his past six games, but he’s going to face a Raptors team that is as strong as any in the league defensively. OG Anunoby may get the task of trying to shut down Tatum and he’s one of the most effective forward defenders in the league.

Pascal Siakam LESS THAN 21.5 POINTS

Bubble Siakam has not been as productive, mostly because he’s in a shooting slump. In 11 games in Orlando, Siakam has scored 22 or more points three times, shooting better than 50% in a game once.

Fred Vanvleet MORE THAN 6.5 ASSISTS

With Kyle Lowry possibly slowed by an ankle injury, the Raptors may need VanVleet even more against Boston. He’s averaging 7.1 assists per game in the bubble and that includes the last game against Brooklyn when he had five assists in less than 19 minutes of floor time.

RAPID FIRE

Serge Ibaka -0.5 rebounds vs. Daniel Theis

In the Raptors’ first-round series against Brooklyn, Ibaka grabbed 41 rebounds (10.3 per game). In the Celtics’ first-round sweep of Philly, Theis had 15 boards (3.8 per game). Ibaka is the safer play, not least of all because he’s more likely to get significant minutes in the Toronto rotation.

L.A. CLIPPERS-DALLAS

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Luka Doncic LESS THAN 33.5 POINTS

While Dallas’ star guard has had a couple of epic games in this series, scoring more than 40 points twice, he’s averaging 29.6 points per game overall in the series. With Kristaps Porzingis out, the Mavericks may need to lean on Luka even more, but counting on at least 34 points is asking a lot.

Kawhi Leonard MORE THAN 30.5 POINTS

Kawhi is averaging 32.8 points per game in this series, shooting 52.3% from the field and just 30.0% on threes. He can get his shots and the Mavericks are having a hard time slowing down Kawhi when he’s playing at the peak of his powers.

Paul George LESS THAN 23.5 POINTS

It has been some kind of playoff series for George, who scored 35 points in Game Five against Dallas, and 27 in Game One. In the middle three games, he managed 34 points, total. That makes it difficult to put too much trust in the player who is supposed to be the Clippers’ No. 2 scoring option.

DENVER-UTAH

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Donovan Mitchell MORE THAN 29.5 POINTS

Game Three was the only time in this series that Mitchell was held under 30 points, though he did not play as much in that Utah rout. He also scored exactly 30 twice, so this line is still rather right. But, with the chance to advance, it’s reasonable to expect the Jazz to turn to their best scorer and ask him to lead the way.

Nikola Jokic MORE THAN 26.5 POINTS

Game Three was the only game of the series in which Jokic was held to less than 28 points. He’s been dominant offensively and looking for his shot more than usual.

Jamal Murray MORE THAN 26.5 POINTS

In classic Murray fashion, he has scored more than 35 points in three of the five games in this series but managed a total of 26 points in the two other games. Now that he’s lifted his ceiling sky-high, Murray is still working on raising his floor. He seems to have figured out how to attack the Jazz, so lean towards the over.

 

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NHL Analysis NHL DFS Lineup Picks - DraftKings, FanDuel RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

MLB DFS Prop Picks for 8/25/20 - Monkey Knife Fight

Tuesday’s MLB schedule is stuffed full, with all teams in action and a couple of double-headers thrown in for good measure. The means tons of chances to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

With 17 games in one day, the schedule is busy and there are enough mismatches to find potential value. One way to do it is to use the Star Shootout option on Monkey Knife Fight in order to find favorable matchups for the best players in the game. That goes for ace pitchers as well as sluggers who might have a match-up against a shaky starting pitcher.

Here are some Star Shootout prop angles to consider for Tuesday’s Monkey Knife Fight MLB schedule:

STAR SHOOTOUT - MAIN GAMES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Gerrit Cole MORE THAN 8.5 STRIKEOUTS

Although the Yankees ace has 44 strikeouts in six starts this season (7.3 per game), there are some factors that might tilt his total higher. For one thing, he has 28 in his past three starts and, for another, the Braves have a strikeout rate of 26.5%, one of the highest rates in the National League.

Shane Bieber MORE THAN 8.5 STRIKEOUTS

Cleveland’s ace has been consistently great this season, striking out 65 in six starts (10.8 per game) and he matches up against a Minnesota Twins team that has a potent lineup but one that can swing and miss, with a 27.1% strikeout rate.

