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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (10/21/20) - MLB DFS Lineups

The 2020 MLB World Series continues on Wednesday night with Game 2 between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Tampa Bay Rays. In Game 1, the Dodgers chased Rays' starter Tyler Glasnow in the fifth inning and wound up with eight runs in the middle innings to cruise to an 8-3 victory. Big games from Bellinger, Betts, Turner, and Muncy fueled the win, as well as a vintage-Kershaw performance (6 IP, 2H, 1 ER, 8 K, 1 BB). The Rays managed six hits and three earned runs, but they struck out 10 times and obviously couldn't contain the Dodgers explosive offense.

I'll be going through some of the best plays at each position on DraftKings with a GPP/tournament lineup build in mind. That's not to say that these players won't work in cash-game lineups, but we're looking to provide high-upside plays for the most part (it's more fun that way, anyway). Everything changes with Showdown contests. In these contests, you will need to select one player to be your "Captain" - this is the most important piece as your Captain will earn 1.5x fantasy points (and his salary is 1.5x higher as well). After that, you need to select five additional hitters to fill out the rest of the lineup while staying under the $50,000 salary cap. DraftKings does allow you to select pitchers in these contests, but they're always priced at a premium and they're definitely more prone to getting pulled early than during the regular season.

In this article, I'll be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for the DraftKings main slate on 10/21/2020. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel and other sports too.  If you have any questions or comments, feel free to contact me on Twitter @kringstad19

 

 

Note: I'm not touching either pitcher in this game, and you'd be wise to do the same. Blake Snell would be the one to target if you feel the need to go there, but he'll need a ton of points to reach value at his salary and I'm not sure he gets there with how good this Dodgers lineup is and his extremely-improbable chances of pitching past the fifth inning. Additionally, they don't strike out much against LHP (19.4% average K% in projected lineup) and Snell's strikeout rate has dipped in the playoffs (23.8%). 

Captain:

Randy Arozarena ($9,600, $14,400 CPT)

I'd be doing a disservice to the fantasy community if I didn't list Randy as the top option at Captain for tonight's slate. I should probably check on this, but I'm almost positive that he has hit a homer and/or had a huge DFS day every single time I've recommended him for the past three weeks. This shouldn't take too much analysis - you know how lethal he is at this point. He posted a crazy .359 ISO and .422 wOBA in his 76 regular-season plate appearances...he has somehow elevated to a .419 ISO and .473 wOBA during the playoffs. His 24 runs+RBI accounts for about 20% of the Rays scoring in the playoffs. Gonsolin is a fine pitcher, but he has a high 40.2% FB% and he likely won't pitch too deep into the contest as he just pitched on Sunday. Do your best to get to the young phenom as he's on the short-list of Showdown slate-breakers.

Corey Seager ($10,400, $15,600 CPT)

Seager is my favorite pay-up option on the Dodgers tonight. Only AJ Pollock outpaces his numbers against southpaws among the Dodgers as his .232 ISO, .347 wOBA, and low 17.3% K% against LHP are metrics to attack. The aspect that makes Seager most attractive tonight, though, is how well he is seeing the ball. His form is incredible as he has posted double-digit DK points in six of his last 10 games and four games of at least 26 DK points. Snell is a really tough pitcher to get to, obviously, but Seager's recent form and low strikeout rate give him a better chance at succeeding than most. Plus, the team doesn't let Snell pitch past the fourth (maybe fifth) innings, so Seager will get at least a few at-bats that aren't against the top-tier starter. Getting to both Seager and Arozarena should be doable and is highly recommended as most will look to get to Mookie Betts, Bellinger, and Muncy after their huge outputs in Game 1.

Other options: Will Smith ($8,200, $12,300 CPT)

 

Utility:

Will Smith ($8,200)

This is a good price on Smith as he has been very consistently productive and profiles well in matchups against LHP. His 15% BB%, 15% K%, .294 average, .400 OBP, and .370 wOBA against LHP's all stick out as solid metrics. He also profiles well against Snell in particular, who relies on his fastball (50.6%) and holds an inflated 1.8 HR/9 rate. Smith had a .333 average, .733 slugging percentage, .478 wOBA, and six of his eight homers against fastballs in 2020. He's averaging 8.75 DK points over his last four games and his .289 ISO and .413 wOBA make him a threat to pop for a big day on any given slate.

Austin Meadows ($5,800)

This is one where we're trusting his career numbers more than his abbreviated 2020 season (just 39 PA's) and what he has shown in the postseason. He holds a .276/.345/.508 slash line with a .232 ISO and .355 wOBA for his career, but he hit just .108/.154/.270 this season and his metrics have only marginally improved through 65 postseason plate appearances. He should slot in toward the top of the order against Gonsolin and company, which gives him immediate value at his salary. It is notable that he hit the ball hard in his second at-bat after he entered the game late in Game 1, blasting a 103 MPH flyout that had a .840 xBA off Joe Kelly in the ninth inning. The last thing I'll note is that the one thing Meadows did do well this season was hit RHP for power as he had a .216 ISO over 111 PA's in 2020 (and a decent .331 wOBA). He'll likely get just one chance to produce off Gonsolin, but it's likely that he'll get at least a few at-bats against RHP in this one.

Cody Bellinger ($9,000)

Bellinger will surely be popular as he has hit a homer and produced at least 16 DK points in each of the last two games. His 378-foot blast in the fourth inning came off of an inside fastball from Tyler Glasnow and it exploded off the bat at 107.8 MPH (second to Muncy's double two innings later). He only has two zeroes in the point column over his last 10 games and he has put up double-digit DK points in half of them. Snell has had an issue with homers this year (1.8 HR/9) and has allowed four bombs over his 19 and 2/3 innings pitched in the postseason. Bellinger had a .333 ISO on the season and has eight homers in the playoffs, so he's happy to oblige.

Other options: Manuel Margot ($5,200), Kevin Kiermaier ($4,000), AJ Pollock ($7,400)

 

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Good luck in your DFS contests and make sure to give me a follow on Twitter @kringstad19!

 



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DraftKings, FanDuel MLB DFS (10/18/20) (Premium Content)

Well, this is it. The stage is set for a second night of the greatest scenarios in all of sports - a high-stakes Game 7. The Houston Astros came back from down 0-3 to force last night's Game 7 in the ALCS, but rookie Randy Arozarena hit his record-setting seventh homer of the playoffs and the combination of Charlie Morton and a dominant bullpen gave the Rays their second World Series birth in franchise history. Now we'll get to bear witness to another game with literally everything on the line. The Atlanta Braves will be throwing out their best arm in Ian Anderson while the Los Angeles Dodgers will at least begin with Tony Gonsolin on the bump. Keep in mind that both teams will be giving it their absolute best shot, so the starters are more prone to a quick hook than any other game this season. Only select a pitcher on DraftKings (you don't have that option on FanDuel Showdown slates) if you truly believe he has a shot at paying off his price tag. I will not be touching either pitcher on tonight's Showdown slate.

This article will provide you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 10/18/20. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. Be sure also to check out all the Vegas Odds for today's slate. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @davithius.

 

DFS Captain/MVP/STAR Selections

Ronald Acuna Jr. ($9,000 FD, $9,200 DK, $13,800 DK CPT)

The general rule-of-thumb with getting these Captian/MVP/Star selection correct is to try to identify the top three scorers of the night and get them into these multiplier spots. DraftKings scales up the pricing for the Captain slot, while FanDuel keeps pricing the same for the MVP and Star slots, so that's something to keep in mind. My top projected scorer tonight is Ronald Acuna Jr. He hasn't had the best postseason as he's slashing .190/.320/.286 through 11 games, but he does have four doubles, a homer, three RBI, nine runs scored, and six walks. Gonsolin had top-tier numbers (1.94 ERA, 1.94 FIP, 27.9% K%, 13.6% SwStr%) during the regular season, but he's a RHP, and his elevated 40.2% FB% is something Acuna can certainly take advantage of. Acuna's numbers against RHP this season: 1.020 OPS, .354 ISO, and a .423 wOBA.

Mookie Betts ($8,500 FD, $9,600 DK, $14,400 DK CPT)

Betts is a very close second in my projections for tonight's game. Unlike Acuna, Betts doesn't strike out against RHP (12.6%). Like Acuna, he absolutely mashes righty's as he holds an elite .323/.385/.677 slash line with an incredible .354 ISO and .438 wOBA. He has a hit in eight of his last 10 games played as he has continued to serve as the catalyst of the offense at the leadoff spot. Anderson is very good - he's a high-strikeout (29.7% K%), groundball-heavy (52.5% GB%) pitcher who has a sparkling 1.95 ERA and 2.54 FIP for the season. However, he can be wild (10.1% BB%) and throws his four-seam fastball about 47% of the time and Betts hit for a .321 average and .620 slugging percentage against fastballs this season. Selecting Betts is one of the safer, more confident picks you can make on a slate such as this.

Freddie Freeman ($8,000 FD, $9,400 DK, $14,100 DK CPT)

Freeman would be the third player I'd consider using in one of my multiplier slots. He has been the hottest hitter on the team as he has two homers, three doubles, six RBI, and nine runs scored in his last 10 games. Freeman somehow actually crushes RHP better than Acuna and Betts as he holds a 12% K%, .373/.495/.733 slash line, and a .360 ISO and .499 wOBA. We don't want to weigh handedness splits too much, especially in the abbreviated season, but those are absolutely insane numbers. Don't overthink these - play the best players in the multiplier spots.

*Yes, I am sad that I can't just recommend Randy Arozarena again. The time will come.*

DFS Utility Selections

Corey Seager ($9,500 FD, $9,800 DK, $14,700 DK CPT)

Seager is the right on the bubble of being in the Captain/MVP/Star consideration. He's the most expensive position player on both sites, but his form is impossible to ignore on a one-game slate. Again, Anderson is really good, but he can lose his control a bit and his dominance diminishes a bit against LHB. This elevates Seager, who didn't strike out much against RHP (15.3% K%) and held a .998 OPS, .301 ISO, and .416 wOBA against them in 2020. Seager has been the hottest Dodgers hitter as he has six homers, four doubles, and 15 RBI over his last 10 games played.

Justin Turner ($7,000 FD, $8,000 DK)

We need to save a little salary if we're going to fit as many of the above hitters in as we can. Enter Turner. He's likely going to hit in the third spot for the Dodgers, who are projected to score 4.5 runs today. Though he may only see Anderson once or twice, he has a great .340/.419/.495 slash line with a .397 wOBA against RHP this season. His .155 ISO isn't great, but he gets on base and does damage when he gets there, which makes him a solid value at this salary.

Dansby Swanson ($6,500 FD, $7,400 DK)

Swanson works great as a salary-saver as well. He has a .874 OPS, .216 ISO, and .373 wOBA against RHP this year, and he's in great form as he has double-digit fantasy points in three of his last five games (and six of his last 10). He hit for a .809 OPS with 10 homers, five steals, 35 RBI, and 49 runs scored, so this production hasn't come out of thin air. Swanson looks good on both sites.

Austin Riley ($4,500 FD, $7,200 DK)

The young slugger is more of a priority on FanDuel due to his rock-bottom pricing, but he's definitely viable on both sites. He didn't have a solid 2020 but we know he has power as he held a .245 ISO last season and has launched 26 homers since he came into the league. He hasn't been great against RHP but as stated in this article, pitchers will likely have a short leash so the splits stats can be given a slight nerf in importance. Gonsolin is expected to start and he holds a high 40.2% FB%, which is a number to attack with a hitter like Riley.

Marcell Ozuna ($7,000 FD, $8,400 DK)

If you can fit him in, Ozuna looks really good today and his somewhat-depressed pricing. He has been great in his last 10 games with double-digit fantasy points in 50% of his games, including a monster 4-for-5, two-homer performance in Game 4. He hit for a crazy 1.067 OPS with 18 homers, 56 RBI, and 38 runs scored in the regular season. He had a .437 wOBA, 54.4% hard-hit %, and a 15.4% barrel rate on the season, which were all in the top 6% of the MLB in 2020.

RotoBaller Sample DFS Lineups

Sample FanDuel Lineup 

 

Sample DraftKings Lineup 

 

Please note that these are sample lineups designed only to show how you might use the above lineup picks in your own lineup. You should always check the weather and lineups before they lock to ensure players you are choosing are playing tonight.

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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (10/17/20) - MLB DFS Lineups

The Houston Astros have come all the way back from down 0-3 to tie the series up and force a Game 7 on Sunday. Can they pull an '04 Red Sox and get it done? They'll have Lance McCullers Jr. on the mound but all hands will be on deck for both teams as we get to witness the most exciting of all sports scenarios. The Dodgers are looking to stave off elimination themselves as they'll do battle in Game 6 and are down 3-2 in the series.

I'll be going through some of the best plays at each position on DraftKings with a GPP/tournament lineup build in mind. That's not to say that these players won't work in cash-game lineups, but we're looking to provide high-upside plays for the most part (it's more fun that way, anyway). As a reminder, it is best practice to stack 3-5 hitters from the same team for DFS purposes, so try to envision how the games will play out and build your lineups from there This mindset changes a bit in these condensed slates - use your best judgment but be careful not to put all your eggs in one basket. Utilizing unique lineup combinations (i.e the nine, one, two, and three hitters) is another great way to differentiate.

In this article, I'll be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for the DraftKings main slate on 10/17/2020. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel and other sports too.  If you have any questions or comments, feel free to contact me on Twitter @kringstad19

 

DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers

Walker Buehler - SP, LAD vs ATL ($8,000)

Buehler has a 0-0 record with a 23/11 K/BB ratio over 13 playoff innings. That's a lot of strikeouts, but that's also a very concerning number of walks for a pitcher who had a small habit of it (7.5% BB%) in the regular season. He has also given up two playoffs homers, which was a thorn in his side all year as he holds a slate-high 1.7 HR/9. All that considered, Buehler still holds the highest upside among today's pitchers due to his slate-leading 28.6% K%, 12.3% SwStr%, and .178 batting average against. The Braves' projected lineup has six hitters with a strikeout rate north of 23% against RHP and they have the lowest implied total on the slate at 3.7 runs. Buehler may even be less rostered than he deserves to be thanks to his five-walk outing against the Braves in Game 1.

