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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Saturday September 17th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Orioles vs. Blue Jays
The Orioles take on the Blue Jays on Saturday September 17th at Rogers Centre, Toronto. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Baltimore Orioles (75-68) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (82-63)
- Date: Saturday September 17th, 2022
- Time: 3:07 ET
- Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Orioles vs. Blue Jays
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Baltimore Orioles - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 75-68, the Baltimore Orioles travel to take on the Toronto Blue Jays, ranked 4th in the AL East division. Heading into play, the Orioles have won under half of their 72 road games, sitting at 34-38. The Orioles will be looking to bounce back after falling to Toronto by a score of 6-3. For the year, Baltimore has played a total of 48 series, going 24-20-4.
Kyle Bradish gets the start for the Orioles with a below .500 record at 3-6. Against the Orioles, Bradish is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 5.01. In today's game, he will look to do a better job limiting base runners, as his batting average allowed sits at .281. Overall, he has notched 90 strikeouts on a strikeout percentage of 22.0%. Kyle Bradish's per 9 walk average of 3.34 has been a problem for the right.
Offensively, Baltimore is scoring at a rate near the MLB average, at 4.17 runs per game. Over their last 3 games, the team has an average run differential of 2. The Orioles combined batting average currently sits at .235, placing them 22nd in the league. Per game, the team is averaging 7.89 hits. The team's lineup is hitting home runs at a rate of 1.06 per game, good for 15th in the league. The team's current slugging percentage of .390 ranks near the league average. Baltimore's overall OBP of .303, puts them 25th in the league. While their wOBA of .304 is one of the lowest figures in the league.
Toronto Blue Jays - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 82-63, the Toronto Blue Jays will host Toronto, currently ranked 2nd in the AL East division. In their 73 games at Rogers Centre, the Blue Jays have a strong record of 42-31. Toronto is coming off a winning effort over the Orioles by a score of 6-3. For the year, the team has played a total of 46 series, going 25-15-6.
Making the start for Toronto is Jose Berrios, with a record of 10-5. Berrios will be looking to bring down an ERA of 5.07. Jose Berrios has had problems limiting base runners, made evident by a WHIP of 1.38. His batting average allowed of .283 compared to other pitchers. So far, Jose Berrios has a SLG% allowed .471, including giving up 28 home runs. For the season, Berrios has picked up 133 strikeouts on a K rate of 20.0%.
Offensively, Toronto has had no problem putting up runs, as their scoring average of 4.66 runs per game, ranks 7th in the MLB. In the team's 73 games at home, their run differential is 2. The Blue Jays are enjoying offensive success as their team batting average ranks 2nd, at .261. For the season, 35.8% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above average rate, averaging 1.21 home runs per game (10th). For the season, the team has one of the best hard-hit rates in the league at 44.6. Toronto's strong OBP of .326 is 4th best in the league. While the team's wOBA is one of the best in the league at .328.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Orioles vs. Blue Jays
Heading into today's matchup between Baltimore and Toronto, the Blue Jays are the heavy favorite at -164 on the moneyline. Toronto's implied win probability sits at 62.12%. Even with the odds strongly in favor of Toronto, the MLB predictive model shows the best bet for this contest being the Orioles on the runline (+1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Orioles +1.5 Runline
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