Nelson Cruz LESS THAN 1.5 TOTAL BASES

Minnesota’s 40-year-old designated hitter can still rake. He leads the American League with 11 home runs and a .699 slugging percentage, with a 1.128 OPS. On average, the expectation should be that Cruz is going to put up a couple of bases per game, but the Twins are taking on Bieber, who is anything but average.

Freddie Freeman LESS THAN 1.5 HITS + WALKS

Atlanta’s star first baseman is rocking a .427 on-base percentage, which would be the highest of his career. Under normal circumstances, he should be able to get on base a couple of times but with a matchup against Cole, maybe it will be a little more difficult to reach base tonight.

RAPID FIRE

Lucas Giolito -0.5 fantasy points vs. Tyler Chatwood

Although Chatwood has suddenly emerged as a small-sample high-strikeout-rate pitcher (13.8 K/9 this season), his overall performance is not really comparable to Giolito. Giolito goes against the Pirates, too, which is even more favorable than Chatwood taking on the Tigers.

STAR SHOOTOUT - LATE GAMES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Fernando Tatis Jr. MORE THAN 1.5 HITS + WALKS

The Padres star shortstop has a .396 on-base percentage this season and is a little better than that against left-handed pitching. He faces Seattle’s ace, Marco Gonzales, which is not enough reason to think that Tatis will be held under a couple of times on base.

Trevor Story MORE THAN 1.5 TOTAL BASES

One of the most productive hitting shortstops in the game, Story is slugging .602 this season and .688 against left-handed pitching, a good situation when facing Arizona lefty Alex Young. Of course, the big issue for Rockies hitters is when they go on the road, and Story is still slugging .545 away from Coors, so he should still be good for a couple of bases.

Chris Paddack LESS THAN 5.5 STRIKEOUTS

San Diego’s second-year staff ace has seen his strikeout rate decline this season and he has recorded six or more strikeouts just twice in six starts this season. The Mariners strike out a little more than average but not by enough to count on Paddack for at least six strikeouts.

RAPID FIRE

German Marquez -0.5 fantasy points vs. Matt Harvey

Marquez has some ups and downs but in a matchup against Harvey? He’s steady as they come by comparison. In 13 starts since the beginning of last season, Harvey has a 7.18 ERA and 1.56 WHIP, going at least five innings in just six of 13 starts.

Christian Yelich +0.5 fantasy points vs. Nolan Arenado

Yelich got off to a terrible start this season but has started to turn it around. In his past 15 games, he has hit four home runs, stolen two bases, and has a .993 OPS to go with his .269 batting average. That’s enough to like him as a lively underdog in this matchup with Arenado, who is nowhere near his typical production this season.

STAR SHOOTOUT - NIGHT GAMES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Mookie Betts MORE THAN 1.5 HITS + WALKS

As great as Betts has been for the Dodgers, his .369 on-base percentage does make this a competitive line…until he gets up five times and then it seems much more likely that he should reach base more than once.

Ketel Marte LESS THAN 1.5 TOTAL BASES

Even though Marte is hitting .328, last season’s power surge seems to have completely disappeared. He’s slugging .431 and has one home run in 124 plate appearances. Marte could get loose against German Marquez and the Rockies but this season’s numbers suggest it’s not as likely.

RAPID FIRE

Trevor Story. +0.5 fantasy points vs. Will Smith

Smith is a productive catcher, which is a rare gem, but he doesn’t have the straight-up production to match Story, who has nine home runs, five stolen bases, and a .963 OPS, so getting Story in the underdog slot here is sweet value.

Marco Gonzales – 0.5 strikeouts vs. Julio Urias

Urias has been an effective addition to the Dodgers rotation but his strikeout rate is low (7.0 K/9, 3.6 strikeouts per start) and Gonzales is quietly effective, with 7.9 K/9. Gonzales faces the Padres and Urias faces the Giants, both teams strike out less than average, which might level the playing field but maybe not quite enough to prefer Urias.

 

 

 

 

More Weekly DFS Analysis

Categories
Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NBA Analysis NBA Fantasy Basketball Advice RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NBA DFS Prop Picks for Sunday (8/23/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

Sunday’s NBA schedule offers more opportunities to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The first round of the playoffs is heading to a critical point. Some teams are on the brink of elimination while others will aim to get back to even in Game Four.

The Philadelphia 76ers have not been able to keep pace with the Boston Celtics and will try to climb out of a 3-0 hole. Same goes for the depleted Brooklyn Nets against the defending-champion Toronto Raptors.