Charlie Morton - SP, TB vs HOU ($7,500)

I'm a fan of Morton as an SP2 on DraftKings today. He comes in as the cheapest pitcher on the slate, his team is favored to win, and we just saw him pick up 21.1 DK points against this same team in Game 2. His season-long 4.74 ERA and 1.39 WHIP were awful, but he seems to have made an adjustment as his fastball has gained some juice and he has picked up 11 strikeouts in the playoffs compared to just three walks and one earned run. His 24.7% strikeout rate is good-not-great, but the 'Stros don't strike out much against RHP anyway. This play is more about Morton's potential to shut the offense down long enough to get the quality start, at least five strikeouts, and a chance at the win bonus.

Other options: Max Fried ($7,800)

 

DraftKings DFS Infielders

Freddie Freeman - 1B, ATL vs LAD ($5,200)

There are a few Braves bats to take a look at as one-offs, and they're all the players you'd expect. If I had to choose one, though, it'd be Freeman. He incredibly has put up at least 10 DK points in five of his last six games, including 14 DK points in each of the last two contests. He hit .373/.495/.733 with a .360 ISO and .499 wOBA against RHP this season. He also had a slate-low 12% K% and a slate-high 18% BB% against RHP this season. Buehler is a really talented pitcher, but he did struggle with the longball as he gave up 1.7 HR/9 and held a 17.9% HR/FB rate.

Brandon Lowe - 2B, TB vs HOU ($4,400)

Lowe is finally starting to come through for the Rays after struggling up to this point in the postseason. He has scored nine and 14 DK points in the last two games and he's starting to look more like the slugger who led the team with 15 home runs and an insane 17.5% barrel rate. His .369 xwOBA, .264 xBA, and .555 xSLG all led the Rays this season as well, and his .238 ISO against RHP is notable. McCullers Jr. is a fine pitcher with a decent strikeout rate, but his 34.9% Hard Hit % and .320 xwOBA against indicate that he can definitely be hit.

Yandy Diaz - 3B, TB vs HOU ($3,400)

I love me some Yandy as a salary-saver at the deep third base position. He may not even be in the lineup, so watch out for that. He hit .307/.428/.386 this season, but he's actually appealing due to his patience at the plate. He was in the top 4% of the league in both K% (12.3%) and BB% (16.7%). It's not exciting, but hey, the points still count for DFS purposes. Diaz's tidy .322 xwOBA further speaks to his penchant for getting on base, which he'll hopefully get the chance to do against Lance McCullers Jr. and company.

Other options: Corey Seager ($5,200), Alex Bregman ($4,600), Will Smith ($4,500)

 

DraftKings DFS Outfielders

Randy Arozarena - OF, TB vs HOU ($5,000)

Acuna is a fine "pay-all-the-way-up" option as well, but there's no way I'm going to leave Randy out since he hits a homer every time I recommend him. You know the deal with him by now: he's trying to go yard on every swing and the result is a hard-hit ball more often than not. He has six home runs in his last 10 games and he holds a .330 average and .983 OPS. McCullers is a fine pitcher who limits homers and flyballs, but he notably gives a lot of hard contact (34.9% hard hit%) and can struggle with walks (8.8% BB%). Arozarena's likely to get zero fastballs and a bunch of junk, but one mistake from McCullers (or any bullpen arm) and Randy won't hesitate to send out another moonshot into orbit.

George Springer -  OF, HOU vs TB ($4,500)

Though I do like Morton today, a few Astros batters stand out as great plays on today's slate. Springer is head-and-shoulders above the others due to his amazing form and how his season-long numbers stack up against RHP's such as Morton. He hasn't posted a scoreless DK game in his last 10 contests and has had consecutive outings of 22, 14, and 11 DK points heading into tonight's pivotal Game 7. He has five homers in his last 10 games and a .929 OPS and .277 ISO against RHP this season.

Kyle Tucker - OF, HOU vs TB ($3,200)

Tucker, like Springer, is also in great form as the Astros have come all the way back from down 3-0 in the series. Tucker has scored at least two DK points in nine of his last 10 games and he just put up 18 DK points with a two-run homer in Friday's win. He has an impressive (team-leading) 44.5% Hard Hit% for the season, and his .455 xSLG isn't too shabby either. He had nine homers and eight steals for the year, so the power and speed combo is present. Tucker is at a really low price-point and could even be hitting fifth for a red-hot lineup - get him in there.

Other options: Austin Meadows ($3,600), Kike Hernandez ($3,000)

 

DraftKings DFS Stacks

I like the Rays as a stack today against McCullers Jr. He's not the best pitcher to attack because when his sinker is on, he's tough, but he has shown that he can be hit hard at times and he has had a bit of a walk issue. The Dodgers have the highest implied total on the slate and while I'm fine with one-offs and mini-stacks, I'd hesitate to get too much exposure to the high-priced bats as a few of them (Betts, Turner, Smith, Bellinger) don't profile well at all against LHP.

 

*** Use my promo code RING to get 10% off any product on the site! ***

Good luck in your DFS contests and make sure to give me a follow on Twitter @kringstad19!

 



Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy baseball articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:


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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (10/14/20) - MLB DFS Lineups

It's Wednesday and we're still rolling through the AL and NL Championship Series with the main slate starting at 5:05 CT. The Tampa Bay Rays are on the verge of an impressive sweep over Houston as they're up 3-0 and will be throwing out their ace in Glasnow. The Braves barely held on to win last night after taking a huge early lead, and they're now up 2-0 on the favored Dodgers. However, The Dodgers will have a clear pitching edge in this one and one has to believe that they'll have Clayton Kershaw ready, so they're far from out of this series.

I'll be going through some of the best plays at each position on DraftKings with a GPP/tournament lineup build in mind. That's not to say that these players won't work in cash-game lineups, but we're looking to provide high-upside plays for the most part (it's more fun that way, anyway). As a reminder, it is best practice to stack 3-5 hitters from the same team for DFS purposes, so try to envision how the games will play out and build your lineups from there This mindset changes a bit in these condensed slates - use your best judgment but be careful not to put all your eggs in one basket. Utilizing unique lineup combinations (i.e the nine, one, two, and three hitters) is another great way to differentiate.

In this article, I'll be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for the DraftKings main slate on 10/14/2020. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel and other sports too.  If you have any questions or comments, feel free to contact me on Twitter @kringstad19

 

DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers

Tyler Glasnow - SP, TB vs HOU ($9,100)

Glasnow has a few blemishes in his profile that include a relatively-high 4.08 ERA, 1.7 HR/9, 23.4% HR/FB%, and 38.4% Hard%. That being said, he's also rocking a solid 1.13 WHIP, 2.75 FIP, 3.04 SIERA, and .199 batting average against. What we're attacking here is his unmatched upside and potential ceiling as his 38.2% K% is astronomical and a 14% SwStr% is extremely high as well. Though the 'Stros don't strike out often (only Tucker, Correa, and Maldonado have K%'s over 20% against RHP), many of their best hitters are RHH, a split in which Glasnow held a 37.9% K% and 3.35 xFIP against this season. Glasnow struggled in his last start, which could keep rostership down, but he had five straight starts of 21+ DK points prior to that and has hit 33+ DK points twice. The Astros are projected for a slate-low 3.9 runs - Glasnow is worth the pay-up tonight.

Julio Urias - SP, LAD vs ATL ($7,800)

There's not much to love about the rest of the pitching options, but it's usually a safe call to select the pitcher on the team that's the biggest favorite on the slate. The Dodgers are projected for 5.9 runs (Braves 4.3 runs) and the Dodgers are in desperation-mode to win this game, which gives Urias decent win-equity. However, that does mean he'll likely have a short leash, and they've shown zero hesitancy to pull him (and other starters) early if the situation calls for it. So there is significant risk here. That being said, he holds the best ERA on the slate (3.49), doesn't give up homers (0.9 HR/9), and has a small speck of strikeout ability (19.8% K%). Ozuna, Acuna, and Freeman are the hitters to worry about here, but the rest of the lineup has been unimposing against LHP and d'Arnaud, Albies, and Swanson hold a .232 wOBA or worse against southpaws this year. They also strike out a lot against LHP with five starters holding a 29% K% or higher this season.

Other options: Will Smith (ATL vs LAD) $4,000 or whichever reliever you believe gets the most IP

 

DraftKings DFS Infielders

Will Smith - C, LAD vs ATL ($4,800)

Smith is the best catcher option on the board and he looks especially good today as he holds a 1.040 OPS, .350 ISO, and .427 wOBA against RHP this season. He should continue to slot in the middle of the order and that has value as the Dodgers have a high 5.9 run implied total against the inexperienced Kyle Wright.

Brandon Lowe - 2B, TB vs HOU ($4,100)

We keep hearing the announcers saying "Eventually, this guy will start hitting like he did in the regular season." While it's easy to agree with that due to the law of averages and how statistics work, we're all still waiting. He went hitless last night to bring his playoff slash line to .077/.077/.077. That's about as ugly as it gets. I'm going right back to the well as he's the cheapest 2B on the board and has some great RHP splits with a .238 ISO and .355 wOBA. An argument can be made for Chris Taylor, but he'll likely hit in the ninth spot and is actually more expensive than Lowe.

Willy Adames - SS, TB vs HOU ($3,300)

Adames isn't the most exciting play in the world, but we have to work with what we have at the position and pick our spots. Correa is facing Glasnow, Swanson has the worst handedness splits for any projected starter today (outside of Albies), and selecting Corey Seager is going to handicap you at every other position (though he looks great today). Adames hit a decent .259/.332/.481 with a .222 ISO, .342 wOBA, eight homers, 23 RBI, 29 runs scored, and two steals during the regular season, but he has struggled so far in the playoffs. He hits RHP much better and while Greinke is a decent pitcher, he has struggled with his most frequent pitch, the fastball. He has allowed a .325 average (.306 xBA), .542 SLG (.580 xSLG), and .381 wOBA (.374 xwOBA) with his fastball this year, and it just so happens that Adames posted a .359 wOBA and five homers off the pitch in 2020.

Other options: Corey Seager (LAD vs ATL) $5,200, Yuli Gurriel (HOU vs TB) $2,900, Ji-Man Choi (TB vs HOU) $3,400

 

DraftKings DFS Outfielders

Marcell Ozuna - OF, ATL vs LAD ($4,200)

Ozuna just continues to mash, but he's still just the seventh-highest salaried outfielder in the DraftKings player pool. He's behind AJ Pollock. If that doesn't scream "value," I don't know what does. He has the best handedness splits for any hitter today with an insane .356/.463/.867 slash line against LHP this season. It's a small-ish sample size of just 54 plate appearances, but he also put up a .511 ISO and .527 wOBA against southpaws this season, which honestly seems like a typo or an error in the database. His exit velocity, hard-hit rate, xBA, xSLG, xwOBA, and barrel rate were all in the top sixth percentile in the MLB this season. Urias throws his four-seamer 55.9% of the time and Ozuna posted a .403 AVG, .783 SLG, and .515 wOBA against the pitch this season.

Randy Arozarena - OF, TB vs HOU ($4,500)

I'm just going to keep recommending this guy until he proves me wrong - and he hasn't yet. He's hitting .337 with 10 homers, 15 RBI, and a 1.113 OPS since being called up to the majors. He has a .250 ISO and .349 wOBA against RHP and while he does have a high 37.7% K% against them this year, veteran Zack Greinke shouldn't be an imposing matchup for this unfazed prospect. I'm putting my money on Randy 100 times out of 100. He has a 14% barrel rate...his Stacast comparison? Nelson Cruz. *mind-blown emoji*

Cristian Pache - OF, ATL vs LAD ($2,000)

Pache, a 21-year-old, had four at-bats during the regular season with the Braves. He's the Braves number one prospect and the 14th-best prospect in the MLB, according to MLB Pipeline. He has good power and speed, though it obviously remains to be seen if (or how quickly) his skills will translate to the big leagues. He hit 1-for-5 with a run scored and an RBI in his start last night and he's a very good source of value at the DraftKings minimum again tonight.

Other options: Manuel Margot (TB vs HOU) $3,000, Austin Meadows (TB vs HOU) $3,400, Mookie Betts (LAD vs ATL) $5,700, Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL vs LAD) $5,000

 

DraftKings DFS Stacks

The Dodgers. They have the highest implied total against Kyle Wright and only have two players in their projected lineup with an ISO lower than .220 against RHP. Everyone is in play - the only players I'd curb exposure to are Joc Pederson and Max Muncy. The Rays are my other favorite stack against Greinke and company, while the Braves (top hitters only) could make for an intriguing contrarian stack as well. Springer, Brantley, and Tucker would be my targets if making leverage stacks against the chalky Glasnow.

 

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DraftKings, FanDuel MLB DFS (10/11/20) (Premium Content)

Welcome to the ALCS everyone - we made it! We have a one-game slate on Sunday with a matchup between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Houston Astros for the AL pennant (everyone had this matchup in the ALCS, right? Right???). We will be pivoting with this article as we're looking at two similar, yet distinct showdown game style options. Those unfamiliar with the showdown game mode select a roster of six players, with those players being your "captain"(DraftKings) and "MVP" and "STAR"(FanDuel). For DraftKings, the "captain" earns you 1.5x the fantasy points and costs 1.5 times their standard salary. FanDuel is a little different-you have an "MVP" that scores 2.0x the fantasy points and "STAR" that scores 1.5x fantasy points. There is no additional salary cost with FanDuel. The last difference is while you have the option to select a pitcher on the DraftKings showdown slate, you don't have that luxury over on FanDuel.

