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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Sunday September 4th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Marlins vs. Braves
The Marlins take on the Braves on Sunday September 4th at Truist Park, Atlanta. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Miami Marlins (55-77) vs. Atlanta Braves (83-51)
- Date: Sunday September 4th, 2022
- Time: 1:35 ET
- Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Marlins vs. Braves
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Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Atlanta, the Marlins have a record of just 55-77. This places the team 4th in the NL East division. The Marlins will need a win in today's game to move their record on the road (29-39) closer to the .500 mark. In their previous games, the Marlins lost by a score of 2-1 to Atlanta. To start the year, Miami has picked up just 12 series wins, going 12-26-5.
Pablo Lopez gets the start for the Marlins with a below .500 record at 8-8. Heading into action, his ERA comes in at 3.7. So far, Pablo Lopez has put together a WHIP of 1.17. To date, he has a batting average allowed of .231. Across his previous outings, Lopez has a SLG% allowed of .402. In total, he has given up 17 home runs. For the season, he has picked up 142 strikeouts on a K rate of 24.0%.
On offense, Miami has struggled to bring runners across the plate, averaging just 3.56 runs per game. So far, the team has struggled to score early, ranking 28th in runs scored through 4 innings. The Marlins combined batting average currently sits at .228, placing them 27th in the league. For the season, 33.4% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. So far, home runs have been hard to come by for the team, as they are averaging just 0.88 per game (24th). Thus far, the team has put together an average rate similar to the league average (7.1%). To date, Miami has the MLB's 27th rated OBP, sitting at .293. On average, the team generates walks at a rate of 7.4%.
Atlanta Braves - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Atlanta Braves enter play ranked 2nd in the NL East division, with an overall record of 83-51. So far, Atlanta has been tough at home, putting together a mark of 46-25. Atlanta is hoping to add on another win, as they are coming off a 2-1 win over the Marlins. For the year, the team has played a total of 42 series, going 23-13-6.
Atlanta starter Max Fried takes the mound with an overall record of 12-5. In his 25 appearances, Fried has an ERA of 2.56. Fried's WHIP of just 1.04 compares favorably to other MLB starters. So far, Max Fried has a SLG% allowed .317, including giving up 8 home runs. Overall, Fried has notched 143 strikeouts on a K rate of 23.0%.
Entering today's action, Atlanta features the 3rd ranked scoring unit, averaging 4.92 runs per game. The team's total run differential sits at 149. Heading into play, the Braves are the 9th unit in team batting average. Combined, the team is batting .253. This includes batting .245 over their last 3 games. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above average rate, averaging 1.51 home runs per game (2nd). To date, Atlanta has the MLB's 12th best OBP at .318. So far, the team has a walk rate of 7.8%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Marlins vs. Braves
Heading into today's matchup between Miami and Atlanta, the Braves are the heavy favorite at -260 on the moneyline. Atlanta's implied win probability sits at 72.22%. The MLB predictive model shows Atlanta have enough of an edge on offense and on the mound to take the Braves on the runline (-1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Brave Runline
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