However, the other two series going Sunday are more competitive at this point. The Dallas Mavericks will try to even up their series with the Los Angeles Clippers. The obvious hurdle for the Mavericks is that star guard Luka Doncic is questionable for Game Four. Given how important Doncic is to the Mavs, it feels like Dallas’ chances will be tied quite heavily to Doncic’s availability.

In the final game of the day, the favored Denver Nuggets look to get to a 2-2 series with the Utah Jazz

Here are some Star Shootout prop angles to consider for Sunday’s Monkey Knife Fight NBA Playoffs schedule:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

STAR SHOOTOUT

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Joel Embiid MORE THAN 28.5 POINTS

In the first three games of the series against Boston, all losses for Philadelphia, Embiid is averaging 30 points per game, and that includes scoring 30 in Game Three while shooting just 35.0% from the field. He gets to the line a bunch and he’s naturally the Sixers’ primary option on offense. With their season on the line, try Embiid for at least 29 in Game Four.

Jayson Tatum LESS THAN 27.5 POINTS

Tatum’s recent hot streak came crashing to a halt in Game Three, when he was held to just 15 points, on 6-for-19 shooting. The Celtics are not as dependent on Tatum scoring to have success so he could still have a strong game and come in with less than 27 points.

Donovan Mitchell MORE THAN 25.5 POINTS

The return of Mike Conley Jr. to the Utah backcourt in Game Three did cut into Mitchell’s production but he still scored 20 points on just 13 field goal attempts. Given that Mitchell dropped 87 points on the Jazz in the first two games, it’s still reasonable to think that he can get to 26 or more in Game Four.

Caris Levert LESS THAN 22.5 POINTS

Sure, Caris LeVert may be the best scoring option for the Nets since they arrived in the Orlando bubble but he’s been locked up against the Raptors, scoring 15, 16, and 15 points in the first three games while shooting 32.0% from the field. The main reason that the Raptors are contenders once again this season is their outstanding defensive performance and LeVert is finding out about it in an up-close-and-personal way in this series.

RAPID FIRE

Jarrett Allen -0.5 rebounds vs. Rudy Gobert

Through three games against the Raptors, Allen has grabbed 44 rebounds (14.7 per game) while Gobert has managed 28 rebounds (9.3 per game) against the Nuggets. The question is how much should regular-season production weigh compared to what is happening in the playoffs? Gobert put up 13.5 per game during the regular season, compared to just 9.5 per game for Allen but the Nets center is playing a much bigger role in the postseason, playing more than 35 minutes per game in the first three games against the Raptors, compared to 26.5 minutes per game during the regular season, so that increase in rebounding does come somewhat naturally.

Kyle Lowry -0.5 fantasy points vs. Jarrett Allen

As much as Allen is getting a bigger role in a depleted Nets rotation, he also scored four points in more than 32 minutes in Game Three. Allen’s rebounding numbers are great but Lowry has a higher upside as an all-around statistical contributor.

Kyle Lowry +0.5 assists vs. Nikola Jokic

While Jokic, Denver’s multi-talented center, has dropped some double-digit assist performances in the bubble, he has a relatively modest 15 in three games against Utah. Of course, Lowry only has 16 assists in three games against Brooklyn, as he tends to share point guard duties with Fred Vanvleet, so it’s not a decisive advantage but Lowry is at least a worthy play as the underdog in this category.

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NBA Analysis NBA Fantasy Basketball Advice RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NBA DFS Prop Picks for Friday (8/21/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

Friday’s NBA schedule brings four Game Threes, plenty of opportunity to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The Toronto Raptors and Boston Celtics are both up 2-0, looking to take a stranglehold in their series against the Brooklyn Nets and Philadelphia 76ers, respectively. However, the Denver Nuggets and Utah Jazz series as well as the Los Angeles Clippers and Dallas Mavericks series are both tied at one, so the third game becomes pivotal.

Here are some prop angles to consider for Friday’s Monkey Knife Fight NBA Playoffs schedule:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

TORONTO-BROOKLYN

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Caris Levert LESS THAN 24.5 POINTS

Through the first two games of this series, LeVert has found out the hard way that the Raptors can guard the wings. LeVert averaged 25.0 points per game in the bubble before the playoffs started and, in two games, the Raptors have held him to 31 points on 10-for-36 (27.8%) shooting.