The Rays have an implied total of 4.3 runs and are the favorites behind their innings-impaired ace Blake Snell. The scrappy (is that the word?) Astros sport a 3.8-run implied total and will be starting game one with Framber Valdez.

This article will provide you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 10/11/20. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. Be sure also to check out all the Vegas Odds for today's slate. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @davithius.

 

DFS Captain/MVP/STAR Selections

Alex Bregman ($9,000 FD, $9,000 DK, $13,500 DK CPT)

You absolutely have to nail these Captain/MVP/Star picks in order to make some noise in showdown DFS contests. You can do much worse than selecting Bregman for your Captain, MVP, or Star slot. He was much better hitting against southpaws this season as held a .319 average and .985 OPS against LHP, compared to a .214 average and .738 OPS against RHP. He holds a .209 ISO and .357 wOBA and though he hasn't barreled balls up this season, he's always a threat to go deep and he's in great form with multiple hits in three of his last four games played.

Randy Arozarena, ($7,000 FD, $9,600 DK, $14,400 DK CPT)

The phenomenal 25-year-old only had 64 regular-season at-bats as he was called up late to assist in the Rays' postseason run. He's done a bit more than "assist." He's hitting for a .359 ISO, .439 wOBA, and a 1.022 OPS in the small sample size. He's hitting an unbelievable 12-for-20 with three homers, two doubles, a triple, eight runs, and four RBI in the playoffs. He has gone hitless in two straight games, which could nerf his rostership, but he had four consecutive multiple-hit games prior to that. He has demolished LHP this year and though he's priced way up on DK, he still needs to be in consideration for your Captain slot with how he's hitting. He's an auto-play at either MVP, Star, or Flex on FanDuel at his price since they apparently haven't been paying attention these past few weeks.

 

DFS Utility Selections

Brandon Lowe ($8,000 FD, $9,200 DK)

Lowe should have low rostership as his price is still high despite going hitless in five straight contests. The public may be souring on him, but this is a player who hit .269/.362/.554 with 14 homers, 37 RBI, and 36 runs scored as one of the main catalysts of an upstart Rays' lineup. He held a .285 ISO, .398 wOBA, and 43.1% hard-hit rate this season and is a reverse-splits hitter with a .467 wOBA and 1.137 OPS against LHP this season. He's my favorite contrarian Captain/MVP/Star selection.

*DraftKings Only* Framber Valdez ($11,200 DK)

It's wise to pony up for one SP on DraftKings due to their raw point total projections, and Valdez is the pitcher you should be targeting. Snell has filthy stuff and holds a tidy 31% K% and a 42.6% K% against LHH this year, but he has been a mixed bag in his last four starts and just got crushed by the Yankees in his most recent outing. Plus, many of the Astros' best hitters are right-handed and they'll likely have just two LHH's in the order. Go off the beaten path a bit and consider Valdez for just $200 less than Snell. Valdez is in great form as he's averaging 27.15 DK points per game in his last four starts. His mediocre 21.4% K% for the season and matchup with the hot Rays team should keep rostership low and while the Rays have hit well against southpaws this season, Valdez has been equally effective against both sides of the plate as his sinker/curve-heavy (88.3%) pitch mix has helped him achieve the best groundball rate in the MLB at whopping 60%.

George Springer ($10,000 DK, $9,500 FD)

Springer is hot as he has seven hits (including a two-homer game) in his last four games played. He'll hit leadoff for a lineup that has been cracking since the regular season ended and the playoffs began. Baseball is a game of runs, and the 'Stros have been on one since the games started really mattering. Springer had a stellar regular season (.275 ISO, .389 wOBA) and is worth the pay-up with the platoon-advantage over Snell tonight.

Yandy Diaz ($4,500 FD, $6,000 DK)

Speaking of platoon-advantages, enter Yandy Diaz. Diaz should slot in at leadoff against the southpaw Valdez and he's been much better against lefty's in his career as his OPS was .241 higher against LHP in 2019.  His platoon-splits were even this year, but it's his spot atop the order and his impressive 16.7% BB% that look good here. He has had just one hit in his last four games, but he has six walks. Give Diaz a hard look with the Rays favored and projected for 4.4 runs today.

Yuli Gurriel ($6,000 FD, $4,600 DK)

Gurriel isn't exciting and he hasn't had a good year, but we need to save some salary and he notoriously crushes LHP. He holds an impressive .344 wOBA and a .940 OPS against LHP this season (.600 OPS against RHP). He'll likely slide into the seventh spot in the order and should be a somewhat-contrarian pick to stack up with the likely-chalky Bregman and Springer.

Manuel Margot ($5,500 FD, $5,000 DK)

Margot looks attractive due to his cheap pricing and the likely scenario that he slots into the fifth spot in the order, which is huge since the Rays are favored and projected to score 4.3 runs on Framber Valdez and company. He had a brutal season with an empty .269 batting average, but he has always had more success against LHP (.734 OPS against LHP since 2018) in his career. He has notably hit two homers in the playoffs and is a legitimate threat to steal a base (12-for-16 on SB's this season).

RotoBaller Sample DFS Lineups

Sample FanDuel Lineup 

 

Sample DraftKings Lineup 

 

Please note that these are sample lineups designed only to show how you might use the above lineup picks in your own lineup. You should always check the weather and lineups before they lock to ensure players you are choosing are playing tonight.

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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (10/7/20) - MLB DFS Lineups

We're rolling along with the week and we head into Wednesday's DraftKings MLB slate with four games on tap. The NL will be playing the second game of their series while the AL teams are playing in game three of their series. We have a couple of appealing starting pitchers to target to go along with a few offenses that look particularly stack-able on today's slate - let's get to it.

I'll be going through some of the best plays at each position on DraftKings with a GPP/tournament lineup build in mind. That's not to say that these players won't work in cash-game lineups, but we're looking to provide high-upside plays for the most part (it's more fun that way, anyway). As a reminder, it is best practice to stack 3-5 hitters from the same team for DFS purposes, so try to envision how the games will play out and build your lineups from there. Utilizing unique lineup combinations (i.e the nine, one, two, and three hitters) is another great way to differentiate.

In this article, I'll be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for the DraftKings main slate on 10/7/2020. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel and other sports too.  If you have any questions or comments, feel free to contact me on Twitter @kringstad19

 

DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers

Clayton Kershaw - SP, LAD vs SD ($9,600)

You can go right ahead and fade "Playoff Kershaw" at your own risk. He is clearly the cream of the crop on today's slate and he's coming off his best outing of the season. He went eight innings and allowed just three hits while striking out 13 batters in a shutout over the Brewers in the NL Wild Card round. He received an extra day of rest and should be ready to rock for game two against the Padres, who he racked up 23.3 DK points against earlier this season (6 and 1/3 IP, 5H, 3ER, 9K). Kershaw holds incredible numbers, featuring a 2.16 ERA, 0.84 WHIP, 3.05 FIP, 28.1% K%, 3.6% BB%, and a 53% GB%. The Padres boast a great lineup with a lot of young, exciting players, but they aren't battle-tested and haven't faced a pitcher even close to Kershaw's caliber in the playoffs yet. Notably, the Padres have struggled against southpaws lately. Since the beginning of September they have a 25.6% K% (12th in the MLB), .224 AVG (22nd), .300 OBP (22nd), .368 SLG (22nd), .143 ISO (20th), .292 wOBA (22nd) against LHP. The Padres don't have an implied total yet, but you can be sure that it will be one of the lowest on the board. Again, fade the best pitcher on the slate at your own peril.

Ian Anderson - SP, ATL vs MIA ($8,200)

The hotshot rookie will be making just his seventh big league start on Wednesday, but man has he been impressive. Anderson had at least 20 DK points in 6-of-7 starts, and at least 15 DK points in all of them. He pitched a six-inning, nine strikeout shutout gem for 33.1 DK points in his last start against the Reds in the NL Wild Card round. He holds a 1.95 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 2.54 FIP, and a slate-high 29.7% K% on the season. He also keeps the ball on the ground (52.5% GB%) with a top-tier changeup that he throws 30.8% of the time and is allowing a minuscule .104 AVG against. His elite numbers come with a small price, though, as he does have a worrying 10.1% BB% for the season. The Marlins are easily the weakest lineup on today's slate and Vegas agrees as they have a slate-low 3.5-run implied total. They have the 10th-highest strikeout rate (25.1%) and ranked dead-last in ISO (.120) against RHP this season.

Other options: Jesus Luzardo (OAK vs HOU) $7,500, Pablo Lopez (MIA vs ATL) $6,900 <----- contrarian GPP option if you're not stacking Braves

 

DraftKings DFS Infielders

Alex Bregman - 3B, HOU vs OAK ($4,100)

Bregman's salary is lower than it should be for a player of his caliber, and he'll have a chance to prove it against the explosive-yet-vulnerable southpaw Jesus Luzardo on Wednesday afternoon. He had a down year for his high standards, but he still managed to put up a .209 ISO, .357 wOBA, and a .350 OBP. He has always hit much better against LHP and that didn't change this year, as his .319/.411/.574 slash line against LHP makes his .214/.331/.408 line against RHP look silly. Luzardo holds exploitable 1.6 HR/9 and 22% HR/FB rates and if the 'Stros are going to do some damage today, you can bet Bregman will be involved.

Ji-Man Choi - 1B, TB vs NYY ($3,100)

Choi should be back in the lineup hitting out of the cleanup spot after sitting against the lefty in game two. The Yankees will send out RHP Masahiro Tanaka on Wednesday. Tanaka is a decent pitcher as he holds a 3.56 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 4.42 FIP, and a slate-leading 14% SwStr%. The reason we're wanting to attack here is his slate-high 1.7 HR/9 and inflated 39% FB%, and the fact that he has had a few consecutive shaky starts coming into this outing. Tanaka can be hit and the righty-masher Choi (.783 OPS vs RHP this year) is happy to oblige, for a very affordable price.

Jon Berti - 2B/OF, MIA vs ATL ($2,400)

You have more freedom to get a little weird on smaller slates like this, and using Berti in an Ian Anderson lineup would certainly be a way to be unique. He'll hit near the top of the order for the Marlins and though his .258 AVG is uninspiring, he has a very-high .388 OBP and 15.4% BB%. That, combined with going 9-for-11 on stolen base chances this year, makes Berti a very attractive option at his dirt-cheap salary on today's slate.

Other options: Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD vs LAD) $4,700, Freddie Freeman (ATL vs MIA) $5,000, Jesus Aguilar (MIA vs ATL) $2,900

 

DraftKings DFS Outfielders

Marcell Ozuna - OF, ATL vs MIA ($4,700)

It has been a while since Ozuna hasn't been mashing. He has put up at least 16 DK points in four of his last six games played, and he just had a two-homer 42 DK point outing on 9/22. He should slot in at third in the order for a team that's projecting to score a slate-high 5.1 runs. Ozuna will face Marlins starter Pablo Lopez, who has been solid but not unbeatable this year (3.61 ERA, 3.09 FIP). Ozuna holds a .298 ISO, .425 wOBA, 1.067 OPS, and a 46.2% hard-hit rate. I'm betting on Ozuna to win a few battles at the plate today.

Giancarlo Stanton - OF, NYY vs TB ($4,400)

Stanton has now homered in four straight games after his 32 DK point, two-homer barrage in game two against the Rays. His salary has actually dropped in consecutive games, so there's still time to pounce on his amazing form. Charlie Morton is no slouch and he's coming off an eight-strikeout outing, but he holds slate-worst metrics with a 4.74 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 24.8% LD%, and .276 AVG against.

Josh Reddick - OF, HOU vs OAK ($2,000)Reddick is on the bench. Look at Kyle Tucker ($3,700) hitting out of the sixth spot.

This is simply a salary-saver play. Getting Reddick at the DraftKings minimum is a great value as the Astros should be among the top teams to stack up today against Jesus Luzardo. The veteran should hit in the eighth or ninth spot, making him a good wraparound piece to use with the heavy-hitters at the top of the lineup.

Other options: Matt Joyce (MIA vs ATL) $2,200, Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL vs MIA) $5,400, Mark Canha (OAK vs HOU) $4,000

 

DraftKings DFS Stacks

The Braves have the top implied total on the board at 5.1 runs and they're my favorite lineup to stack up today against the (relatively) middling Pablo Lopez. The Yankees can be stacked against Morton, but they're easily the most expensive stack and most of their hitters won't have the platoon advantage. The Astros and Rays look great as potentially lesser-rostered stacks as they're facing vulnerable pitchers with a penchant for giving up the longball.

 

*** Use my promo code RING to get 10% off any product on the site! ***

Good luck in your DFS contests and make sure to give me a follow on Twitter @kringstad19!

 



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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (9/30/20) - MLB DFS Lineups

We had four games for an appetizer on Tuesday and now we get the main course with a full day of baseball beginning at 12:00 ET. There were a few teams that went with their usual number two starting pitchers in game one, so there's definitely not a shortage of arms to pick from on today's slate. Like on Tuesday, it's going to be difficult to pinpoint the optimal offense(s) to stack with each team giving their absolute best shots in terms of starting pitching and bullpen matchups. There are certainly more options on today's slate, though, and we'll be targeting a few stacks and one-offs that seems to be in good spots.

I'll be going through some of the best plays at each position on DraftKings with a GPP/tournament lineup build in mind. That's not to say that these players won't work in cash-game lineups, but we're looking to provide high-upside plays for the most part (it's more fun that way, anyway). As a reminder, it is best practice to stack 3-5 hitters from the same team for DFS purposes, so try to envision how the games will play out and build your lineups from there. Utilizing unique lineup combinations (i.e the nine, one, two, and three hitters) is another great way to differentiate.

In this article, I'll be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for the DraftKings main slate on 9/30/2020. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel and other sports too.  If you have any questions or comments, feel free to contact me on Twitter @kringstad19

 

DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers

Trevor Bauer - SP, CIN vs ATL ($9,000)

Excluding Brent Suter's small sample size (13 IP), Trevor Bauer owns almost all of the top metrics among today's pitchers. His 1.73 ERA, 0.79 WHIP, 2.96 FIP, 3.24 xFIP, and 2.92 SIERA all lead the slate, while his elite 36% K% is only behind Tyler Glasnow (38.2%). He's had an insane six starts with over 32 DK points this season. He holds some degree of risk as he has struggled to get keep the ball on the ground (34.4%) and is an extremely flyball-heavy pitcher (47.8%), which could be an issue against a Braves lineup that finished the year ranked second in ISO (.22&) and sixth in HR/FB (17.9%). However, they do strike out at a high rate (24.4%) and they're only projected for four runs on Wednesday. Bauer is the leading candidate for the NL Cy Young for a reason and there isn't a pitcher on the slate who comes in better form as he has a 46/5 K/BB and just five earned runs over his last five starts. Freeman and Acuna are going to be tough outs (against any pitcher), but give me all of the Bauer with the slate-high ceiling that he possesses.

Tyler Glasnow - SP, TB vs TOR ($8,400)

Glasnow has had a tough time with the longball this year as he's allowing 1.7 HR/9 and has given up at least one homer in 9-of-11 starts this season. That being said, his DFS outlook is sparkling due to an elite 38.2% K% (third in the MLB), 14% SwStr%, and 2.73 xFIP (third in the MLB. He has quietly been one of the most dominant pitchers in the game this year, though his 4.08 ERA may scare some people off in a matchup against the Baby Jays on Wednesday. They showed their lack of playoff experience in game one as they knocked in just one run and struck out 12 times in the game one loss. The Blue Jays didn't strike out a ton in the regular season, but Glasnow certainly benefits with the platoon-advantage over many of their best hitters, including Bichette, Hernandez, Grichuk, Guerrero Jr., and Gurriel. They're projected for just 3.3 runs today. Glasnow's strikeout-upside, win-equity, and affordable salary make him an attractive SP1 or SP2 target on today's slate.

Other options: Jose Berrios (MIN vs HOU) $8,200, Masahiro Tanaka (NYY vs CLE) $6,700

 

DraftKings DFS Infielders

Jesus Aguilar - 1B, MIA vs CHC ($2,900)

Call me crazy, but I don't think very many people are going to be flocking to get any Marlins in their lineups today. That could make this a tidy leverage spot, as opposing pitcher Kyle Hendricks is good, but certainly not unbeatable. Hendricks has a 2.88 ERA that's backed up by solid predictive stats, but he has a low 20.3% K%, and his .240 batting average against comes in as the second-worst on the slate. Aguilar is a cheap way to get exposure here as he holds a .353 wOBA and should hit third in the order. He had a quietly great season (.277/.352/.457 with eight homers, 34 RBI, and 31 runs scored) and has three double-digit DK point games in his last six games played.

Justin Turner - 3B, LAD vs MIL ($4,800)

You're going to want to do what you can to get some Dodgers in your lineups as they have the second-highest implied total and arguably the best pitching matchup on the board, though they are quite expensive. The Brewers are rolling with Brent Suter to begin a bullpen game and while Suter has great numbers, he hasn't thrown more than four innings in any of his four starts this season. The Brewers bullpen is also a top-10 unit, but as we saw with the Yankees against Shane Bieber yesterday, the playoffs are a whole different beast. Turner is hitting .400/.438/.867 over his last seven days and has a .384 wOBA for the season.

Austin Nola - C, SD vs STL ($4,500)

Nola is one of the premier offensive catchers in the game as his .352 wOBA (sixth among catchers with at least 120 PA's) and .199 ISO (seventh) make him an appealing DFS target at the position. He projects to hit in the middle of the potent Padres lineup that's currently projected to score a slate-high 4.8 runs. Kwang-hyun Kim is a closer-turned-starter making his first postseason start. He has been really good against right-handed hitters this year, but his inexperience and low K% (16.1%) and SwStr% (7.2%) are sure to play a factor in how today's game plays out.

Other options: Anthony Rizzo (CHC vs MIA) $4,400, Joey Wendle (TB vs TOR) $3,600, Jorge Polanco (MIN vs HOU) $3,300

 

DraftKings DFS Outfielders

Kyle Schwarber - OF, CHC vs MIA ($3,800)

Schwarber has a great price on him because he simply hasn't been very good this year with an ugly .188/.308/.393 slash line. However, he does has 11 homers and a decent .204 ISO, and his 13.4% walk rate also plays an underrated role in DFS lineup construction. We're not targeting walks in DFS, obviously, but if we can have that kind of a "floor" to go along with a solid chance at a bomb, we take it all day. Sandy Alcantara has been decent through seven starts this year, but he's a RHP and this is a spot where Schwarber can come through for our lineups with the platoon advantage.

Randy Arozarena - OF, TB vs TOR ($3,700)

The 25-year-old has been very impressive since being called up as he has a .281/.382/.641 slash line with seven homers, 11 RBI, 15 runs scored, and four steals over just 64 at-bats. Small sample size be damned, he has an incredible .359 ISO and .439 wOBA. He's hitting especially well as of late (.400/.500/.867 in the last seven days) and gets the platoon-advantage over Blue Jays starter Hyun-Jin Ryu. He has a 1.478 OPS against LHP in his young career and though Ryu has been effective and he limits hard contact well, Arozarena is playing too well to not have interest in him at his price.

Wil Myers - OF, SD vs STL ($5,100)

Myers looks great as a potentially-contrarian pay-up option on today's slate. The Padres have the highest implied total on the board at 4.8 runs and the cleanup hitter Myers will have the platoon-advantage over Kwang-hyun Kim. Myers finished with a .288/.353/.606 slash line, adding 15 homers, 40 RBI, 34 runs scored, and two steals in an impressive campaign. He has a .318 ISO (.328 vs. LHP) and his .400 wOBA ranks 15th in the MLB.

Other options: Tommy Pham (SD vs STL) $3,600, Jason Heyward (CHC vs MIA) $3,800, Nelson Cruz (MIN vs HOU) $4,900

 

DraftKings DFS Stacks

The Dodgers (4.7-run implied total) and Padres (4.8-run implied total) look like the best, and safest, teams to stack up on today's slate. That being said, they'll likely garner the highest rostership percentage. There's going to be at least one stack that doesn't look great on paper but will pop off and be a difference-maker tonight, as we saw last night with the Yankees against Shane Bieber. Tonight's sneaky-stack call is the Minnesota Twins, who will be in desperation mode as they're looking to snap their record 17-game playoff losing streak against Jose Urquidy. Urquidy has made five starts and has a 4.69 FIP, 5.35 xFIP, 5.40 SIERA, 14.7% K%, and a low 35.6% GB%.

 

*** Use my promo code RING to get 10% off any product on the site! ***

Good luck in your DFS contests and make sure to give me a follow on Twitter @kringstad19!

 



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Top MLB DFS Tournament Stacks and Avoids for 9/27/20 (Premium Content)


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MLB DFS Cheat Sheet and Lineup Picks for 9/27/20 (Premium Content)


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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (9/26/20) - MLB DFS Lineups

There are 11 games on the DraftKings main slate on Saturday. It's nearing the end of the season and with many teams having already clinched their playoff spot, it's important to be aware of situations where hitters may be surprisingly held out or pitchers being given a short leash. After an amazing slate with a ton of pitching on Friday night, Saturday features Luis Castillo, Dylan Bundy, Brandon Woodruff, and not a whole lot else. On the plus side, there should be plenty of offense to target!

I'll be going through some of the best plays at each position on DraftKings with a GPP/tournament lineup build in mind. That's not to say that these players won't work in cash-game lineups, but we're looking to provide high-upside plays for the most part (it's more fun that way, anyway). As a reminder, it is best practice to stack 3-5 hitters from the same team for DFS purposes, so try to envision how the games will play out and build your lineups from there. Utilizing unique lineup combinations (i.e the nine, one, two, and three hitters) is another great way to differentiate.

In this article, I'll be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for the DraftKings main slate on 9/26/2020. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel and other sports too.  If you have any questions or comments, feel free to contact me on Twitter @kringstad19

 

DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers

Luis Castillo - SP, CIN vs MIN ($9,800)

It's not the most comfortable matchup in the world, but Castillo is clearly the most talented pitcher on the board and he easily comes with the highest upside as well. He has been dominant as he has allowed two runs or less in each of his last four starts, which were all coincidentally wins to bring his record to 4-5 on the season. Castillo has spectacular numbers, featuring a 2.86 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 2.72 FIP (sixth in the MLB), 2.82 xFIP (sixth), 31% K% (13th), and a 15.7% SwStr% (fifth). The changeup is his most common pitch and it's very effective at a 40.8% Whiff% and .179 xBA. In addition to making batters swing and miss often, he induces a ton of groundballs (58.5% GB% and 22.6% FB%), which is the way to go against this powerful Twins lineup. The Twins have turned the offense back on as of late, ranking 10th in team wOBA (.340) and holding the third-highest ISO (.225) in the MLB since the start of September. However, they're projected for just four runs today and they hold the eighth-highest strikeout rate (25.4%) against RHP this season. They have the bats to beat him, but Castillo definitely has the highest ceiling on the state and has a great chance to continue his three-game streak of at least 30 DK points here tonight.

Brandon Woodruff - SP, MIL vs STL ($8,700)

Woodruff is on a bit of a roll as he has 26 strikeouts and just five earned runs over his last three starts (19 and 2/3 innings). He did have a somewhat-shaky outing against the Cardinals sandwiched in the middle of those starts where he allowed seven hits, three earned runs, and two homers while striking out just five. That shouldn't scare us off him tonight. Woodruff holds a 3.43 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 3.45 FIP, 3.40 xFIP, and a great 30.5% K%. His 15.3% LD% is the lowest on the slate by a wide margin. The Cardinals have been very mediocre on offense this year, evidenced by their .700 OPS (eighth-worst) and .134 ISO (third-worst) against RHP. They just don't really have the bats to punish opposing pitchers and we have to like Woodruff's chances in this matchup with the way he has been going.

Other options: Michael Pineda (MIN vs CIN) $8,400, Ryan Yarbrough (TB vs PHI) $7,000, Joe Musgrove (PIT vs CLE) $6,700

 

DraftKings DFS Infielders

Dansby Swanson - SS, ATL vs BOS ($4,200)

Dansby is having a solid season at the plate and his recent surge has his season line up to .274/.344/.457 with nine homers, 34 RBI, 48 runs scored, and five stolen bases. He's hitting .333 with two doubles, two homers, seven RBI, and four runs scored over his last five games played. He has always hit much better against RHP and that is especially true this season where he's slashing .301/.374/.514 against RHP (.171/.227/.220 against LHP). Swanson holds a .355 wOBA and that will play against rookie Tanner Houck, who has been impressive but is making just the third start of his career. The Braves currently sport the fifth-highest implied total at five runs. Pay attention to the lineup order - knock Swanson's projection down a bit if he's seventh or lower.

Miguel Cabrera - 1B, DET vs KC ($3,000)

The 37-year-old veteran has been crushing over the past seven days with a .348/.375/.870 slash line and 4 home runs, 12 RBI, and eight runs scored. It's best to target him against RHP but Royals rookie Carlos Hernandez has been awful (5.40 ERA, 10.53 WHIP, 12.53 tERA, 5.4 HR/9) through two starts and shouldn't stay in the game too long. The Tigers are a sneaky, cheap team to stack up today and Miggy is a big piece of that hitting out of the three-hole.

Maikel Franco - 3B, KC vs DET ($4,200)

The other side of the game should see their fair share of offensive fireworks tonight as well. The Royals have a 5.1-run implied total against Matthew Boyd and the Tigers on Saturday, which actually comes in as the fourth-highest total on the slate. It makes sense, though, as Boyd has a slate-worst 6.96 ERA and his 1.51 WHIP, 5.75 FIP, 36.2% GB%, and 64.8% LOB% metrics aren't much pretty either. Boyd shut the Royals out over 5 and 2/3 innings on 9/15 but gave up four earned runs against them in his first start of the year. Franco is one of the Royals who can take advantage and he's in great form, slashing .391/.407/.565 over the last seven days.

Other options: Harold Castro (DET vs KC) $2,400, Alex Bregman (HOU vs TEX) $4,800, Edwin Encarnacion (CHW vs CHC) $3,800

 

DraftKings DFS Outfielders

Kyle Tucker - OF, HOU vs TEX ($4,200)

Tucker has a high ISO (.251) and wOBA (.355) on the season to go along with nine home runs, 42 RBI, 33 runs scored, and seven stolen bases. He hasn't had a scoreless DFS day since 9/12 and has three games of at least 15 DK points thrown in during that span. He should slot in at fifth in the order against Kyle Gibson, who holds a 5.87 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 5.67 FIP, and 1.8 HR/9 this season. Tucker is hitting for a .918 OPS against RHP this season and that number has a great chance of going up by the end of the night.

Randy Arozarena - OF, TB vs PHI ($3,800)

*Checks notes* Hmm...this guy has been really, really good. The Rays' #19 prospect is hitting .288/.368/.678 with seven home runs, 11 RBI, 13 runs scored, and four steals over just 59 at-bats this year. He has put up some huge DFS days recently with outputs of 15, 35, and 24 DK points in three of his last six. He should hit third against Zack Wheeler on Saturday. Wheeler has been above-average (2.67 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 3.22 FIP) but certainly not unhittable (20 hits and eight earned runs allowed over his last three starts), so we can definitely go back to the hotshot rookie tonight.