Pascal Siakam LESS THAN 21.5 POINTS

Game Two was a little better for Siakam – he scored 19 points while shooting 42.9% from the field but was just 5-for-9 from the line – and yet he’s still mired in a shooting slump overall. Maybe the Raptors could try to get Siakam more into an offensive rhythm but he’s scored 22 or more points just once in the past seven games and the team keeps rolling so, while it would be nice for him to drop 30, there’s also no real urgency.

RAPID FIRE

Norman Powell +1.5 fantasy points vs. Garrett Temple

Which version of Powell do the Raptors get in Game Three? In Game One, he played 17 minutes and had six points and three rebounds. In Game Two, it was 32 minutes, 24 points, six rebounds, a couple of assists, and a steal. Temple, the 34-year-old veteran wing for the Nets, might have a higher floor but also has a lower ceiling so getting Powell as an underdog makes sense.

DENVER-UTAH

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Donovan Mitchell MORE THAN 25.5 POINTS

Not only has Mitchell dropped 87 points on the Nuggets in the first two games of the series but he has done it while shooting 61.7% from the field, and 54.5% on threes. The Nuggets have some defensive issues and it’s apparent that one of them is they don’t have players who can stay in front of Mitchell.

Nikola Jokic MORE THAN 23.5 POINTS

In five games against the Jazz this season, matched up against Utah’s defensive stalwart center Rudy Gobert, Jokic has scored 28 points twice, 29 points once and 30 points twice. Guess it’s reasonable to think he can deliver at least 24.

RAPID FIRE

Michael Porter Jr. -2.5 fantasy points vs. Mike Conley Jr.

There is quite a bit of variability with Porter because of his defensive shortcomings but he did play more than 31 minutes in Game One and nearly 33 minutes in Game Two. Conley is returning to action after leaving the bubble for the birth of his son and he was productive enough in the bubble, averaging 19.8 points and 5.6 assists per game in his first five games (when he played full starter’s minutes).

BOSTON-PHILADELPHIA

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Joel Embiid MORE THAN 29.5 POINTS

The Sixers center dropped 34 on the Celtics in Game Two and even though he was held to 26 in Game One, it does feel like he’s the one hope that the 76ers have to compete in this series. If Embiid doesn’t drop 30-plus, the Sixers are probably sunk.

Jayson Tatum LESS THAN 28.5 POINTS

While 29 or more is a big number to cover, Tatum has found his groove again. He started slowly in the bubble, scoring five points on 2-for-18 shooting in the first game, but he’s averaging 27.1 per game since and that includes 29 or more in each of the past four games.

RAPID FIRE

Jaylen Brown -4.5 fantasy points vs. Marcus Smart

For all of the contributions that Smart makes to the Celtics, he’s so far behind Brown as a scorer that it is difficult for him to make up that deficit. In the first two games of the series, Brown has outscored Smart 49 to 13.

 

L.A. CLIPPERS-DALLAS

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Luka Doncic MORE THAN 30.5 POINTS

After scoring 42 points in Game One, Doncic managed 28 in Game Two but he played just 28 minutes in that second game as the Mavericks won comfortably. Presuming that there won’t be too many times that the Mavericks are cruising to victory by so much that they can sit their best player, ride Doncic for another big performance in Game Three.

Kawhi Leonard LESS THAN 30.5 POINTS

Kawhi has been more aggressive in the bubble, putting up 29.9 points per game, including 35 in Game Two against Dallas but the Clippers aren’t as dependent on Kawhi to score as the Mavericks are with Doncic.

RAPID FIRE

Ivica Zubac +3.5 rebounds vs. Kristaps Porzingis

There are reasonable questions about how much Zubac can play in this matchup against Dallas but he’s averaging 9.6 rebounds per game in the bubble. That’s enough to like him as a significant underdog getting 3.5 rebounds.

 

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NBA Analysis NBA Fantasy Basketball Advice RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NBA DFS Prop Picks for Wednesday (8/19/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

The NBA Playoffs continue and Monkey Knife Fight has three games in play, with many different opportunities to play props and win.

The overmatched Brooklyn Nets take on the defending-champion Toronto Raptors, the Utah Jazz and Denver Nuggets meet up after Denver won in overtime in Game One, and the Philadelphia 76ers take on the Boston Celtics. The Sixers had a lead into the fourth quarter before falling in Game One, so that should be a competitive matchup.

Here are some prop angles to consider for Wednesday’s Monkey Knife Fight NBA Playoffs schedule:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

BROOKLYN-TORONTO

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Caris Levert LESS THAN 23.5 POINTS

The time in the bubble, particularly on a depleted Nets roster, has been a good opportunity for LeVert. He’s getting a lot of touches and was scoring well before starting the series against the Raptors. In Game One, LeVert did register 15 assists but scored just 15 points on 5-of-14 shooting. Going against a Raptors team that defends as well as any and has a lot of defensive talent on the wing, it’s not going to be an easy game for LeVert.

Pascal Siakam LESS THAN 22.5 POINTS

Spicy P has been relatively bland in the bubble and he’s not hitting his shots right now, making 38.5% from the field in the past eight games, including a 4-of-13 performance in Game One against the Nets. Siakam has scored 23 or more points once in his past eight games.

Kyle Lowry LESS THAN 7.5 ASSISTS

Toronto’s star point guard didn’t have a great performance in Game One against Brooklyn, but it ultimately didn’t matter. At the same time, Lowry does split the distributing duties with Fred Vanvleet and has put up eight or more assists in just two of his past eight games.

RAPID FIRE

Serge Ibaka +3.5 rebounds vs. Jarrett Allen

Ibaka has been quietly effective on the boards for Toronto, averaging 9.0 per game in the bubble, including seven in Game One against Brooklyn. Allen is the more productive rebounder and has 11.1 per game in the bubble, but it still looks favorable for Ibaka as the underdog.

UTAH-DENVER

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Donovan Mitchell LESS THAN 29.5 POINTS

After dropping 57 in Game One against the Nuggets, is it safe to assume that Mitchell is going to be good for 30-plus in Game Two? He was averaging 21.7 per game in the bubble before that, and presumably the Nuggets will be hyper-focused on Mitchell in Game Two.

Nikola Jokic LESS THAN 23.5 POINTS

Denver’s center is a gifted and versatile player and he did score 29 points in Game One against the Jazz but he had scored fewer than 20 points in four of the previous five games.

RAPID FIRE

Michael Porter Jr. -1.5 fantasy points vs. Jordan Clarkson

The rising star for the Nuggets, Porter is more variable because he could score 30-plus or 12. Clarkson plays a surprisingly significant role for the Jazz, especially with Mike Conley Jr. out of the lineup, so it could be close but Porter’s high ceiling makes him more appealing.

PHILADELPHIA-BOSTON

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Joel Embiid LESS THAN 27.5 POINTS

Embiid had some impressive moments in Game One, which might as well be the story of his career, and he finished with 26 points. The talent is there and he could conceivably lay waste to the Celtics but it’s hard to know which day that might happen.

Jayson Tatum LESS THAN 28.5 POINTS

The Celtics need Tatum to be great, and he has scored 29 or more points in three straight games, but it has been a bit of a challenge for him against Philadelphia. Tatum scored 32 points in Game One but had averaged 19.0 points per game against the Sixers during four regular-season games.

RAPID FIRE

Jaylen Brown +0.5 three-pointers made vs. Kemba Walker

Brown has been the more consistent shooter lately, averaging 3.1 triples in the bubble before dropping five in Game One against Philadelphia. Walker had averaged 2.2 per game in the bubble and didn’t hit any in the first game against the Sixers.

 

 

 

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NBA Analysis NBA Fantasy Basketball Advice RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NBA DFS Prop Picks for Monday (8/17/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

While the path has followed a winding road with some pauses along the way, the NBA Playoffs are set to tip off Monday, providing ample opportunity to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The bubble concept in Orlando has worked well thus far but there are some teams that have lost some crucial players to injury. Houston’s Russell Westbrook, Philadelphia’s Ben Simmons, Orlando’s Jonathan Isaac, and Denver’s Gary Harris and Will Barton are among the notable players that were injured late in the season.

Here are some angles to consider for Monday’s four-game Monkey Knife Fight NBA Playoffs schedule:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

UTAH-DENVER

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Donovan Mitchell MORE THAN 25.5 POINTS

The leading scorer for the Jazz averaged 24.0 points per game during the regular season, and 21.7 per game since arriving in the Orlando bubble. The Nuggets were better than average defensively this season, but Mitchell has a few circumstances that might be working in his favor. For one, Jazz point guard Mike Conley is away from the team due to the birth of his son, so that could mean more touches for Mitchell and, from the Nuggets’ perspective, they are missing guards Gary Harris and Will Barton, which should make it a little easier for Mitchell to go off.