Raimel Tapia - OF, COL vs ARI ($3,700)

Tapia should slot in as the leadoff hitter and he's in great form, slashing .317/.321/.366 with five RBI, 10 runs scored, and four stolen bases over the last 21 days. He's more of a "set the table" hitter than he is a big-bopper (.074 ISO), but the fantasy points still count. He has put up at least eight DK points in five consecutive contests, and he'll have an opportunity to make it six-in-a-row against a subpar pitcher in Luke Weaver. Weaver has a 6.51 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 4.79 FIP, 5.05 xFIP, and low groundball (34.5%) and high flyball (46.2%) rates.

Other options: George Springer (HOU vs TEX) $5,500, Sam Hilliard (COL vs ARI) $2,400, Bryce Harper (PHI vs TB) $5,600

 

DraftKings DFS Stacks

The White Sox are my favorite stack of the day today against Jon Lester, though the Astros, Dodgers, and Braves are right there with them. The Tigers and Royals are facing off in a game featuring two terrible pitchers, so that game is certainly one to look at for cheap offense on the Saturday slate.

 

*** Use my promo code RING to get 10% off any product on the site! ***

Good luck in your DFS contests and make sure to give me a follow on Twitter @kringstad19!

 

Good luck in your DraftKings contests and make sure to give me a follow on Twitter!



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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks (9/24/20): NBA DFS Lineups

We'll be focusing on the Thursday night Showdown slate on DraftKings, which will feature the Los Angeles Lakers against the upstart and confident Denver Nuggets in game four of the series. Remember, there aren't positions in these contests but rather a "Captain" who scores 1.5x points and five utility slots to pick out. There are a ton of great tournaments on DraftKings tonight so go reserve those entries while you can!

Here are our daily fantasy basketball lineup picks for DraftKings on 9/24/20. You can also check out today's FanDuel lineup picks. Remember to monitor injury news as the slate can completely change before lock.

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DraftKings DFS Captains

LeBron James ($19,200 CPT, $12,800 UTIL)

I slightly prefer James at the Captain slot in tonight's matchup, and it's a combination of projected rostership and actual DFS projections. Jokic and Murray are certain to garner inflated rostership tonight after they went for 45.5 and 61.5 DK points, respectively, and the Nuggets won game three. That makes me love LeBron, who had 69 DK points with a 30/10/11 triple-double and four blocks+steals in the game three loss. He holds a team-high 30.3% usage rate in the playoffs and he's sure to be aggressive in this one after the tough loss. LeBron has a very high probability of finishing with the slate's top DFS score and as such, he should be your highest exposed player in the Captain slot.

Nikola Jokic ($18,000 CPT, $12,000 UTIL)

You'll have to eat some chalk here as the Joker will be very popular, but chalk needs to be eaten on Showdown slates. His 29.6% playoff usage rate leads Murray's by 2.5%, and he has spiked for games of 67, 75, and 58 DK points in his last five games. Jokic was a bit more muted in game three with just 45.5 DK points, but if that's the floor we're looking at, we should be all over Jokic in this spot (he had 31.5 DK points in game one but saw just 25 minutes in the blowout). He's going to continue to be the focal point of the offense and having Jamal Murray cooking only serves to increase Jokic's chances of being the optimal Captain play tonight. The pair is one of the best-correlated duos's in the NBA in terms of DFS production.

Anthony Davis ($18,600 CPT, $12,400 UTIL)

AD was a total bust at his salary with just 31.5 DK points in game three. He shot 9-for-17 (0-for-4 from three) and only had two rebounds, one assist, and a steal to go along with three turnovers. We know he's capable of posting big games but he simply hasn't put up a monster effort in quite some time (last 60+ DK point game was on 8/29 against POR). He has a 28.6% usage rate in the playoffs as he and LeBron are the clear driving forces of the team, and he has popped for 51.75 and 56 DK points in this series already. He's a nice guy to plug in with the other three players likely getting more Captain rostership, but just know that the matchup isn't great against the perimeter-heavy Jokic and AD's ceiling has been elusive and tough to pinpoint.

Other Options: Jamal Murray ($15,900 CPT, $10,600 UTIL)

Large-field GPP Play(s): Jerami Grant ($8,400 CPT, $5,600 UTIL)

DraftKings DFS Utility

Paul Millsap ($6,000 UTIL)

Millsap is cheaper than MPJ, but his minutes are more secure as he played 28 and 31 minutes in the last two games of the series. Game one was a blowout in the Lakers favor and Michael Porter Jr. saw 29 minutes (to Millsap's 21) and had a 35.5 DK point game. The Lakers are favored by six in this one, so my inclination is that the game will stay somewhat close and that should result in Millsap seeing his full run of minutes. He's not a ceiling play by any means as he holds a 16.3% usage rate in the playoffs, but he's capable of providing great value if he can get over the 20 DK point plateau. 

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ($4,600 UTIL)

I know, I know...it's gross. However, you won't find a more consistent source of minutes in this price range (outside of the pitiful Gary Harris) and that's what we're looking for on slates like this. KCP has actually been playing fine, shooting 58.3% (53.3% from three) and averaging 22 DK points per game in this series. He'll see right around 30 minutes and although his usage isn't high (14.2% in the playoffs), he'll be counted on heavily for his defense and for knocking down the open looks from deep that an AD/LeBron-led offense affords him. He's a solid, if uninspiring, utility option on tonight's slate.

Torrey Craig ($2,000 UTIL)

In order to fit in one of those top-four players in the Captain slot, along with one or two other studs, we'll need to select a player like Craig. He's a complete flier, there's no doubt about that, but here's what we do know. He has played 23 and 15 minutes the last two games and scored exactly 11 DK points in each. For the season, Craig held a 12.9% usage rate and a 0.69 fpts/min rate. He's obviously not a heavily involved player, but we have to consider him at his price and with a juicy minutes projection. Projecting him for 19 minutes tonight puts him at 13.11 DK points at his per-minute rate, and any variance above that number will help our DFS lineups immensely. Craig is just one of those players you'll need to take shots on in a one-game slate.

Other Options: Jerami Grant ($5,600 UTIL), Michael Porter Jr. ($6,800 UTIL) if you're projecting Denver to be playing catch-up for most of the game, Kyle Kuzma ($5,200 UTIL), Danny Green ($4,800 UTIL)

Large-field GPP Play(s): Alex Caruso ($4,400 UTIL), Gary Harris ($4,200 UTIL)

 

 

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Good luck in your DFS contests and make sure to give me a follow on Twitter @kringstad19!

 

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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (9/23/20) - MLB DFS Lineups

We have a hefty 14-gamer on Wednesday's DraftKings slate. There are a plethora of top arms to choose from in Bieber, Bauer, Giolito, Grienke, Glasnow, and Maeda, while there are also plenty of offenses to target with a nice mix of terrible and inexperienced pitching at the bottom.

I'll be going through some of the best plays at each position on DraftKings with a GPP/tournament lineup build in mind. That's not to say that these players won't work in cash-game lineups, but we're looking to provide high-upside plays for the most part (it's more fun that way, anyway). As a reminder, it is best practice to stack 3-5 hitters from the same team for DFS purposes, so try to envision how the games will play out and build your lineups from there. Utilizing unique lineup combinations (i.e the nine, one, two, and three hitters) is another great way to differentiate.

In this article, I'll be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for the DraftKings main slate on 9/23/2020. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel and other sports too.  If you have any questions or comments, feel free to contact me on Twitter @kringstad19

 

DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers

Kenta Maeda - SP, MIN vs DET ($9,200)

Maeda is my choice if paying up for an elite arm on today's slate, and it mostly came down to matchups and projecting rostership for tournament builds. Giolito and Bieber are fine, but they're more expensive, they'll be more highly-rostered, and they're pitching against each other. Greinke has alarmingly given up at least three earned runs in six straight starts and I'm not paying up for that, even against the lowly Mariners. Bauer is pitching on three days rest and will likely have his pitch count watched closely, but he's worth a few shots with his 37.4% K% against the Brewers' 26.5% K% (third-highest in the MLB). Game log watchers will see that Maeda went for just 21.7 and 19.9 DK points in his two starts against the Tigers this year, but experienced DFS players look past that and treat each slate with a fresh perspective. I don't know if the baseball community has truly realized how great he has been this year: 2.52 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, 3.06 FIP, 2.76 xFIP, 31.6% K%, 16.6% SwStr%, and a slate-low 22.2% Hard%. The matchup couldn't get much better as the Tigers are projected to score just 3.2 runs and have a league-high 27.3% K% on the year. Fire up Maeda with confidence in all formats.

Kyle Hendricks - SP, CHC vs PIT ($8,300)

Hendricks makes for a great mid-range SP2 on today's slate. He has been great in four September starts, notching three wins, a 1.21 ERA, and at least 22.7 DK points in each outing. He has an impressive 2.93 ERA overall, paired with a 0.99 WHIP, 3.28 FIP, 3.66 xFIP, and an average 21.3% K%. He did rack up 10 and seven strikeouts in his last two starts, so he may have figured something out with his put-away pitches. The key part here is the glorious matchup, as the Pirates have firmly established themselves as a bottom-three offense this season and have a 3.2-run implied total. In addition to pitiful AVG, OBP, SLG, wOBA, wRC+, and wOBA numbers, they currently sport the 10th-highest team strikeout rate at 24.5%. They've struck out the eighth-most times and hold the lowest AVG, OBP, and SLG against RHP. Hendricks should be able to go deep in this one and has the win-equity and strikeout-upside to pay off his price tag in a major way tonight.

Other options: Trevor Bauer (CIN vs MIL) $9,800, Lucas Giolito (CHW vs CLE) $9,500, Tyler Glasnow (TB vs NYM) $9,300, Dean Kremer (BAL vs BOS) $6,700

 

DraftKings DFS Infielders

Josh Donaldson - 3B, MIN vs DET ($4,200)

Donaldson is swinging a hot bat and the Twins are projecting to score 5.4 runs on Casey Mize and company, which makes the Bringer of Rain an attractive option on today's slate. He's hitting .278/.435/.611 with two home runs, four walks, two RBI, and four runs scored over the last seven days. He only has a .234 average on the season and his 7.4% barrel % is way down from his 13% career average, but his OBP (.381), SLG (.494), BB% (17.5%), ISO (.260), and wOBA (.386) are still all on the high side. What we love here is the pitching matchup. Mize is a top prospect but he has simply not been good so far with a 6.08 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 5.98 FIP, and 1.9 HR/9. He allowed five earned runs through seven innings (two starts) against the Twins this year and while Donaldson hasn't faced him yet, he'll have the platoon-advantage and should hit second in the order.

Christian Walker - 1B, ARI vs TEX ($3,300)

We can pick on some Diamondbacks here against Wes Benjamin, a rookie making his first career start after posting a 4.41 ERA over 16 and 1/3 innings of relief this season. Walker has been hot, posting 12 or more DK points in six of his last 12 games played and holding a .318/.348/.364 slash line over the last 14 days. He's not getting the barrel on the ball this year (5.6% barrels/PA), but he has a .355 wOBA and represents one of the only reliable options on a Diamondbacks team that's projected to score 5.4 runs on Wednesday.

Ketel Marte - 2B/OF, ARI vs TEX ($2,900)

Marte should play in his second game coming off an IL stint and he is criminally underpriced relative to his expected production and high place in the batting order. He's hitting .289/.322/.404 this season and has a top 2% strikeout rate at 10.7%. Southpaw Wes Benjamin will make his first career start on Wednesday and Marte has hit much better against LHP during his six-year career. He has a .426/.438/.617 slash line against LHP this season and a .992 OPS against LHP since 2018 (.798 vs RHP since 2018). He went 1-for-4 last night, but I expect Marte to put up a double-digit DK total at a bargain-bin price tonight.

Other options: Alec Bohm (PHI vs WAS) $3,000, Trea Turner (WAS vs PHI) $5,300, Freddie Freeman (ATL vs MIA) $5,100

 

DraftKings DFS Outfielders

Marcell Ozuna - OF, ATL vs MIA ($4,900)

Ozuna has been mashing for what seems like forever now, and yet he's still well outside the top-10 outfielders in terms of salary on DraftKings. He was an optimal play last night as he went 4-for-5 with two homers, a double, and five RBI (42 DK points) against the Marlins, the same team he'll face tonight. Ozuna has been impressive every way you slice it. He's slashing .357/.429/.625 with four homers, 17 RBI, and eight runs scored over the last 14 days. He holds a season slash line of .327/.412/.630 to go along with a .303 ISO, .429 wOBA, and a 54.8% hard-hit rate. Rookie Sixto Sanchez has been really good through six starts (2.75 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 3.31 FIP), but he's coming off a weak outing as he went just four innings and allowed five earned runs against the Nationals. Keep riding Ozuna at this relatively-affordable salary.

Shogo Akiyama - OF, CIN vs MIL ($3,000)

Akiyama is worth a look as a cheap roster-filler who should hit leadoff for a Reds team that's projected for 4.8 runs today. He's having a tough season overall but his .357 OBP remains high and his 14.3% BB% and 19% K% work well at the leadoff spot. He's also in great form, slashing .324/.468/.351 with four RBI, one double, 10 walks, and two steals in the last 14 days. Akiyama hits slightly better against RHP and he'll get a hittable one today in Adrian Houser, who holds a 5.53 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, 4.62 FIP, and a low 17.5% K% on the year. This is a solid spot for Akiyama to exceed value at his price.

Juan Soto - OF, WAS vs PHI ($5,800)

Soto is the fourth-most expensive outfielder on today's slate, but he's the guy I'd want to get to if/when paying up for the position. We all know that Soto is an elite slugger - he holds a .345 average and is leading the entire league in SLG (.683), OBP (.480), wOBA (.469), and wRC+ (194). His ISO (.338) and advanced hitting metrics (see below...my goodness) further confirm his status among the best hitters in the game. He'll get a positive-splits matchup against RHP Zach Eflin, a pitcher that Soto has loved to face as he's 5-for-12 with a double, three RBI, and four walks against in his career. Eflin has good-not-great metrics (4.28 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 3.36 FIP) and Soto has an above-average chance at a big game tonight.