Nikola Jokic LESS THAN 21.5 POINTS

Denver’s multi-talented center put up 19.9 points per game this season and had 20.1 points per game in the bubble before playing just 10 minutes (and scoring two points) in the finale against Toronto. With a difficult matchup against Utah center Rudy Gobert the lean here is towards less than.

RAPID FIRE

Michael Porter Jr. +5.5 rebounds vs. Rudy Gobert

Even if Porter Jr. lost some momentum in the last few games, he made the most of his opportunity to play in Orlando and grabbed 8.6 rebounds per game in the seven games that he played. Adding 5.5 rebounds per game to that average makes Porter a difficult challenge for Gobert, who averaged 13.0 rebounds per game during the regular season.

 

BROOKLYN-TORONTO

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Caris Levert LESS THAN 24.5 POINTS

Although LeVert is clearly the best scoring option for the Nets, averaging 25.0 points per game in the bubble, he is going to be facing a Raptors team that owns the best defensive record in the league, allowing 106.5 points per game. With enough shots, LeVert could get there but the Raptors have the wing defenders that should make it difficult for him.

Pascal Siakam LESS THAN 22.5 POINTS

Even though he averaged 22.9 points per game during the regular season, Siakam has not been shooting well in Orlando, connecting on 39.4% from the field on his way to 16.9 points per game. This first-round series is a good chance for Siakam to get his game back on track but he has 23 or more points three times in his past 10 games.

RAPID FIRE

Fred Vanvleet +1.5 assists vs. Kyle Lowry

VanVleet has become a crucial part of the Raptors attack and he averaged 6.6 assists per game during the regular season, including 6.7 per game in the bubble. Lowry averaged more assists per game overall (7.5) but fewer per game in the bubble (5.7). It should be close, which makes VanVleet a tempting underdog.

PHILADELPHIA-BOSTON

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Joel Embiid MORE THAN 25.5 POINTS

The Sixers big man scored 23.0 points per game during the season and put up 30.0 per game for the first five games in the bubble, before his knee injury caused him to miss one game and play limited minutes in three more. Facing a Boston team that allowed the second-fewest points per game (107.3) makes it even more challenging.

Jayson Tatum LESS THAN 24.5 POINTS

Boston’s rising star forward did put up 23.4 points per game during the season including 22.4 points per game in the bubble. He faces a 76ers team that, for all of its shortcomings, did have a solid defensive season, ranking sixth in the league in points allowed per game.

RAPID FIRE

Marcus Smart +0.5 assists vs. Kemba Walker

Kemba averaged 4.8 assists per game this season and has been limited by a knee injury in Orlando, posting 3.5 assists per game in the half dozen contests in the bubble. Smart averaged 4.9 assists per game this season and put up nine assists in his last two games, making him a lively underdog in this category.

 

DALLAS-L.A. CLIPPERS

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Luka Doncic LESS THAN 29.5 POINTS

Dallas’ star guard averaged 32.0 points per game in the bubble before scoring 18 points in just 13 minutes during his final tune-up. He scored 29 in a blowout loss to the Clippers 11 days ago but that can be easy if the Clippers decide that they are going to put Kawhi Leonard on Doncic to try to win that head-to-head battle.

Kawhi Leonard MORE THAN 28.5 POINTS

Kawhi has scored 28.8 points per game in the bubble, up from the 27.1 per game he averaged overall this season. Against a Mavericks team that is middle of the pack defensively, Leonard should be able to get loose.

RAPID FIRE

Kristaps Porzingis +2.5 fantasy points vs. Paul George

Since arriving in Orlando, George has averaged 25.5 points, 5.2 rebounds, 3.8 assists, and 2.0 steals per game. He fills up the stat sheet, even as the second option in the Clippers offense. Porzingis, however, has been even more impressive, putting up 30.5 points, 9.5 rebounds, 2.2 assists, 1.5 blocks, and 0.8 steals per game.

 

 

More Weekly DFS Analysis




Categories
Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NHL Analysis NHL DFS Lineup Picks - DraftKings, FanDuel RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

MLB DFS Prop Picks for 8/14/20 - Monkey Knife Fight

It’s a busy evening in Major League Baseball and that provides many opportunities to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

Early in the 2020 season, the story – aside from the daily dread of potentially more positive Covid-19 tests – seems to be that the hitters are having a hard time keeping up with the pitchers.

In 2019, the average runs per game per team was 4.83. This season, it’s 4.59, which works out to nearly half a run less per game when factoring in both teams.

With that in mind, there might be some reason to be more optimistic when it comes to pitcher strikeout totals, except that even the aces don’t seem to be going very deep into games.

Here are some Star Shootout angles to consider for Friday’s Monkey Knife Fight MLB schedule:

STAR SHOOTOUT - MAIN GAMES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Jacob deGrom LESS THAN 6.5 STRIKEOUTS

The Mets ace has yet to go deeper than six innings in a start this season and while his strikeout rate, 11.5 K/9, is impressive deGrom is going up against a Phillies team that has the lowest strikeout rate (18.8%) in baseball so maybe it won’t be too easy for deGrom to record at least seven strikeouts in this game.

Gerrit Cole LESS THAN 6.5 STRIKEOUTS

Like deGrom, Cole has recorded seven or more strikeouts twice in four starts this season. Cole does get to face a Boston Red Sox lineup that strikes out more than average but Cole’s strikeout rate is down to 10.5 per nine innings this season, which makes it a little more difficult to bank on at least seven.

RAPID FIRE

Jose Ramirez +0.5 total bases vs. Nelson Cruz

Veteran designated hitter Nelson Cruz is off to a solid start, slugging .543, and goes against Kansas City and starting pitcher Jake Junis on Friday. Ramirez has a .500 slugging percentage and matches up with veteran Tigers starter Ivan Nova. It’s reasonable enough to favor Cruz but just as reasonable to like Ramirez as the underdog getting an extra half a base in this matchup.

STAR SHOOTOUT - LATE GAMES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Dinelson Lamet MORE THAN 5.5 STRIKEOUTS

A rising star with an overpowering fastball, Lamet has 28 strikeouts in 22 1/3 innings, including 11 against the Diamondbacks in his last start. Arizona ranks among the lower strikeout rate (20.0%) teams but if Lamet could whiff 11 of them in his last start, it’s hardly unreasonable to believe that he could get to six this time.

Lance Lynn MORE THAN 5.5 STRIKEOUTS

Texas’ ace is due for some regression in his performance and is facing a Colorado team that doesn’t strike out a whole lot, and yet, Lynn has recorded at least six strikeouts in each of his four starts this season, and that includes nine against the Rockies on Opening Day.

Clayton Kershaw MORE THAN 4.5 STRIKEOUTS

The main question with Kershaw appears to be how deep he will get into the game. After starting the season on the injured list, he has thrown 10 innings through his first two starts and does have a dozen strikeouts, so as long as he lasts five innings, Kershaw shouldn’t have that much trouble getting to five strikeouts.

STAR SHOOTOUT - NIGHT GAMES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Yusei Kikuchi MORE THAN 2.5 STRIKEOUTS

While the Houston Astros have the lowest strikeout rate (19.9%) in the American League, Kikuchi is off to a rather nice start for Seattle, striking out 16 in 15 1/3 innings. He even struck out four Astros when he got roughed up in 3 2/3 innings against the Astros in his first start of the season. At that rate, Kikuchi has to be able to manage at least three strikeouts this time out, doesn’t he?

RAPID FIRE

Fernando Tatis Jr. -0.5 fantasy points vs. Mike Trout

Incredibly, it might make sense for Tatis Jr., the Padres’ second-year shortstop, to be favored in a matchup with the best player in the game. Tatis has a 1.099 OPS and has eight home runs and five stolen bases – ridiculous numbers. Trout, on the other hand, has a 1.115 OPS and also has eight home runs, though he has yet to steal a base. The balance, then, may swing on the opposing pitcher and Tatis faces Arizona’s Merrill Kelly, who is fine, but Trout goes up against the Dodgers’ Clayton Kershaw. Even if Kershaw isn’t what he once was, he’s still a more challenging opponent.

 

 

 

 

More Weekly DFS Analysis

Categories
Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks NHL Analysis NHL DFS Lineup Picks - DraftKings, FanDuel RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NHL DFS Prop Picks for 8/12/20 - Monkey Knife Fight

The puck has dropped on the Stanley Cup Playoffs and there has already been a five-overtime game that forced a game to get moved from Tuesday night to Wednesday morning in Toronto.

The Columbus Blue Jackets and Tampa Bay Lightning played and played and played some more Tuesday, forcing the Boston Bruins and Carolina Hurricanes to move the first game of their playoff series.