Other options: George Springer (HOU vs SEA) $4,600, Jay Bruce (PHI vs WAS) $2,300, Jorge Soler (KC vs STL) $2,700

 

DraftKings DFS Stacks

The Yankees are the top stack as they have the highest implied total (6.4 runs) and are facing arguably the worst pitcher on the slate in Robbie Ray (7.51 ERA, 1.94 WHIP, 6.93 FIP). However, they are really expensive and with at least five ace-type pitchers on the slate, they'll be tough to get to. More affordable stacks that look great today include the Twins (5.5 implied runs), Dodgers (5.1), and Phillies (5.2). The Giants (5.3) and Diamondbacks (5.2) are the two sneaky ultra-cheap stacks to consider today.

*** Use my promo code RING to get 10% off any product on the site! ***

Good luck in your DFS contests and make sure to give me a follow on Twitter @kringstad19!

 

Good luck in your DraftKings contests and make sure to give me a follow on Twitter!



Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy baseball articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:


MLB DFS News and Injury Alerts

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Top MLB DFS Tournament Stacks and Avoids for 9/20/20 (Premium Content)


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MLB DFS Cheat Sheet and Lineup Picks for 9/20/20 (Premium Content)


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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks (9/17/20 - 9/18/20): NBA DFS Lineups

We have our Western Conference Finals matchup set with the Denver Nuggets convincingly knocking off the distraught Los Angeles Clippers in game seven on Tuesday night. We'll be focusing on the Thursday-Friday slate on DraftKings, which includes the Heat/Celtics game tonight and the Nuggets/Lakers game on Friday.

Here are our daily fantasy basketball lineup picks for DraftKings on 9/17/20 - 9/18/20. You can also check out today's FanDuel lineup picks. Remember to monitor injury news as the slate can completely change before lock.

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DraftKings DFS Guards

Goran Dragic - PG ($7,400)

The Dragon's price is still more than reasonable despite him having a great series against the Bucks and following that up with a 46.75 DK point outing in the game one overtime win over the Celtics. He leads the team with a 26.1% usage rate and 27.1% of the team's points made in the playoffs as he has taken charge of this resurgent Heat squad. His matchup against Boston, as shown in game one, is a positive one (BOS is 14th in DvA vs PG's) as Kemba and Wanamaker showed very little ability in preventing Goran from penetrating the paint. Fire him up as his salary is slowly adjusting but is still far too low given his high floor and upside.

Jamal Murray - PG/SG ($9,000)

It seems like his production is unsustainable and that he's bound to fall off at some point, but all he does is keep exceeding expectations during this remarkable Nuggets run. His salary is now at $9,000, which means he has to hit 45 DK points to reach 5x value. He has exceeded that total in two of his last three and five of his last 10, with three games of at least 55 DK points thrown in for good measure. His usage rate is up by 2.7% in the playoffs and he has taken at least 25 shots in six of his last 10 games. The Lakers possess elite interior defense and both Danny Green and KCP have positive defensive ratings in the playoffs, but Murray's current usage and form in undeniable and they Nuggets will need to lean on both him and Jokic in order to keep this one close.

Gary Harris - SG ($4,800)

Harris is now fully back and getting huge minutes on a nightly basis for the Nuggets, and it's expected that he'll get significant playing time in the Lakers series as well. He has taken 11 shots and played at least 37 minutes in his last two games, going for 27.5 and 31.5 DK points in those contests. He doesn't provide much scoring punch and has just a 14.9% usage rate in the playoffs, but his usage rate has jumped to third on the team (17.8%) in the last two games and he has contributed solid peripheral stats lately as well. He's a great budget-saver with his minute projection and recent form.

Other Options: Marcus Smart ($6,900), Tyler Herro ($5,800), Jaylen Brown ($7,700)

Large-field GPP Play(s): Brad Wanamaker ($3,500), Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ($3,500), Danny Green ($3,900)

DraftKings DFS Forwards

Anthony Davis - PF/C ($10,400)

AD feels underpriced here as he has exceeded what would be 5x value in the five previous games prior to the game five blowout win over Houston. He hasn't quite spiked for the huge 70+ DK point outings that we're used to seeing from him, but he did pop for 63.75 and 65.25 DK points in the Portland series. Unsurprisingly, he's a close second to LeBron in playoff usage rate at 28%, with the next closest being Rajon Rondo and Kyle Kuzma. Davis has loved playing Denver this year as he averaged 29.3 points, 9.3 rebounds, 2.3 assists, 1.3 steals, and 2.3 blocks over four games against them in the regular season. He should eat again on Friday night and he's an easy buy at his salary, especially relative to Lebron's. 

Jayson Tatum - SF/PF ($9,800)

Tatum has turned it up a few notches as of late as he has poured in at least 60.5 DK points in his last three games, including a monster 67-point effort in game one against the Heat. He has averaged 29.3 points, 13.3 rebounds, seven assists, 1.7 steals, and two blocks per game in those three contests. He has clearly taken the lead dog role for this squad and ranks first on the team in the playoffs in usage rate at 27.9%. He has been gobbling up a ton of rebounds since the switch over to Daniel Theis as the small-ball center, and there's no reason to think that his string of DFS success won't continue. There's definitely merit to paying up for two (or even three) bigs on this two-game slate.

Jae Crowder - PF ($6,000)

Crowder is getting reliable minutes and he has been putting up very consistent DFS outputs as well. He has at least 31 minutes and at least 31 DK points in each of his last six games - now that's consistency. He'll need 30 DK points to reach 5x value in this game, which is exactly what he has been giving us. Boston represents a tough matchup defensively, but Crowder didn't have a problem in game one as he made 7-of-11 shots (5-of-9 from three) and put up 37.25 DK points over 39 minutes. He's a great mid-range option on this slate.

Other Options: LeBron James ($11,200), Daniel Theis ($5,300), Jerami Grant ($4,500)

Large-field GPP Play(s): Markieff Morris ($3,700)

 

DraftKings DFS Centers

Nikola Jokic - C ($10,500)

Many have known for a few years now, but The Joker has officially introduced himself to the world with his incredible finish to knock off the Clippers. He scored just 16 points in game seven...and still put up 75 DK points. He added 22 rebounds, 13 assists, three blocks, and two steals in what was an instrumental effort from the big man. He hasn't dipped below 51.75 DK points in his last six games, and he's the rare case of a center leading his team in playoff usage rate at 29.4%. The Lakers were able to easily diminish Nurkic and Whiteside in the first round, but the Rockets didn't play anyone over 6'7". They do have Anthony Davis manning the middle and ranked well against centers in the regular season, but Jokic's ability to stretch the floor could give the team trouble. Joker is definitely in play as a pay-up option with a huge ceiling. 

Other Options: Bam Adebayo ($8,300), Daniel Theis ($5,300), Paul Millsap ($4,400)

Large-field GPP Play(s): Robert Williams ($3,200) #TimeLord

 

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Good luck in your DFS contests and make sure to give me a follow on Twitter @kringstad19!

 

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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (9/16/20) - MLB DFS Lineups

It's a nine-game slate tonight and we have four aces ready to take the mound, all of which have average to above-average matchups. It gets dicey at pitcher after the top tier, though, so making the right selection at SP2 will be a difficult yet crucial endeavor. There are plenty of gas-can pitchers for offenses to take advantage of tonight and we have a handful of big boppers to prioritize as one-offs or within team stacks.

I'll be going through some of the best plays at each position on DraftKings with a GPP/tournament lineup build in mind. That's not to say that these players won't work in cash-game lineups, but we're looking to provide high-upside plays for the most part (it's more fun that way, anyway). As a reminder, it is best practice to stack 3-5 hitters from the same team for DFS purposes, so try to envision how the games will play out and build your lineups from there. Utilizing unique lineup combinations (i.e the nine, one, two, and three hitters) is another great way to differentiate.

In this article, I'll be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for the DraftKings main slate on 9/16/2020. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel and other sports too.  If you have any questions or comments, feel free to contact me on Twitter @kringstad19

 

DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers

Jacob deGrom - SP, NYM vs PHI ($10,400)

deGrom is the top pitcher to pay up for tonight, with all due respect to Gerrit Cole and Lucas Giolito. deGrom has the best numbers on the slate with a 1.67 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, 1.95 FIP, and a 2.43 xFIP. He tops the slate in both strikeout rate (37.8%) and SwStr% (21.2%). The Phillies have a top-tier offense and don't strike out very often, but they have just the 15th-highest OPS against RHP and they're projected to score just 3.3 runs at home today. The perennial Cy Young contender actually faced the Phillies on 9/6 and went seven innings, allowing three hits and one earned run while striking out 12 in the outing (38.8 DK points). Cole looks great as he has a similarly-positive matchup and may get more run support, but he clearly falls short to deGrom when it comes to strikeout upside. deGrom is rocking an otherwordly 44% K% across his last four starts.

Dylan Bundy - SP, LAA vs ARI ($9,100)

If you don't want to pay all the way up for one of the top three studs, or if you want to be contrarian by stacking to two high-priced SP's, Bundy is the pick for you today. Bundy's price dropped by $700 despite him throwing a season-high 12 strikeouts and recording 37.5 DK points in his last start (@TEX). Prior to that, he had four subpar starts in a row after his salary rose to ace-like levels, but he still has incredible numbers on the season. He holds a 2.48 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 2.66 FIP, and a great 29.3% K%. He induces a ton of soft contact (18.8%) and his matchup against the Arizona Diamondbacks is a juicy one. Though they don't strike out a ton, they're a bottom-five offense by most metrics and are currently projected to score just 3.8 runs tonight.

Other options: Gerrit Cole (NYY vs PHI) $9,900, Brady Singer (KC vs DET) $6,200, Lance McCullers Jr. (HOU vs TEX) $7,500

 

DraftKings DFS Infielders

Anthony Rendon - 3B, LAA vs ARI ($5,800)

Rendon's price jumped despite him putting up just 9 DK points last night, but we have to like the Angels' top hitters again in this spot as they have a 5.2 implied total against Caleb Smith and the Diamondbacks bullpen. Smith, formerly of the Marlins, will be making just his third start of the year. He was solid last season and hasn't been really tested this season as he went just three innings in both starts, though he has given up two homers despite the limited action. This is more of a bet on Rendon's upside as he's hitting the ball hard and due for a big game.

Luke Voit - 1B, NYY vs PHI ($5,000)

Voit, who's having a great season overall, has been crushing the ball lately as he's hitting .320/.308/.800 with four home runs, 13 RBI, and seven runs scored over the last seven days. He has had two separate games with two longballs and at least 37 DK points in that span as he's now the MLB leader with 18 homers on the season. He's a neutral-splits hitter but his impressive .366 ISO against RHP comes in at 10th in MLB this season (min. 70 AB's). He'll face a hittable righty in Tanner Roark, who has a 5.60 ERA and has allowed 10 home runs over his last seven starts (and multiple homers in three of his last four starts).

Jose Altuve - 2B, HOU vs TEX ($3,400)

Altuve went hitless in his return from the IL on Tuesday, and his price has now dipped below Josh Rojas in the DK 2B pool. It's easy to see why as Altuve is hitting .219/.283/.315 with just three home runs, 12 RBI, 24 runs scored, and two stolen bases in 2020. However, we know what the former MVP is capable of when he's clicking, and he's worth going back to the well on as he'll be hitting second in a packed lineup that should demolish Kyle Gibson. Gibson has allowed 24 earned runs in his last five starts as he holds near-slate-worst rates in WHIP (1.66), K% (18.4%), HR/FB% (32.4%), and Hard% (44.5%).

Other options: Ozzie Albies (ATL vs BAL) $4,500, Alex Bregman (HOU vs TEX) $4,800, Renato Nunez (BAL vs ATL) $3,700

 

DraftKings DFS Outfielders

Michael Brantley - OF, HOU vs TEX ($3,300)

Brantley is (always) underpriced and, as mentioned above, Kyle Gibson is a pitcher to target on Wednesday. He's hitting .305/.373/.516 with a .211 ISO and .384 wOBA, and he also walks (9.9% BB%) and doesn't strike out much (15.5% K%). He'll have the platoon advantage over Gibson and he's a much better hitter against RHP, slashing .325/.284/.532 with 36 of his 43 homers against righties since 2018.

Ryan Mountcastle - OF, BAL vs ATL ($3,300)

The rookie slugger is hitting .350/.411/.588 with five homers, 18 RBI, and 11 runs scored over his first 80 at-bats in the big leagues. Mountcastle (what a name) will hit third against the southpaw on Wednesday and he comes in at a cheap salary on Draft Kings. He gets the platoon advantage over the Braves starter Cole Hamels, who's making his first start of the year and will only throw three or four innings. There will be plenty of scoring and rostership on the Braves side of this matchup - get some leverage on the field by getting to a few Orioles.

Michael Conforto - OF, NYM vs PHI ($4,900)

Conforto went 1-for-4 with three strikeouts last night as he had his third straight below-value DFS outing. However, the man is hitting .341/.427/.559 with a .218 ISO and .433 wOBA this year. His xBA, wOBA, and xWOBA are all in top 10% of the MLB. Opposing pitcher Zack Wheeler is having a great season (2.47 ERA, 3.11 FIP), but he holds a low 17.7% K% and gives up a fair amount of line drives (26.8% LD%). Conforto will also have the platoon advantage in this matchup - he had a .926 ISO and 27 of his 33 homers against RHP last season.