Here are some angles to consider in each of the games on Wednesday’s Monkey Knife Fight NHL schedule:

CAROLINA-BOSTON

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Brad Marchand LESS THAN 5.5 FANTASY POINTS

Before the pandemic pause, the Bruins left winger was on a 13-game point streak, a relentless dominant force on Boston’s top line. During the three round-robin games, however, he failed to record a point, was minus-3 and had just five shots on goal. Maybe the Bruins were not highly motivated in those games but it does make it difficult to bank on Marchand in Game One against Carolina.

Dougie Hamilton LESS THAN 4.5 FANTASY POINTS

The good news for Carolina is that their star defenseman is expected to play his first game since suffering a broken leg in mid-January. He was having an outstanding season, probably the best of his career, so under normal circumstances he could be expected to produce. In his first game in more than six months, though, it might be asking a bit much.

As a reminder, here are point totals when it comes to MKF fantasy hockey points:

OFFENSE:

Goals = 3

Assists = 2

Shots on Goal = 1

Blocked Shots = 1

Shootout Goals = 1

GOALIE:

Goals against = -1 pt

Save= 0.2 pts

N.Y. ISLANDERS-WASHINGTON

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Semyon Varlamov MORE THAN 27.5 SAVES

During the regular season, the Islanders netminder averaged 27.8 saves per 60 minutes of action and he faces an Avalanche team that averaged 31.94 shots per game per 60 minutes, scoring 3.34 goals per 60 minutes, which works out to an average of 28.6 saves per 60 minutes. That nudges the expected towards more before we even consider the prospect of a game going to overtime.

Braden Holtby MORE THAN 26.5 SAVES

Washington’s starting goaltender recorded an average of 27.2 saves per 60 minutes during the regular season and he is going against an Islanders team that was not great at generating shots – 29.18 shots per 60 minutes is worst among playoff teams – so Islanders opponents averaged 27.4 saves per 60 minutes. That indicates a slight lean towards more.

ARIZONA-COLORADO

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Nathan MacKinnon MORE THAN 4.5 SHOTS ON GOAL + BLOCKS

The Avalanche star center averaged 4.61 shots on goal per game this season, so before we get to blocks, he’s already moving towards the over. Add in .45 blocked shots per game plus the Arizona Coyotes allowing 32.0 shots against per 60 minutes during the regular season – only Vancouver and Chicago allowed more among teams in the first round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs – and MacKinnon should be able to get loose against the Coyotes. He has combined for five or more shots plus blocks in 39 of 72 games this season.

Darcy Kuemper MORE THAN 29.5 SAVES

Goaltenders facing the Avalanche during the regular season averaged 29.3 saves per 60 minutes of play. Kuemper averaged 28.7 saves per 60 minutes during the regular season. However, he has needed to make at least 30 saves in six of his past seven starts.

MONTREAL-PHILADELPHIA

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Shea Weber LESS THAN 4.5 SHOTS ON GOAL + BLOCKS

Montreal’s bruising blueliner averaged a combined 4.6 shots plus blocks per game this season but he’s going up against a Flyers team that allowed 28.2 shots against per 60 minutes, the lowest rate in the National Hockey League. Weber recorded at least five shots plus blocks in 32 of 65 regular-season games and in two of four games against Pittsburgh so it’s nearly a coin flip before factoring in the Flyers’ stingy defensive record.

Carey Price MORE THAN 27.5 SAVES

During the regular season, Price averaged 27.8 save per 60 minutes of play and Flyers opponents averaged 27.7 save per 60 minutes of play. Price did have more than 30 saves in three of four games against Pittsburgh in the play-in round and has recorded at least 28 saves in 35 of 62 games overall this season.

VANCOUVER-ST. LOUIS

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Ryan O’Reilly MORE THAN 0.5 ASSISTS

The Blues center averaged 0.69 assists per game during the regular season but has recorded at least one assist in 37 of 74 games between the regular season and the round robin combined. Since that seems like a 50-50 proposition, the lean is towards the over because Vancouver is below-average defensively when it comes to both shots and goals against.

RAPID FIRE

Elias Pettersson +0.5 fantasy points vs. Vladimir Tarasenko

The Canucks are underdogs against the defending-champion Blues but Vancouver’s rising star center, Pettersson is a threat every time out. He had 66 points in 68 regular-season games before adding three points in four games against Minnesota and that consistent productivity makes him a lively underdog against Tarasenko, the talented Blues winger who missed most of the season due to shoulder surgery and did not record a point in two round-robin games.

 

 

 

More Weekly DFS Analysis