Other options: Mike Trout (LAA vs ARI) $6,300, George Springer (hOU vs TEX) $4,400, Hunter Dozier (KCR vs DET) $4,000, Mike Tauchman (NYY vs TOR) $2,800

 

DraftKings DFS Stacks

The Braves come in as the top stack of the night with their golden matchup against Keegan Akin, who got rocked by the Yankees in his last start. The Yankees (vs Roark) and Angels (vs Caleb Smith) are also intriguing, while the Astros (vs. Gibson) and White Sox (vs Gibson) are also firmly in play. The sneaky stack of the night belongs to the Royals (vs Skubal).

 

Good luck in your DraftKings contests and make sure to give me a follow on Twitter!



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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (9/15/20) - MLB DFS Lineups

We have a sizeable 12-game slate on DraftKings as the MLB season continues to roll on after the madness of the first NFL weekend has been subdued. There are a few elite pitching options today to go along with a handful of appealing stack options, while we have another Coors Field game coming in with the slate's highest projected total.

I'll be going through some of the best plays at each position on DraftKings with a GPP/tournament lineup build in mind. That's not to say that these players won't work in cash-game lineups, but we're looking to provide high-upside plays for the most part (it's more fun that way, anyway). As a reminder, it is best practice to stack 3-5 hitters from the same team for DFS purposes, so try to envision how the games will play out and build your lineups from there. Utilizing unique lineup combinations (i.e the nine, one, two, and three hitters) is another great way to differentiate.

In this article, I'll be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for the DraftKings main slate on 9/15/2020. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel and other sports too.  If you have any questions or comments, feel free to contact me on Twitter @kringstad19

 

DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers

Jack Flaherty - SP, STL vs MIL ($9,400)

Flaherty hasn't been Cy Young-level spectacular like he was for the second half of last season, but he's still having a really solid season with a 3.08 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 3.87 FIP, and 3.58 xFIP through six starts. He also has a useful 25% strikeout rate and 13.5% SwStr% to go along with the second-lowest flyball rate on tonight's slate. Flaherty's slider, which he throws 29.5% of the time, has been particularly effective with a .157 xBA and a 45.8% Whiff%. He hasn't shown a huge ceiling, but he is consistent as he has notched at least 15.7 DK points in 4-of-6 starts this season. What makes Flaherty extra appealing as a DFS option is the boost that the Milwaukee offense should provide to his strikeout totals and chances at a win. The Brewers rank 26th in wOBA, 25th in wRC+, 28th in batting average, 22nd in ISO, and second in strikeout rate (26.3%). They have the second-lowest OPS and the third-highest strikeout rate against RHP and come in with the slate's lowest projected total at just 3.7 runs.  Flaherty should mop up tonight and you can get him at just the fourth-highest salary on DraftKings.

 

Deivi Garcia - NYY vs TOR ($6,800)

The 21-year-old top prospect (No. 3) for the Yankees has had mixed results through three starts in the bigs. He went for 23.1 DK points in his first start on 8/30 and he threw seven innings with six strikeouts for 24.8 DK points against the Blue Jays his last time on the mound. He mixed in a 9.7 DK-point outing to the Orioles in them middle, but he also has six strikeouts in each outing and holds impressive metrics through three starts with a 3.06 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 3.13 FIP, a slate-leading 2.56 tERA, and a 25.7% K%. He's also doing a great job at limiting hard contact (28.6% Hard%) as his curveball and fastball have much more movement than the MLB league average. Garcia has shown elite strikeout ability (14.72 K/9 in Double-A in 2019) in the last few years in the minors. He has been stretched out for 95 pitches in his last two starts and should be able to go deep against the Blue Jays, who have a decent offense but a low four-run projected total tonight.

Other options: Jose Urquidy (HOU vs TEX) $6,600, Yu Darvish (CHC vs CLE) $11,300

 

DraftKings DFS Infielders

Anthony Rendon - 3B, LAA vs ARI ($5,400)

This is one of those "it's obvious but he needs to be recommended" deals. Rendon is a beast (.289/.433/510, .221 ISO, .413 wOBA) and Madison Bumgarner has been atrocious this season with a 7.52 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, 9.04 FIP, 3.8 HR/9, and a 45.7% Hard%. The southpaw has expectedly been even worse against RHB as he has allowed a .291 average and 10 of his 11 home runs from that side of the plate. Rendon is 5-for-12 against MadBum in his career and the Angels are projected to score 5.8 runs. He's a core play for me today.

Jake Lamb - 1B, OAK vs COL ($2,500)

Talk about a salary-saver. If Lamb gets the nod at third base tonight, he is severely underpriced given the extremely positive game environment at Coors Field. He was having a terrible season in Arizona prior to being DFA'd last week, but he got scooped up by the contending A's as they scramble to replace star Matt Chapman. The only thing we can point to with Lamb is that he's hitting the ball hard as he has a 58.6% Hard Hit % through 47 at-bats. He hit his first homer of the year in a great debut for his new squad that included a double and two runs scored.

Dylan Moore - 2B/OF, SEA vs SFG ($3,800)

Moore has been a surprisingly-solid everyday starter for the Mariners this season. He's slashing .265/.353/.513 with seven homers, 15 RBI, and 23 runs scored. He has a .248 ISO, .388 wOBA, and he's 11-for-16 in stolen bases attempts. He's hitting just .160/.300/.320 over the last seven days, but he has thrown in three steals and two home runs in that span. He'll get the platoon-advantage over Tyler Anderson, who has been subpar (4.91 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 6.00 xFIP) but hasn't given up much power despite a low 26.9% GB% and high 46.2% FB%. Moore is just too cheap at the 2B position and hitting leadoff against this pitcher.

Other options: Scott Kingery (PHI vs NYM) $2,100, Adalberto Mondesi (KC vs DET) $3,600, Matt Olson (OAK vs COL) $5,300

 

DraftKings DFS Outfielders

Kole Calhoun - OF, ARI vs LAA ($3,400)

Everyone and their mother will be attacking Angels bats against Madison Bumgarner, and rightfully so. The other side of this matchup will likely be overlooked, though, and that may be a mistake. The Diamondbacks have been a bottom-five offense all season and have been even worse in September with a league-worst .272 wOBA, 66 wRC+, and .205 batting average. It may not be wise to stack them up (aside from large-pool GPP's), but it's hard to not like individual hitters against Julio Teheran and his 8.46 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 6.68 FIP, 2.4 HR/9, and slate-worst 54.4% LOB%. Calhoun has bad surface numbers, but he hits much better against RHP and leads the team with a .237 ISO.

George Springer - OF, HOU vs TEX ($4,600)

This is a great price for Springer, at least relative to the rest of the big-bopper OF's on tonight's slate. Springer should lead off for the 'Stros against the inexperienced and unproven Kyle Cody. Cody spent 2016-2018 in the Rookie and A leagues and has made a few relief appearances and two starts for the Rangers, though they limited him to just three innings in both starts. He holds a tidy 1.69 ERA, but his 1.69 WHIP, 4.13 FIP, 5.96 xFIP, and 6.62 tERA tell a much different story. His 42.8% Hard% is also up there with the highest on the slate. Springer has been cooking with at least 12 DK points in three of his last four games and .302/.353/.619 with five homers over the last 21 days.

Michael Conforto - OF, NYM vs PHI ($4,800)

Conforto is another stud hitter who isn't priced like one on tonight's slate. He has been one of the best hitters in the league as of late, going .404/.446/.731 with four homers, 14 RBI, and 14 runs scored over the last 14 days. He has separate games of 31, 17, 21, 18, and 35 DK points during that span. He has had an elite season overall as he's slashing .343/.428/.566 with a .223 ISO and .433 wOBA. He hits much better against RHP and he'll get that advantage against seasoned vet Jake Arrieta, who has a 5.54 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, and a low 6.8% SwStr%.

Other options: Mike Trout (LAA vs ARI) $5,900, Cedric Mullins (BAL vs ATL) $2,500, Matt Kemp (COL vs OAK) $3,700

 

DraftKings DFS Stacks

Oakland is the top stack of the night as they have the highest projected total (6.6), but they'll be very popular since they're playing in Coors and it's not like Antonio Senzatela has been a dumpster fire this year (3.69 ERA, 4.69 FIP). Getting to intriguing stacks like the Braves (vs. Eshelman), Astros (vs. Cody), or Angels (vs. MadBum) is a good idea in all formats. Sneaky stacks include the Royals (vs. Boyd), Giants (vs. Newsome), and even the Diamondbacks (vs. Teheran) if you're feeling frisky.

 

Good luck in your DraftKings contests and make sure to give me a follow on Twitter!



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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (9/12/20) - MLB DFS Lineups

We have an eight-game slate tonight on DraftKings after the SF/SD series was postponed due to a positive COVID-19 case in the Giants organization. Gallen is the top arm on the slate and gets a good matchup against the Mariners, but we'll need to find a few cheap SP2 options if we're going to get  to the Angels and Rockies in Coors Field.

I'll be going through some of the best plays at each position on DraftKings with a GPP/tournament lineup build in mind. That's not to say that these players won't work in cash-game lineups, but we're looking to provide high-upside plays for the most part (it's more fun that way, anyway). As a reminder, it is best practice to stack 3-5 hitters from the same team for DFS purposes, so try to envision how the games will play out and build your lineups from there. Utilizing unique lineup combinations (i.e the nine, one, two, and three hitters) is another great way to differentiate.

In this article, I'll be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for the DraftKings main slate on 9/12/2020. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel and other sports too.  If you have any questions or comments, feel free to contact me on Twitter @kringstad19

 

DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers

Zac Gallen - SP, ARI vs SEA ($9,400)

Gallen is worth the price of admission as the only pitcher you're going to want to pay all the way up for on tonight's slate. He has been mostly lights-out since coming over from the Marlins late last season and he has a 2.29 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, 3.42 FIP, 3.61 xFIP, and a slate-leading 27.9% K% in 2020. He's second on the slate with a .189 batting average against and he gives up with the least hard contact among today's pitchers at 33.1%. The Mariners rank 26th in wOBA, 22nd in wRC+, and 24th in ISO. They're just 16th in strikeout rate at 23.4%, but Gallen can be trusted at SP1 with the Mariners holding a very-low 3.6 run total.

 

Dakota Hudson - SP, STL vs ARI ($8,300)

Hudson has great season-long numbers and gets to face an opponent he has dominated in two starts already this year in the Reds. He went seven innings and allowed one earned run with seven strikeouts on 8/31, and he went 4 and 2/3 innings and allowed just one hit with six strikeouts on 8/21. On the season, Hudson has a 3.19 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 3.89 xFIP, and a decent 22.2% K%. He's a groundball-heavy pitcher as he comes in at third on the slate at 58.3% GB%. The Reds currently rank 23rd in wOBA, 25th in wRC+, and have the eighth-highest strikeout rate in the league at 24.2%. They're projected for just 3.8 runs on the road. Fire up Hudson as a potentially-contrarian SP2 option.

Other options: Tejay Antone (CIN vs STL) $6,900, Kyle Hendricks (CHC vs MIL) $8,700, Justus Sheffield (SEA vs ARI) $7,700

 

DraftKings DFS Infielders

Yoan Moncada - 3B, CHW vs DET ($5,200)

Fulmer hasn't made it past the third inning in any start this season and has only really been successful in one outing this season (9/1 vs Milwaukee). The White Sox are projected to score the most non-Coors runs this evening, and Moncada figures to be a prominent piece of the offense once again. Moncada will have the platoon-advantage as a switch-hitter and he'll hit on his strong side against Fulmer (.110 higher OPS against RHP since 2018).

Adalberto Mondesi - SS, KC vs PIT ($2,700)

Mondesi has a 10-game hitting streak coming into tonight's game and has posted consecutive games of 27 and 32 DK points. He has three homers in his last five games, which isn't something we can coun on with him, but he's getting on base and his stolen base attempts have increased drastically as a result. He is 7-for-8 in stolen base opportunities in his last eight games. We have to like his chances to continue that success tonight against Trevor Williams, who holds a 5.80 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, and 6.29 tERA. He's also allowing 2.2 HR/9 and a .284 batting average against.

Anthony Rendon - 3B, LAA vs COL ($5,400)

Rendon is (quietly) having a great season at the plate, slashing .296/.435/.528 with eight homers, 25 RBI, and 23 runs scored on the season. He holds a .232 ISO, .419 wOBA, and is very patient at the plate with a 17.5% BB% (top 2% in the MLB).  He's also in good form, posting at least 14 DK points in three of his last six games and a .333/.462/.667 slash line in the last seven days. The Angels are projecting to put up a bunch of runs tonight as they're facing Kyle Freeland in the top park for offensive production, Coors Field.

Other options: Jose Abreu (CHW vs DET) $5,300, Ryan McMahon (COL vs LAA) $3,700, Miguel Cabrera (DET vs CHW) $3,200

 

DraftKings DFS Outfielders

Eloy Jimenez - OF, CHW vs DET ($5,200)

As mentioned above, you're going to want some White Sox hitters against Michael Fulmer tonight. Jimenez is having a great season at the plate, slashing .285/.320/.564 with 12 homers, 33 RBI, and 22 runs scored on the year. He's also hitting for a .279 ISO, .371 wOBA, 17.7% barrel %, 92.8 MPH average exit velocity, and a 46.3% hard-hit rate (top 1% in the MLB). He's a reverse-splits hitter as he holds a .865 OPS against RHP since 2018 (compared to .785 against LHP since 2018).

Jo Adell - OF, LAA vs COL ($2,700)

The 21-year-old (21 years old?!?!) hot-shot prospect has been awful this season as he is having a tough time adjusting the big-league pitching. However, his performance has pushed him down to the ultra-bargain-bin territory, and he's a player to consider with the game environment and 5.8-run projected total for the Angels tonight. He doesn't need to do much to provide value here - getting on base and scoring a run will get the job done. The Angels are facing Kyle Freeland, who has mixed in some decent starts in with some really, really bad performances. He has a 3.60 ERA but a weak 5.95 tERA, and he's certainly not the most homer-averse pitcher in the world (1.1 HR/9 and 17.1% HR/FB)

Charlie Blackmon - OF, COL vs LAA ($5,600)

Blackmon had a monster performance last night as he sent everybody home with a walk-off grand slam to win the game. The veteran is slashing an insane .331/.383/.506 with six homers, 35 RBI, and 27 runs scored in a very Coors-like line, and obviously he has been even better at home (.353/.287/.529). They're at home again, and Angels pitcher Jaime Barria is absolutely a pitcher to target offenses against. He holds a 3.86 ERA, but his 4.53 FIP, 4.88 xFIP, 5.41 SIERA, and 5.64 tERA (seventh-worst on the slate) indicate that he's pitching above his head. He also holds slate-worst ranks with a 20.8% GB% and a 58.3% FB%, which are very key metrics to attack when deciding if the Colorado bats are worth the pay-up. Spoiler alert = they are.

Other options: Cody Bellinger (LAD vs HOU) $5,800, Hunter Dozier (KC vs PIT) $3,700, Matt Kemp (COL vs LAA) $3,500, Mike Trout (LAA vs COL) $6,000

 

DraftKings DFS Stacks

The top stacks to target tonight are the Rockies, Angels, and White Sox. Sneaky stacks include the Tigers (against Reynaldo Lopez) and the Royals (against Trevor Williams).

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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks (9/10/20): NBA DFS Lineups

Wednesday night was an entertaining double dosage of playoff goodness. The Raptors forced a game seven against the Celtics by beating them by three points and it took two overtimes to find a winner. Kawhi had a classic-Kawhi line of 30/11/9/4/2 as the Clippers pushed the Nuggets to the brink of elimination with a 3-1 lead.

We have just one game on the slate today with the Lakers/Rockets game, meaning only Showdown contests are available on DraftKings. We will need to determine who makes sense as the Caption (1.5x points) pick, and who we should be considered as options for the final five Utility roster spots.

Here are our daily fantasy basketball lineup picks for DraftKings on 9/10/20. You can also check out today's FanDuel lineup picks. Remember to monitor injury news as the slate can completely change before lock.

 

Los Angeles Lakers (-5) (112 total)

Anthony Davis - PF/C, ($11,600)

Davis has been extremely consistent as of late as he has exceeded 51 DK points in eight of his last nine games played. He's coming off a 26/15/6 line (55.25 DK points) in game three where he shot 9-for-13 from the field and recorded four turnovers and no blocks. There's no reason to expect The Brow's numbers to decline in game four as the Rockets didn't sign Chris Anderson overnight, so they're still working with Covington and Tucker (both small-ball PF's) attempting to defend him. One has to predict that Davis won't have consecutive games with zero blocks since he averaged 2.2 blocks/game this year, and he will most likely take more than 13 shots tonight. He's a core play today and should be strongly considered for the Captain slot on this slate.

LeBron James - PG/SF ($12,800)

LeBron comes in next but I have some hesitancy rostering him today with his price being where it is. He has the highest salary on the slate at $400 more than Harden and a full $1,200 more than A.D. You'll have to do you own assessment as to whether or not you think he will continue to spike for at least 63.25 DK points, which he has pulled off in three of his last four (and four of his last six) games. He very, very rarely misses reaching value in games that aren't blowouts. You'll get no argument from me if you want to use him in your Captain slot, but I'll be looking at the other three studs as priorities before going to James at his salary. 

Rajon Rondo - PG ($5,200)

Rondo has returned to a seemingly-steady 30-ish minute role and he has had great success, going for 22.75, 37.25, and 39 DK points this series. He's coming off a 21/2/9/1 line in game three and looks like a solid option on today's Showdown slate. He's very affordable and with his current form and season-long 21.9% usage rate (0.88 fpts/min), he will be a top priority in my lineups today.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope - SG/SF ($3,600)

Man, has it been brutal for KCP. He's out there for his defensive abilities but he's supposed to be able to knock down open shots that a LeBron/Davis-led offense provides, but he has just been shooting bricks all series. He's shooting 28.6% from the field and 30.8% from three through three games, and his best fantasy game consisted of just 15 DK points in game three. He gets upper-20's/mid-30's minutes every game, which is what we want to attack on a Showdown slate with expectedly-thin value. He may or may not provide value here, but he looks to be the best option within his salary range.

Longshot GPP play(s): Alex Caruso, Markieff Morris, Danny Green

Houston Rockets (+5) (107 total)

Russell Westbrook - PG, ($10,000)

Westbrook has had solid shooting nights in four of his last five games, and he's an exciting DFS player to roster when that is the case. He shot 13-for-24 (54.2%) and finished with a 30/8/6/1/2 line in game three. He finally limited his turnovers a bit as well and finished with 54.5 DK points, his highest output since 7/31. The Lakers rank 13th in DvA and 23rd in DEFF against PG's this season as the Caruso/Rondo combo have very little chance of successfully defending him one-on-one. He's a great GPP option and can slide in as a contrarian Captain pick as well.

James Harden - SG, ($12,400)

Harden has been inching closer to putting up one of his true "ceiling" games recently, as he just put up 33/9/9 in a 58.75 DK point effort in game three. He has scored 30 or more real-life points in six of his last eight games and has been very efficient from the field. He's also putting up plenty of peripherals as he continues to lead the team in usage rate (37%) and fpts/min (1.60). The Lakers rank 13th in DvA and 21st in DEFF to SG's this season. No one can really guard James Harden, but the KCP/Danny Green combo is certainly not one to make us hesitate to click on Harden tonight.

Jeff Green - C, ($4,600)

One interesting strategy to consider on Showdown slates is being very unique with your Captain pick. The masses will select James, Davis, Westbrook, or Harden, but their huge salaries make it nearly impossible to fit three of the studs in one lineup. Picking a guy like Jeff Green (who got 35 minutes last game and is at 0.76 fpts/min this season) in the Captain spot allows you to get three studs in the lineup (ex. you can comfortably fit Harden, Davis, and Westbrook in a lineup with Green in the Captain slot). He's still a great value as a utility man on this slate.

Note: Green becomes close to an auto-play if Robert Covington (questionable) is inactive.

Eric Gordon - SG/SF ($6,800)

Gordon has seen steady minutes in the mid-to-upper 30's in the playoffs, and that hasn't changed with the return of a full-go Westbrook. His usage rate and shot attempts have decreased since Westy's return, but that was to be expected. He had still put up three straight games of at least 31.75 DK points prior to a dud in game three, and he should be able to get back on track tonight as long as he gets back to his normal amount of shot attempts and threes made tonight. He may also be slightly contrarian coming off the one bad game, which is very notable on a one-game slate where we need to find leverage somewhere.

Longshot GPP play(s): Austin Rivers, Ben McLemore

 

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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (9/9/20) - MLB DFS Lineups

We have a nice, tidy nine-game slate on tap for Wednesday on DraftKings. There are three elite arms to decipher at the top in Darvish, Bauer, and Kershaw, while we also have a few interesting arms to consider in the mid-to-low range. There are also plenty of options when in comes to offenses set up for success with their respective matchups on tonight's slate.

I'll be going through some of the best plays at each position on DraftKings with a GPP/tournament lineup build in mind. That's not to say that these players won't work in cash-game lineups, but we're looking to provide high-upside plays for the most part (it's more fun that way, anyway). As a reminder, it is best practice to stack 3-5 hitters from the same team for DFS purposes, so try to envision how the games will play out and build your lineups from there. Utilizing unique lineup combinations (i.e the nine, one, two, and three hitters) is another great way to differentiate.

In this article, I'll be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for the DraftKings main slate on 9/9/2020. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel and other sports too.  If you have any questions or comments, feel free to contact me on Twitter @kringstad19

 

DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers

Yu Darvish - SP, CHC vs CIN ($11,500)

Darvish is having an incredible season that has him squarely in the NL Cy Young conversation, and he's the pitcher I'm making sure to get to as my pay-up option on tonight's slate. He's 7-1 with a 1.44 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 2.01 FIP, and 2.60 xFIP on the season. He holds an elite 33% strikeout rate and if you need any more reassurance that he's worth the hefty salary, check out the advanced metrics sliders in the image below. Lastly, his matchup against the Reds is a good one as they rank in the bottom-10 in wOBA, wRC+, and SLG while coming in with the 10th-highest strikeout rate in the MLB. Fire up Darvish as he has great win odds and the highest ceiling on the slate.

Dane Dunning - SP, CWS vs COL ($6,500)

If you have the salary to spare, getting to Zach Davies against the Rockies in Petco is a safer play. Sometimes you have to risk it for the biscuit in fantasy, though. Dunning is ultra-cheap and works great paired with Darvish or Kershaw as an SP2. He's making his fourth start of the year and though he has had mixed results and hasn't made it past the fifth inning, he has some impressive metrics that we can use a reason to get to him against the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates. He holds a 3.86 ERA, 2.79 FIP, 3.12 xFIP, and a great 30.5% strikeout rate. His advanced metrics are somewhat eye-popping (in a small 14 inning sample size), highlighted by a 97th percentile Whiff%. The Pirates are duking it out with the Rangers in the battle for the most putrid offense in the league, and they come in at 9th in team strikeout rate and have a low 3.9 run total for this game.

Other options: Clayton Kershaw (LAD vs ARI) $10,500, Zach Davies (SDP vs COL) $8,700, Trevor Bauer (CIN vs CHC) $10,900

 

DraftKings DFS Infielders

Brandon Belt -  1B, SFG vs SEA ($3,400)

Belt has been on fire lately as he's slashing .469/.574/.898 with four homers, seven doubles, a triple, 13 RBI, and 12 runs scored over the last 21 days. He has had some monster games mixed in during that time frame, including a two-homer, 44 DK point outing on 8/25. He's in the 98th percentile or better in Barrel %, xSLG, wOBA, xwOBA, and xwOBACON and he's in the 94th percentile with a 51.4% hard-hit rate. That'll work against Nick Margevicius, who has decent surface numbers but holds the slate's highest Hard% at 50.8%.

Jeff McNeil - 2B/OF, NYM vs BAL ($3,500)

McNeil is still priced around where he was when he was slumping for the first chunk of the season. He's certainly not slumping now. His line is up to .306/.378/.468 with three homers, 16 RBI, and 12 runs scored. He's on a three-game homer streak coming in and has at least 10 DK points in seven of his last nine games played. The matchup against the Jorge Lopez is one to attack as he has allowed the second-highest Hard% among tonight's pitchers and the Mets are projected to score 5.4 runs.

Alex Bregman - 3B, HOU vs OAK ($4,800)

We likely won't be seeing this low of a price on Bregman for very long, so we'll need to take advantage while we can. The young star just made his first start back from the IL as he had been out since 8/19. He went hitless yesterday, but he's still coming in as a good value stud today despite the Astros projecting for only 3.9 runs against Jesus Luzardo. Luzardo has been decent and he doesn't really have many metrics to attack aside from one of the slate's worst HR/FB ratios at 19%. This is more a bet on Bregman's talent as he holds a .221 ISO and .379 wOBA and has been markedly better against LHP in his career with a .337 average and 1.082 OPS them since 2018.

Other options: Joseph Odom (SEA vs SFG) $2,300, Marcus Semien (OAK vs HOU) $4,200, Mitch Moreland (SDP vs COL) $3,800

 

DraftKings DFS Outfielders

Chris Taylor - OF/SS, LAD vs ARI ($4,700)

Chris Taylor has had at least 12 DK points in four of his six games played as he has tallied eight RBI and seven runs scored in that span. He holds a solid .349 wOBA and 42.2% hard-hit rate, while it's reasonable to expect his .143 ISO to positively regress closer to his 3-year average of .199. The appeal here is Taylor's placement in a packed Dodgers lineup that's projected to put up a slate-high 5.8 runs off of Taylor Clarke and company. Clarke holds a 3.75 ERA, but he has a 4.65 WHIP, 5.35 tERA, 1.5 HR/9, 22.2% HR/FB%, and a high 44.1% Hard%.

Brandon Nimmo - OF, NYM vs BAL ($4,000)

Nimmo is 5-for-12 with a homer, two RBI, and two runs scored over his last two games and he'll have the platoon-advantage over Orioles starter Jorge Lopez. He's slashing .259/.398/.467 overall but he's crushing RHP with a .308/.447/.549 line with five of his six homers and 10-of-11 RBI coming against right-handers. He also walks a ton (15.7% BB%), doesn't strike out (19.3% K%), and has a high ISO (.207) and wOBA (.384).

Corey Dickerson - OF, MIA vs ATL ($3,200)

Dickerson isn't having a great year but he has been heating up a bit lately, that's for sure. He comes in on a five-game hitting streak that includes two home runs, a triple, a double, three RBI, and four runs scored. None of his season-long stats stand out but his current form his notable, so he's worth a look here against the uninspiring Tommy Milone. Milone has a 5.30 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 4.19 FIP, and a slate-worst 5.34 tERA. He also gives up 1.8 HR/9 and a 47.9% Hard%, and he allows the highest batting average against (.303) on the slate.

Other options: Josh Reddick (HOU vs OAK) $2,400, Dee Gordon (SEA vs SFG) $2,600, Trent Grisham (SDP vs COL) $4,700

 

DraftKings DFS Stacks

The top stacks to target tonight are the Dodgers and Mets, while the White Sox and Padres are also quite appealing. Sneaky stacks include the Rangers, Marlins, and Giants if you're feeling like rolling the proverbial dice or want to seek out rostership leverage in GPP's.

 

Good luck in your DraftKings contests and make sure to give me a follow on Twitter!



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NBA DFS Cheat Sheet & Expert Lineups for September 8th (Premium Content)


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NBA DFS Cheat Sheet & Expert Lineups for September 7th (Premium Content)


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